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金荣中国:黄金仍震荡偏多,本周关注1700-1748Breach

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Fundamentals:
Friday(4month24day)goldPrice maintenance1736-1710区间震荡,日线收小阴十字星。
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金荣中国:黄金仍震荡偏多,本周关注1700-1748Breach33 / author:Jinrong China340 / PostsID:1544753
Technical aspect:
金荣中国:黄金仍震荡偏多,本周关注1700-1748Breach325 / author:Jinrong China340 / PostsID:1544753

        周线上,周线收阳线,目前处于短期线上方运行,5Zhou and10周均线向上运行, 中期线向上运行,MACDRun up,KDJ向上运行,指标看涨。周线从1450连续拉升上涨,上周还是阳线收盘,整体并没有出现受阻信号,均线形态也仍然是偏多,那么近期还真的很可能会突破1748新高,完全有可能冲击1800关口,除非周线收出大阴线受阻信号,否则周线很难转空,随时可能继续拉升上涨。周线大格局上看高低点还是逐步上移的,虽然两次触及1450附近,但是没有打破上行格局,还是创出新高,所以中期还是震荡偏多的,除非未来跌破1450,若跌破这里那基本会跌回1400下方,若出现这样的情况,那将是中长线布局多单机会,当然未来不一定会跌到1450下方,也可能1450就是阶段性低点了,直到中长期上涨趋势走完,这样的话时间就长了,还有几年时间,不过从月线技术面来看还是应该有调整后才会开始下一波上涨趋势的,未来一旦调整,仍然有机会回调到1400下方,只是目前看有点远,还是要等待疫情拐点后再观察,中期来看就以1450作为低点,回调100美金后企稳就尝试低多为主。本周除非跌破站稳1700关口,否则还是先以低多为主,关注1700-1680Support,1748Pressure.
金荣中国:黄金仍震荡偏多,本周关注1700-1748Breach467 / author:Jinrong China340 / PostsID:1544753

        日线上,黄金日线收小阴十字星,目前处于短期线上方运行,5Japan and Japan10日均线金叉偏向上,中期线向上运行,MACDSmooth bonding,KDJ向上运行,指标偏看涨。黄金前一波上涨从1450到近期高点1748Nearby, the increase is close to300The US dollar is approaching the limit of its previous year's increase, as seen in this way1748附近及上方很可能成为今年顶部了,也就是说即使上方还有空间,比如涨到1800,也还是顶部区域,而且很难再有多少空间,相比向下可能调整100-200美金空间来说空间已经很小了,再往上随时见今年顶部,一旦调整就是100-200美金空间。今年由于疫情影响,想要真正趋势转空还是需要等待疫情拐点,只有拐点出现后无限QE才可能停止,宽松流动性才会减弱,这样黄金才能走出持续性回调,否则拐点出现前即使回调100美金后仍然可能企稳继续拉升冲高,不过已经说了1748附近及上方就是顶部区域,所以预计未来1-2Maintain for a month1600-1748or1600-1800区间波动概率大,然后等待疫情逐步控制到达拐点,之后黄金才会开始真正回调下跌,目前看时间上可能是6From the beginning of the year to the beginning of the month, in terms of time cycle3Gold is showing a clear upward trend in the month, entering into3A wave appeared after the month1700-1450Great plunge, but due to insufficient liquidity, unlimited in the Federal ReserveQEAfter providing sufficient liquidity, gold began to soar and even broke through1700Pass, this indicates3After the month, it is not a downward trend, but currently it cannot be completely said to be an upward trend. From a spatial perspective, it is a large-scale fluctuation, which means3月份到现在整体其实是一个超大区间波动,只不过是波动空间太大,在更短的周期上看是趋势行情,但你退一步出来看是更偏向区间波动,那么12Month to3month3The period of one month is on an upward trend,3month-6The month should be a volatile market, but there is a lot of room for it. Wait until6A new trend market will only appear after the month, and it is likely that the epidemic has reached a turning point. As mentioned before, once the epidemic reaches a turning point, gold will fall6月份后黄金很可能走下跌趋势了,到时候将走出持续回调的走势,不再是来回震荡颠簸没有真正方向,不过也这一切的推断预测都是建立在6月出现拐点的前提下,这是未来中期需要注意的节奏,唯一改变这种预期的可能就是疫情影响时间大大超出预期。
        整体看日线还是高低点逐步上移,维持震荡上行格局没有改变,上周跌至1660探底回升企稳反弹,目前有重新冲击1740-1748压力关口,本周就看这里压力情况,是突破还受阻回落,若突破看1800关口,受阻回落先看1660支撑,不跌破仍可能陷入1660-1748区间震荡,若跌破1660,那基本要调整到1600附近甚至下方了。今天日内看短期线附近支撑在1710附近,上周五快速杀跌低点也是1710,这里盘中跌不破企稳仍可以低多为主,若跌破站稳将进一步转空,不过即使跌破1710还有1700关口支撑,要防止跌至1700再次出现一波大反弹,稳健的还是跌破1700后反弹再高空,或者不突破1748前受阻做空,日内关注1710and1700关口支撑,企稳低多,特别是1710不跌破的情况下回调低多更加安全。(Band Midline Trading Opportunity Reminder:1690-1700的空单下来1700附近先出来)
pressure1735-1740-1748-1800
brace1710-1700-1690-1680-1660-1600-1570-1500-1450
Spot gold:
1.   1710Short positions nearby, stop loss1705, Objective1720-1740-1748-1800
2.   1740-1745Short selling, stop loss1750, Objective1730-1710-1700-1680-1660-1600-1570-1550-1500-1450-1400-1350
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