全面指导：4.24黄金多头冲高遇阻回落原油最新走势分析及指导略

　　不为模糊不清的未来担忧，只为清清楚楚的现在努力。不被短线行情的上蹿下跳而迷惑，只为趋势行情的布局点位而斟酌。短线的投资就是投机，长线的投机就是投资，趋势才能造就财富，而短线的波动只能陶冶情操。机构的多空布局，虚实结合、掩人耳目，所以需要有提前发现机会的眼光方可把握机会。这个市场的钱有时候来的很容易，但有时候去的更容易，对于来的钱无需寻根问源，但对于去的钱一定要搞清楚原因，当在同一问题上出现了多次亏损的情况，那么我想你已经找到了获利的方法了。诚惶诚恐无人可怜，孤注一掷将满盘皆输，唯有稳扎稳打方可稳操胜券。


Market news:


United StatesWTI 6monthcrude oilfuturesElectronic disk prices Thursday(4month23day)Closing up3.09USD, increase22.42%，油价周四飙升，延续反弹势头，此前主要产油国表示，将加快实施计划中的减产，以缓解新冠疫情导致的需求骤降。原油价格经历了有史以来最动荡的一周。5月美国原油期货周一收于负37.63dollar/桶，当日遭遇史上最严重抛售。周二，布伦特原油期货受到重创，触及20年低点，随后反弹。关注工纵好“王今博”即可享有每日财经资讯热点解读、gold原油中线布局计划一份！


　　自今年年初以来，美油和布油都已下跌逾三分之二。4月全球燃料需求下降约30%，受新冠疫情影响，未来几个月油市都将供过于求。对冲基金合伙人表示，我们看到美国业内对当前的超低油价做出了真正的反应，这创造了一些油市复苏的萌芽，使油价得以小幅反弹，但仍很难对略高于15dollar/桶的油价感到兴奋。王今博认为是美国活跃钻机数降至2016年以来最低水平，以及上周美国原油产量下降1010000 barrels/Day, to122010000 barrels/日。石油输出国组织(OPEC)和其他产油国组成的OPEC+本月同意减产97010000 barrels/日，约占全球供应量的10%，以支撑油价，但油价仍继续下跌。


　　金价周四跳涨逾1%，至逾一周高位，受美国出台更多刺激举措的希望提振，政府为遏制疫情扩散实施得停摆措施给全球最大经济体美国及其劳动力市场带来损失，王今博认为，支撑金价的是全球央行继续实施刺激政策，特别是今天在美国，我们正在就5000亿美元的新一轮刺激法案进行投票；美国众议院议员周四将齐聚华盛顿，通过一项4840亿美元的新冠疫情救助法案，使总获批援救金额达到空前的近3万亿美元；


　　美国劳工部称，截至4month18日当周，初请失业金人数经季节调整后总计为442.7万人；自3月中以来，多达2650万美国人申请了失业金，这一令人震惊的数字证实了，在美国历史上最长的就业热潮中增加的所有工作岗位都因新型冠状病毒对经济的肆虐而消失；黄金往往受益于各国央行和政府出台的广泛刺激措施，因为它通常被视为对冲通胀和货币贬值的工具；与此同时，意见分歧的欧盟领导人开始为高达2万亿欧元的共同复苏基金筹资，基金旨在帮助欧盟从大流行中恢复过来，并避免较贫穷的南部成员国出现经济崩溃


　　黄金分析：黄金升破1730美元，创一周新高，美国当周初请失业金人数增长440万小幅低于预期，金价有所回落，此前市场预期将出台更多财政和货币刺激措施，美国众议院料将批准新刺激计划，酝酿第四轮纾困法案，而欧盟考虑2.2万亿美元复苏计划。美伊关系增加了地缘政治风险，黄金价格得到额外提振。股市有所回升，原油价格也从低位回升了一些，这表明通胀会改善，这对黄金是利好的。技术面来看，国际金价连续第二个交易日走高，徘徊七年半高位。布林带三轨均开口向上，MACDThe Golden Cross signal continues,KDJ也即将结成金叉，金价刷新日内高点，最高触及1728.04，有进一步试探4month16Daily high point1738.70附近阻力的迹象，若突破该位置则金价可能再次冲击4month14Daily high point1747.36，这是近7年半来的最高位，有着强劲的阻力。一旦该关口被上破，将大幅打开上行空间。下方支撑首先关注10Daily moving average1706.60Nearby, further support at1700关口，若失守该位置，则削弱短线看涨信号，周三低点支撑在1680.45附近，该位置同时靠近1455.06-1747.36Upward trend23.6%回撤位。综合来看，今日操作思路上王今博建议回调做多为主，高空为辅。上方重点关注阻力1740-1745；下方重点关注支撑:1705-1700一线。有套单的朋友，可单线本人，由于笔者王今博不知道你们套单的点位以及仓位的详细情况，不好给出相应的解套策略，需要解套的可单线王今博wjb9393是微信


　　原油分析：目前美油小时图的走势显得很强，运行区间以及结构重心也在不断的抬升，这给短线行情走势判断带来难度。今日继续关注16争夺，如果进一步走高，则再去关注此前大幅下跌后的收个回弹高点17-17.5压力带测试。下方关注15-14.7短线支撑带带测试，破位或将预示短线回弹的结束，行情将陷入进一步的震荡回修，届时下方可再去守13附近支撑测试。操作建议上王今。博认为鉴于短线原油波动剧烈，市场情绪依旧未得到稳定，所以稳健者暂时选择观望，激进则抬升震荡区间，围绕13-17区域进行短线低多高空。建仓把握不准可连线笔者，有套了单的朋友可转接本人wjb9393是微信，行情瞬息万变，更多实时策略盘中指导给出


　　——黄金原油被套频繁亏损最直接的原因——


　　1.Likes to buy at the bottom but doesn't know how to buy at the bottom, especially at historically low prices. Seeing that my own costs are lower than others, my heart is filled with joy. But I didn't expect that since the price has hit a historic low, there may be many new lows to come. It was supposed to be the market's last chance for you to make an appearance, but you went against the trend and even had your account funds cut in half within a week. I don't know how to copy the bottom and end up copying myself.


　　2.Not willing to stop loss: There are actually many articles related to this issue online, and talking too much doesn't make much sense. It can only be said that if you lose more, you will know the importance of stop loss. Some retail investors see that after a stop loss, the gold price rises again within a few days. "Next time, they will have a lucky mentality and stop cutting losses, which is obviously not feasible." Cut off losses and let profits run "is a wise saying. But then again, if you don't have your own profit model, your outcome is to buy, stop loss, buy again and stop loss, which is meaningless, and eventually slowly grind down your capital.


　　3.Don't dare to chase high: Many retail investors have a fear of heights, thinking that once the gold price rises, they will be trapped in chasing after it. What should they do? Perhaps you think this is chasing the rise and killing the fall, but I can tell you that the trend of the market is not directly related to the high or low price of gold. The key to whether to chase after the rise and kill the fall lies in looking at the "trend", which is precisely because our retail investors do not have enough control over the trend, so they mistakenly think that chasing after the rise and killing the fall. The safety of intervening after the formation of an upward trend is very high, and in the short term, there is actually a lot of profit. The core issue is how to determine whether the upward trend has formed, which has different standards in different market environments. If you lack the ability to control trends, it is recommended that you do not blindly operate alone. Learning or teacher guidance are both good choices.


　　4.Countering the trend and resisting orders: Operation against the market-If the direction is reversed, resist; Resisting losses intensifies; If it really doesn't work, stop loss; The direction of the stop loss has returned, or when the market rises, it falls; when buying, it rises, and it can never keep up with the rhythm.


　　5.Frequent operation: Frequent operation-无论单子理不理想，“负责任”的老师一个劲儿的给你做思想工作，说什么这个单子必赚无疑，不甘心的你听之任之，结果亏得灰头土脸，“不负责任”的老师可能找各种借口不给实时指导，给个区间让你来回操作即可，这我就搞不懂了，仓位是自己的，自己不知道控制？难道要等到爆仓才幻想着有没有后悔药吃？


Note: The above analysis is for reference only, and the market is constantly changing. When making an order, be sure to bring a stop loss! Investment carries risks, so be cautious when entering the industry!


　　本文由王今博：wjb9393---公众号：王今博 供稿，本人解读世界经济要闻，剖析全球投资大趋势，对原油、黄金、白银等大宗商品等有深入的研究，由于网络推送延迟性，以上内容属于个人建议，因网络发文有时效性，仅供参考，风险自担，转载请注明出处