鉴于市场对全球经济的担忧进一步加剧,尽管5月的合约和6月的合约都是正值,但油价可能会在较低水平停留更长时间。然而,到6月到期时,基本面即便没有恶化,也不会好转。OPEC过去无法拯救油价,那么,市场为什么会期待他们能够在晚些时候实施进一步的减产呢?在这个节骨眼上,这些努力很可能会被置若罔闻,只有V型经济复苏才能让石油需求再度回升。关注工纵好“陈大宾”即可享有每日财经资讯热点解读、goldcrude oilA layout plan for the central line!
金价周二走低,盘中一度跌逾2%, refresh4month9Since the low point of the day1659.55dollar/桶,钯金急挫15.5%,因投资者急于套现,以弥补其他资产类别的损失,这些资产价格下跌主要受累于新冠病毒重创经济之际,油市崩跌。陈大宾认为,油价真的拖累整个大宗商品市场跟随其下跌;许多人都在抛出获利丰厚的头寸,抱着观望态度,看能源市场颓势是否会进一步蔓延至贵金属。不过,分析师表示,各国央行为缓解疫情对经济造成的损害而采取的一系列刺激措施,以及流入交易所交易基金的资金,可能会继续支撑金价。尽管美元强劲、股市动荡以及疲软的珠宝需求令黄金承压,但美银美林认为财政和货币抗疫措施应会推动金价进一步上涨,18个月内可能达到3000dollar/ounce.
原油分析:油价的崩跌,也冲击了市场情绪,没想到的是5The monthly contract's unexpected drop has come to an end, and the result is6The monthly contract has taken on a relay baton of sharp decline, continuing to follow a downward pattern to fill the gap after opening high yesterday morning. Yesterday(4.21)The opening price of crude oil in the morning rose directly to13.5On the front line and then up all the way to22.6The US dollar began to decline, starting from the morning Asian session-Europa-The US stock market fell unilaterally all the way, without giving the bulls any opportunity, catching them off guard. After a whole day of decline, crude oil ultimately fell(4.22Fill the gap at one o'clock and drop to the lowest point6.5The US dollar filled the high opening gap, and crude oil did not go as it did yesterday0After the development of the US dollar and filling the gap, crude oil began to rebound significantly10On the US dollar, the final closing was at13美元一线,陈大宾认为:原油不会出现类似跌至负数的局面,切换合约后高开的缺口已经补上,原油会震荡修复一下再找方向,短期原油还有上行的空间,操作上大宾建议低多为主,上方至少还有8-10美元的空间。具体操作以实时行情盘面走势为主,投资有风险,盈亏请自行把控,详情请关注或咨询我进行解套、技术讲解、原油黄金分析指导官微:xy187603
For the purpose of profit, in the capital market, there are no philanthropists, only winners and losers. No matter how successful you are in other areas, winning or losing is the only criterion in the market. To survive in the market, one should be like a stream of water, not anxious or impatient, living in a narrow space, and seeking the simplest and purest state.
笔者陈大宾———对金市/Oil market/equity market/The bond market and other major global financial markets have in-depth and unique insights, mainly using price control to accurately predict high and low prices. The main research directions include volume price spatiotemporal, Gann astrogram, etc