MEX MARKETS Morning Express20200420

View All · Published on 2020-4-20 13:45:29

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Focus of foreign exchange market

• Trading preference – 本周策略和上周策略保持一样，继续看弱欧/Beauty（EURUSD）,并认为澳/Beauty（AUDUSD）, New/Beauty（NZDUSD）已经接近高位，还未兑现利润的冲高可兑现部分利润。

• 欧洲方面，欧洲理事会开会前欧元认沽option需求增长，在一定程度上拖累欧元。另外，考虑到病毒大流行冲击欧洲经济，并且投资者对欧元区是否有能力克服债务负担激增感到担忧，我们预计欧元或将中期承压。技术上，支撑下移到1.0800，1.1000It has been transformed into mid-term pressure.

• 英国方面，本周，英国与欧盟正式重启因疫情而推迟的英国脱欧谈判，考虑到疫情影响，若英国坚持不同意延长过渡期，这或许会增加无协议“脱欧”的可能性。因此我们认为这对英镑而言构成了一定压力。技术上，1.2650已转化为中期压力，短期关注1.2400Support.

• 商品货币方面，虽然有消息称美国将分阶段重新开放，商品货币也因此受到提振，但随着全球经下行的压力加剧，我们建议投资者可兑现近期利润。另外，澳洲联储将于周二公布4月货币政策会议纪要，预计将维持利率不变。技术上，澳/beautiful0.6450, New/beautiful0.6150已转化为中期压力，短线关注澳/beautiful0.6200, New/beautiful0.5900Support.

• It is worth noting that the money market plays a crucial role in2019The year shows a stable and significant weekly momentum reversal effect,MEXThe momentum reversal quantification strategy has repeatedly hit new highs, and investors are2020You can continue to refer to our weekly suggested combination for the year.