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Liu Mingcheng:4.19Futures crude oil crash weighing long and short, gold market trend prediction with Monday operation suggestions attached

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After the restless and restless trading, many people have forgotten their original intention. This is where you once stepped intogoldThe understanding that begins in investment, don't go too fast, let the fallen souls catch up. The initial learning may not have been too attentive, and the past understanding may not have been deep enough. I want you to reminisce about your original intention and learn again what you forgot in the past. On the road of investment, you have already gone a long way, maybe moving towards the established goal, but most people go against your original intention and take the wrong direction. Every step is a step backwards. Let's calm down and learn once, let's look at these things after returning to zero. We may feel familiar but have not followed them. Don't settle down in chasing after gains and losses, don't be discouraged by gains and losses. How can we make investment returns more stable? Absolutely not. Every day, I go everywhere to learn from my master, just like an expert in stocks, selling books. This shows that selling books is definitely more profitable than trading stocks, Having understood it on your own is more important than learning a few indicators!And the market is no exception. Remember not to blindly pursue operations. You should know that there are some market trends where you can see profits, but you may not necessarily succeed in obtaining profits. I hope this article is not just about providing investors with strategies, but also a trading philosophy.

——Analysis of Gold Market Trend

Saturday(4month18day)This week, the gold price surged and fell back, but it basically closed flat and had a long shadow weekkThe launch of Trump's plan to reopen the United States has led to a slight improvement in market risk sentiment, with gold prices falling from a seven-year high. However, many supporting factors remain strong medium-term support for gold prices, the weak state of the US economy, the global economy deeply mired in recession, the Federal Reserve's unlimited easing measures, the US government's fiscal deficit, and political risks, all of which are important factors supporting the long-term rise of gold prices. Next week, the market will release a series of heavyweight economic data, including UK employment data, UK retail sales, and moreCPIData, Eurozone and UK manufacturing industryPMIManufacturing industry in the United StatesPMIIn addition to daily monitoring of financial events and data such as durable goods orders in the United States, investors also need to closely monitor the progress of overseas public health and safety issues, as well as new policy developments from governments and central banks around the world.

Gold has been fluctuating this week, with spot gold opening on Monday1681Rising nearby1747On the front line, the market started to decline on Tuesday and returned to its starting point near Friday's closing. Liu Mingcheng has gained a lot from this week's trading. From a technical perspective, the weekly chart closed longer and led to a bearish candlestick, causing gold prices to fall below the upper limit of the Bollinger Bands once againKJudging online, there are opportunities for both long and short positions. dayKThe line continues to decline, with pressure on the upper sideMA10average1695First tier and Friday's rebound high in the US market1702Nearby, according to the attached indicators,KDJDead fork turning empty,MACDThe red energy bar of the indicator has weakened, and there may be a demand for further decline. Below, we will focus on the daily Bollinger Bands and the mid track1658Frontline support;4From the hourly market perspective, the current closing isMA60average1687Below, if converted according to the pattern, it is expected that there will be10-15Please pay more attention to the space below the individual point if you still have multiple positions,4On the hourly chart indicatorsMACDThe green energy pillar continues, butKDJIndicator drops to0Axis, then the trend can be treated as a trading strategy of first falling and then rising. Pay attention to the gold market next Monday1695-1703One line of resistance, pay attention below1670-1658Frontline support, Liu Mingcheng suggests rebounding and short selling as the main strategy, while low residue is seen as support entering the market. If you are trapped in a loss trap, here is professional technical analysis, communication and guidance, and analysis and direction will be provided in a timely manner every day for Asian, European, and American markets! rightcrude oilFor friends who are interested in investing in precious metals such as gold but have no idea where to start, or who have already been in contact but are not ideal, and who want to keep up with the stable market layout, please add/Add Liu Mingcheng-V-Letter:zdmj868Unlock your order.

Monday Gold Strategy:

1Gold advice1672Long, stop loss1667, Objective1682-1687;

2Gold advice1695Short selling, stop loss1700, Objective1686-1682;


——Analysis of crude oil market trend

Saturday(4month17day)US oil prices fell sharply this week, in MayfuturesThe contract fell to an 18 year low. The three major crude oil market reports show that the global crude oil market is experiencing a historic impact.IMFThe report shows that the global economy has fallen into the most severe recession since the Great Depression. Although Saudi Arabia and Russia eventually reached a production reduction agreement, the magnitude and scale of the reduction are far from easing the background of market oversupply, and the possibility of further production cuts by Saudi Arabia is still very low. In addition, crude oil inventories have surged again this week, continuing the previous significant growth momentum. Although the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries(OPEC)Last weekend, other oil producing countries announced production cuts100010000 barrels/Despite weak demand, oil prices remain weak; US President Trump proposed guidelines on Thursday that state governors can gradually lift anti epidemic lockdown measures and restart the economy in three stages according to the guidelines; As a result, oil prices have received some support, but the initial boost to Brent crude oil prices was mostly short-lived. Energy service company Baker Hughes said that US drillers have cut back this week66A drilling platform, for2015The largest weekly decline since the beginning of the year has reduced the total number of drilling wells to438Seat2016year10The lowest since the beginning of the month; Crude oil futures investors have been selling out5Monthly long position, due to the record high surge in US inventory and the test of running out of oil storage facilities this summer; According to data from the US Department of Energy, the storage capacity of the oil tank located in Cushing, Oklahoma has reached69%Higher than four weeks ago49%。

This week, crude oil hit a new low again, closing at a solid bearish candlestick on the weekly chart and reporting18.15From the daily chart, it can be seen that crude oil isKThe five consecutive bearish candlesticks indicate that the Bollinger Bands have opened and moved downwards with support from the low point of the lower track16.6On the attached indicatorsMACDTurn empty,KDJThe indicators are severely oversold, and bears are clearly strong. Investors also need to pay attention to the rebound after reaching the extreme;4From the hourly market perspective, various moving average indicators show a bearish trend,MA5\MA10Moving average under pressure19Below the checkpoint, the space for maximum compression rebound is limited. Currently, the three tracks of the Bollinger Bands are synchronously moving downwards, and the bulls are under significant pressure. With the continuous decline in prices, they have hit a historic low, and the desire to buy at the bottom is even more intense, but the price cannot rise! Of course, Liu Mingcheng is still optimistic about the rebound at the weekly level. After accelerating the increase in volume at the bottom, crude oil has both price and quantity. Once the decline is stopped, I believe the rebound will be very fast! Overall, there is still a risk of short-term decline in crude oil prices. Liu Mingcheng suggests a rebound and short selling as the main strategy for next Monday's operations, with attention from above19.3-20.3One line of resistance, pay attention below17.2-16.5Support, Mingcheng reminds not to chase short at low levels and beware of bottoming out and rebounding. The intraday market is constantly changing, and specific operational strategies are based on Liu Mingcheng's micro account\/Core:zdmj868Actual combat is the standard!

Monday crude oil strategy:

1Suggestions for crude oil16.5-17.2Batch long, default stop loss5Points, target18.3-19.2Break through and reduce holdings;

2Suggestions for crude oil19.6Short selling, stop loss20.1, Objective19.0-18.3;


The timing is not as good as the location, and the location is not as good as the harmony between people. A single thread cannot form a line, and a single tree cannot form a forest. Cooperation is the most talked about topic in this era or society. As the saying goes, "Ten thousand people use bows and shoot together, and every move hits the mark." A drop of water will never dry up until it is put into the sea. A pile of sand is loose, but when mixed with cement, stones, and water, it is even tougher than granite. A fence needs three stakes, and a hero needs three helpers. In this financial market, it is always individual investors who lose money, but cooperation makes their original investments more profitable. I am Liu Mingcheng, willing to move forward hand in hand with you!

Liu Mingcheng2020Fund Management Operation Plan

1、1At the level of 1 million US dollars or below, we operate with a relatively stable and conservative plan. As the amount of funds is not very large, we mainly focus on stable operations and short-term space, and cannot operate aggressively.

2、1Ten thousand US dollars -4At the level of tens of thousands of US dollars, the same strategy is used to operate with a focus on stability. Of course, the position allocation should be relatively aggressive, mainly combining short-term and medium-term operations, using the medium-term to grasp the profit band, and using short-term to prevent profit drawdown.

3、5Ten thousand US dollars -10At the level of tens of thousands of US dollars, we offer optional operation plans to operate with10%To configure short-term positions, use20%To conduct long-term position allocation and maximize the utilization of position funds!

4、10For orders over 10000 US dollars, enjoy one-on-one service and real-time monitoring/Shouting for orders/Market analysis/Notification of entry and exit services, focusing on medium to long term layout.

Establish a fundamental change model to analyze changes in market sentiment and use it to determine trends. More than ten years of technical analysis and judgment on short-term details. The main focus is on the medium-term, with short-term as a supplement. Has in-depth and unique insights into major global financial markets such as foreign exchange, gold, oil, stock, and bond markets. This article was written by Liu Mingcheng, who carefully wrote each analysis and conveyed valuable investment concepts. Hope the price is worth it and the value is earned; Due to the delayed nature of article strategies; Follow Liu Mingcheng for the latest real-time market analysis.

Every investment is a scientific analysis, not an emotional game; Every opening and closing of a position is a professional manifestation, not a release of emotions; Control risks and stabilize profits! Not looking for a day of turnover, let alone overnight wealth, just seeking steady profits, safety in the bag, steady delivery of orders, and honesty as a person. Instead of giving you a precise advice, it's better to give you a correct mindset. It's better to teach people how to fish than to teach them how to fish. It's recommended to make a profit for a while and learn how to make a profit for a lifetime! The market is constantly changing, so it is important to control your position reasonably and avoid heavy or full positions. Stop loss is the lifeline of your position, and survival is the only way to have infinite possibilities.
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