Xu Bohong:4.19下周行情前瞻--下周黄金原油开盘走势分析策略

　下周投资国际goldcrude oil怎么分析行情？今日黄金原油多空怎么看？做现货黄金投资亏损怎么挽回损失？黄金原油短线怎么操作？当前黄金阻力位和支撑位在哪里？新手投资黄金原油该怎么做单？今日伦敦金还会涨吗？原油还会跌吗？近期有哪些消息面会影响黄金原油走势？ What is the impact of the rise and fall of the US dollar on gold? Analysis of today's market trend of gold and crude oil and operational suggestions. Will spot gold continue to rise today? Will US crude oil continue to decline? How to operate international gold and crude oil today?



Message: Saturday(4month18day)本周金价冲高回落，当周基本收平，并收出长上影周k线，特朗普的重新开放美国计划启动，市场风险情绪有了些许好转，金价自七年高位回落。不过，众多支撑因素仍然是金价中期强劲支撑，疲弱的美国经济现状，全球经济深陷衰退深渊，美联储的无限量宽松措施，美国政府的财政赤字和政局风险，这些因素都是支撑金价长期走高的重要因素。



　　展望下周，投资者仍然要密切关注全球抗击疫情的最新动态，同时关注美联储是否有新的动作，另外也要留意美国政局的变动。接下来让我们对近期影响金价的因素做一些分析，从而更好的把握未来金价可能的走势方向。



　　原油：周五(4month17day)欧洲时段，两大国际原油futures价格转跌，一季度GDP超预期萎缩，抵消了先前因美国总统特朗普计划重启经济活动带来的乐观情绪。而沙特表示，沙特已通知亚洲部分炼油业者，5月将按合约数量足额供应原油。OPEC现在认为，由于冠状病毒爆发，全球需求将萎缩69010000 barrels/日，而上个月预计会有小幅增长。OPEC在谈到需求预测时说，下行风险依然很大，这表明存在进一步调整的可能性，尤其是在第二季度。尽管OPECAnd Russia and other nonOPEC产油国已同意在5、6月份联合减产970bucket/Day.



　　从技术面来看，原油昨天开盘在19.908dollar/桶位置，开盘后出现走高，在触及20.058dollar/桶位置出现承压，随后出现快速下跌，最低给到了18.028dollar/桶位置出现了反弹，在近期走势中，油价在触及19.1-20.5The interval is running42个小时区间震荡，随后出现了区间下破，油价进一步出现走低，油价表现比较弱势；4From an hourly perspective:5MAand10MADead fork operation,MACD两线低位平行运行，DIFandDEA均小于0，处于零轴以下，MACD动力弱势运行，但仍属于空头范畴。目前20.0形成短线的阻力，多次试探也未打破，多单入场 。1小时显示行情处于震荡下行的趋势，操作上高空操作为主，上方 60均线上方压力不破可接空单继续看空。综合来看，下周一短线操作思路上徐博鸿个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注19.8-20.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below17.0-17.2Frontline support.



Suggestions for crude oil operations next Monday:



　　1The rebound above the crude oil does not break19.8-20.0Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target18.0-17.8frontline;



　　2The downward correction of crude oil does not break17.0-17.2Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target18.3-18.5frontline;



　　3The market is constantly changing, and the points are for reference only. Investment is risky, and entering the market requires caution. For more details, please follow Xu Bohong himself|Wei:xbh768；



　　黄金：周五(4month17day)，金价一度下跌了2%，美国总统重新开放美国经济的新指导方针出台，最新公布的新冠病毒治疗药物的初步数据也鼓舞了投资者，推动他们转向风险更高的资产。亚市早盘开于1716.36dollar/Ounces, highest rising to1718.20dollar/Ounces, lowest dip1678.75dollar/Ounces, closing1684.19dollar/Ounces, down33.41USD or1.95%，本周下跌4.71USD or0.28%。金价较本周稍早触及的7年半峰值1746.40dollar/盎司下跌逾60美元，因市场担心经济陷入数十年来最严重的衰退，金价一度大跌。



　　现货黄金从日线来看，金价受阻于1750水平后逐步回落，KDJ指标在超买区顶背离且死叉开口跌出，并结合K线结构，暗示行情继续下行的风险相当高。MACD金叉，红色动能柱缩窄，指示黄金回撤动能略微强化，表明市场对于黄金的看涨情绪有所减弱，同时警惕因超买出现深度回调。下方初步支撑在周一的低点1674一线，若金价持续走低，进一步下看1644一线，这也是黄金前期涨势的起点位。



Spot gold from4小时来看，震荡下破；金价跌破1700关口下方延续弱势；布林带下轨开口，MACDDead fork,KDJDead cross with exponent at20下方，表明短线可能进一步走低，短线也将继续承压下跌。下方支撑先留意1680支撑位，进一步支撑在1674Nearby, if the support at this position is effectively breached, we will go to explore it1644Support position, this is3If the points tested since the end of the month fail again, the support level below will further look towards1600关口。下周黄金上方关注5Daily moving average1690Resistance, followed by1700关口阻力位。综合来看，下周一短线操作思路上徐博鸿个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注1700-1702Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1670-1672Frontline support.



Suggestions for Gold's next Monday operation:



　　1The rebound above the gold does not break1700-1702Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1685-1683frontline;



　　2The pullback below the gold does not break1670-1672Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1683-1685frontline;



　　3、策略仅供参考，盘间行情实时变化具体进场点位以徐博鸿微信(xbh768)Subject to firm offer



　　博鸿寄语：我们所做的都属于风险投资，如果没有合理的控制好风险，总是亏损，只是一味的投入资金，那就失去做投资的意义！投资凭借的不是运气，而是精准判断盘势，冷静面对大盘起落，情绪绝不随着输赢起舞。风险不可怕，可怕的是，让风险失控！你还在为了无数次的止损而烦恼？还在为了一做单就反方向而郁闷？还是为了一点蝇头小利而仓皇逃跑？专业的事情请交给专业的人来做，无尽的止盈来源于合作！



[The above suggestions are for reference only. The article has a lag effect, and the specific points are subject to actual trading. Reasonably control the position, avoid heavy or full position operations, and strictly stop loss and stop profit when placing orders.]



This article is written by Xu Bohong (WeChat:xbh768---）As a contributor, I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publication, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source of the reprint.