Xu Bohong:4.19Next week's market outlook--Analysis Strategy for the Opening Trend of Gold Crude Oil Next Week

　下周投资国际goldcrude oilHow to analyze the market trend? What do you think about the long and short positions of gold and crude oil today? How to recover losses from spot gold investment? How to operate gold crude oil in the short term? Where are the current resistance and support levels for gold? How should beginners invest in gold and crude oil? Will London gold continue to rise today? Will crude oil continue to decline? What recent news will affect the trend of gold and crude oil? What is the impact of the rise and fall of the US dollar on gold? Analysis of today's market trend of gold and crude oil and operational suggestions. Will spot gold continue to rise today? Will US crude oil continue to decline? How to operate international gold and crude oil today?



Message: Saturday(4month18day)This week, the gold price surged and fell back, but it basically closed flat and had a long shadow weekkThe launch of Trump's plan to reopen the United States has led to a slight improvement in market risk sentiment, with gold prices falling from a seven-year high. However, many supporting factors remain strong medium-term support for gold prices, the weak state of the US economy, the global economy deeply mired in recession, the Federal Reserve's unlimited easing measures, the US government's fiscal deficit, and political risks, all of which are important factors supporting the long-term rise of gold prices.



　　展望下周，投资者仍然要密切关注全球抗击疫情的最新动态，同时关注美联储是否有新的动作，另外也要留意美国政局的变动。接下来让我们对近期影响金价的因素做一些分析，从而更好的把握未来金价可能的走势方向。



　　原油：周五(4month17day)欧洲时段，两大国际原油futures价格转跌，一季度GDPThe unexpected contraction has offset the optimism previously brought about by US President Trump's plan to restart economic activity. Saudi Arabia stated that it has notified some refining companies in Asia,5We will supply crude oil in full according to the contracted quantity every month.OPECIt is now believed that due to the outbreak of the coronavirus, global demand will shrink69010000 barrels/On the other hand, there is expected to be a slight increase last month.OPECWhen it comes to demand forecasting, the downside risk remains significant, indicating the possibility of further adjustments, especially in the second quarter. althoughOPECAnd Russia and other nonOPECOil producing countries have agreed to5、6Monthly joint production reduction970bucket/Day.



　　从技术面来看，原油昨天开盘在19.908dollar/桶位置，开盘后出现走高，在触及20.058dollar/桶位置出现承压，随后出现快速下跌，最低给到了18.028dollar/桶位置出现了反弹，在近期走势中，油价在触及19.1-20.5The interval is running42个小时区间震荡，随后出现了区间下破，油价进一步出现走低，油价表现比较弱势；4From an hourly perspective:5MAand10MADead fork operation,MACD两线低位平行运行，DIFandDEA均小于0，处于零轴以下，MACD动力弱势运行，但仍属于空头范畴。目前20.0形成短线的阻力，多次试探也未打破，多单入场 。1小时显示行情处于震荡下行的趋势，操作上高空操作为主，上方 60均线上方压力不破可接空单继续看空。综合来看，下周一短线操作思路上徐博鸿个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注19.8-20.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below17.0-17.2Frontline support.



Suggestions for crude oil operations next Monday:



　　1The rebound above the crude oil does not break19.8-20.0Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target18.0-17.8frontline;



　　2The downward correction of crude oil does not break17.0-17.2Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target18.3-18.5frontline;



　　3The market is constantly changing, and the points are for reference only. Investment is risky, and entering the market requires caution. For more details, please follow Xu Bohong himself|Wei:xbh768；



　　黄金：周五(4month17day)The gold price once fell2%，美国总统重新开放美国经济的新指导方针出台，最新公布的新冠病毒治疗药物的初步数据也鼓舞了投资者，推动他们转向风险更高的资产。亚市早盘开于1716.36dollar/Ounces, highest rising to1718.20dollar/Ounces, lowest dip1678.75dollar/Ounces, closing1684.19dollar/Ounces, down33.41USD or1.95%This week's decline4.71USD or0.28%The gold price touched earlier this week7Half year peak1746.40dollar/Ounces fell by more than60美元，因市场担心经济陷入数十年来最严重的衰退，金价一度大跌。



　　现货黄金从日线来看，金价受阻于1750After the level gradually drops,KDJThe indicator deviates from the top of the overbought area and falls out of the dead cross, and combines withKThe line structure implies that the risk of the market continuing to decline is quite high.MACDGolden cross, the red momentum column narrows, indicating a slight strengthening of gold's pullback momentum, indicating a weakening of the market's bullish sentiment towards gold, while also being wary of a deep pullback due to overbought. The initial support below is at Monday's low point1674On the front line, if the gold price continues to decline, look further down1644一线，这也是黄金前期涨势的起点位。



Spot gold from4小时来看，震荡下破；金价跌破1700Continued weakness below the checkpoint; The opening of the lower band of the Bollinger Bands,MACDDead fork,KDJDead cross with exponent at20Below, it indicates that the short-term market may further decline, and the short-term market will continue to be under pressure and fall. Pay attention to the support below first1680Support position, further support in1674Nearby, if the support at this position is effectively breached, we will go to explore it1644Support position, this is3If the points tested since the end of the month fail again, the support level below will further look towards1600Pass. Pay attention to the gold market next week5Daily moving average1690Resistance, followed by1700关口阻力位。综合来看，下周一短线操作思路上徐博鸿个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注1700-1702Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1670-1672Frontline support.



Suggestions for Gold's next Monday operation:



　　1The rebound above the gold does not break1700-1702Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1685-1683frontline;



　　2The pullback below the gold does not break1670-1672Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1683-1685frontline;



　　3、策略仅供参考，盘间行情实时变化具体进场点位以徐博鸿微信(xbh768)Subject to firm offer



　　博鸿寄语：我们所做的都属于风险投资，如果没有合理的控制好风险，总是亏损，只是一味的投入资金，那就失去做投资的意义！投资凭借的不是运气，而是精准判断盘势，冷静面对大盘起落，情绪绝不随着输赢起舞。风险不可怕，可怕的是，让风险失控！你还在为了无数次的止损而烦恼？还在为了一做单就反方向而郁闷？还是为了一点蝇头小利而仓皇逃跑？专业的事情请交给专业的人来做，无尽的止盈来源于合作！



[The above suggestions are for reference only. The article has a lag effect, and the specific points are subject to actual trading. Reasonably control the position, avoid heavy or full position operations, and strictly stop loss and stop profit when placing orders.]



This article is written by Xu Bohong (WeChat:xbh768---）As a contributor, I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publication, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source of the reprint.