Zhou Hongjin:4.19Next week's market outlook-The opening trend and operational strategy of gold crude oil

Summary:goldMarket trends, gold trading strategies, gold market analysiscrude oilTrend analysis and crude oil operation suggestions
　　
　　当你看到这篇文章时，我已经明白你目前遇到困境，那么首先周鸿金想表明一点，你们能够在千万篇分析贴中看到我的文章这是一种缘分，既然是一种缘分，那么我希望能够保持下去，找到我并且与我交流，那么你目前遇到的困境或许是周鸿金入行以来见到过到许许多多例子当中的其中一个而已，所以你可以把所遇到的问题都拿出来与我交流，既能够让自己能够在我这边多学习一点知识，也能够多明白一点道理，甚至能够在这个变化莫测的市场中持续存活并持续获利。当然你目前持续在亏损，那么你便要在心里在反问自己的问题出现在哪里，还是说我缺少一个和自己有默契的老师？那么我想只要你认真的看了周鸿金的分析，你必定会有收获！
　　
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　　刚刚过去的一周，卫生事件大考正式拉开帷幕！卫生事件肆虐令世界多国陷入封锁状态，全球供应链被撕裂，本周丑陋的宏观数据以及企业财报正在凸显出经济遭到的深度破坏，多份悲观的全球经济报告更是令前景布满阴霾。在这种绝望的战时状态中，唯一的希望就是卫生事件逐渐见顶、经济活动重启。因有初步迹象显示，卫生事件最严重的欧洲、美国部分地区到达卫生事件最高峰，欧美开始逐渐解除封锁，美国总统川普16Announced a three-stage restart. The record breaking weak data, bleak corporate financial reports, and extremely pessimistic global economic forecasts in the first half of the week dampened sentiment, and safe haven sentiment pushed gold prices to a seven-and-a-half-year high, with the US dollar briefly breaking through100However, as Trump revived its economic plan to bring hope, the stock market rebounded, the dollar and gold prices both fell, and the oil price collapsed.
　　
　　接下来的一周，市场将会公布一系列重磅经济数据，其中包括英国就业数据，英国零售和CPIData, Eurozone and UK manufacturing industryPMIManufacturing industry in the United StatesPMIIn addition to daily monitoring of financial events and data such as durable goods orders in the United States, investors also need to closely monitor the progress of overseas public health and safety issues, as well as new policy developments from governments and central banks around the world.
　　
1、 Analysis of the trend of spot gold
　　
　　刚刚过去的一周，金价冲高回落，当周基本收平，并收出长上影周kLine, Trump's plan to re open the United States was launched, and the market risk sentiment had a little good change, and the gold price fell back from the seven-year high. However, many supporting factors remain strong medium-term support for gold prices, the weak state of the US economy, the global economy deeply mired in recession, the Federal Reserve's unlimited easing measures, the US government's fiscal deficit, and political risks, all of which are important factors supporting the long-term rise of gold prices.
　　
　　技术面来看，国际金价周二最高触及近七年半高点1747.36Refresh again to2012year11After reaching its highest level since the end of the month, it came under pressure and fell back, briefly breaking through1680At the US dollar level, the deepest decline reached2.20%, refresh4month13Since the low point of the day1679.94dollar/Ounces, ultimately recording a large bearish line, daily lineMACDThe golden fork but the red one can start to shrink,KDJForming a dead cross in overbought areas, gold price falls1700Integer level, there is a risk of further pullback in the short term, with initial support at the weekly low1676Nearby, if it continues to decline, take a closer look1644First line, this is1703.39-1451.55Downtrend76.4%Retreat position, however, due toMACDThe golden cross signal is still present, and the moving average is still in a bullish position. If the gold price remains stable1676If there is support nearby, we still need to be vigilant about the possibility of a volatile rebound in gold prices,1700If the gold price recovers from the initial resistance level above, it will weaken the short-term bearish signal,5Daily moving average resistance1711.97nearby,If the position is recovered, it will increase the short-term bullish signal, and the resistance at Thursday's high point will be1738.7Nearby, further strong resistance reached a seven-and-a-half-year high on Tuesday1747.36Nearby; Overall, the operational strategy for next Monday is based on last week's Hongjin（zh66646）My personal suggestion is to prioritize high altitude and prioritize low altitude;
　　
Focus on resistance above:1700.00；1711.97；
　　
Focus on support below:1680.00；1676.00
　　
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　　二、美原油走势分析（2006Contract No.)
　　
　　刚刚过去的一周，美原油价格大幅下挫，五月futuresThe contract fell to an 18 year low. The three major crude oil market reports show that the global crude oil market is experiencing a historic impact.IMF报告显示，全球经济陷入大萧条以来最为严重的衰退，虽然，沙特和俄罗斯最终达成了减产协议，但减产的幅度和规模远远还达不到缓和市场供过于求的背景，而沙特方面进一步减产的可能性依然很低，诸多迹象显示，当前施压油价的因素依然很多，油价究竟会跌至什么价位难以判断。不过当前油价所处的环境可能是最为困难的环境，而油价已经基本充分消化了诸多利空，投资者要对油价可能出现的强劲反弹保持谨慎。
　　
　　技术面来看，油价涨跌互现，美国原油库存迅速增加，抵消了美国总统川普关于美国经济从卫生事件封锁中重启的计划带来的乐观情绪。美国原油期货触及逾18年低点，延续了跌势，周到期的5The monthly US crude oil contract fell to per barrel during trading17.31The daily low of the US dollar is2001year11The lowest level since the beginning of the month;5monthWTIContract ratio6Monthly contract discount close7dollar/Bucket, approaching11The largest term price difference in the past year; This futures will be available in4month21Due to expiration, investors quickly transition from5The monthly US crude oil futures contract has been transferred6月合约；日线录得六连阴，MACDGolden fork,KDJ也有结成金叉的迹象，布林线轨道开始收口，上方阻力首先关注30Daily moving average25.73，进一步阻力关注因合约切换造成的跳空高点26.78，上方强阻力留意30整数关口，若突破该位置，则上行通道将被打开；不过，由于由于5号合约比6号合约贴水近7美元，日图显示的暴涨属于一种假象，下方初步支撑首先关注布林线中轨24.31Nearby, further support at10Daily moving average23.72Nearby, if the position is lost, the oil price may step back again20整数关口，一旦该位置失守，预计油价将回补因合约切换造成的跳空缺口，重新下探19.20一线；综合来看，综合来看，油价短线仍然偏向震荡下行，但是周鸿金（zh66646）个人建议下周短线操作思路上看空不追空，耐心等待反弹信号布局中线多单即可；
　　
Focus on resistance above:25.73；26.78；
　　
Focus on support below:24.31；23.72;
　　
　　行情实时变化，策略仅供参考，实时进出场点位及中长线布局咨询周鸿金免费获取！
　　
Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
　　
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　　市场并不会简单的朝着预期的方向进行，通往成功的路都是曲折的，而一旦走反，则将会失去方向，进入恶性循环，行情也同样如此，趋势是一定的，但是绝对不会简单地朝着预定方向一直走，期间会出来曲折而动摇人的内心，这时候就需要好的心态来面对，不受短线的走势所影响，这就是前期我们一直坚定布局波段，都能成功获利的原因，不忘初心，方得始终！投资市场需要定力，需要持之以恒的决心，才能在市场收获利润！没有不成功的投资，只有不成功的操作！解读世界经济要闻，剖析全球投资趋势，对黄金、原油投资有兴趣却无从下手或者已经在接触却并不理想的朋友，可以咨询订阅关注“周鸿金”（zh66646）Get the latest financial information, daily market trend analysis, real-time trading strategies, and medium to long term layout.
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