Xu Bohong:4.17Today's analysis of the trend of gold and crude oil shows that gold will first see a decline in early trading

　特朗普公布允许美国经济重新开放的指引特朗普称，经济将分三阶段复苏，美国已经渡过新冠肺炎疫情的高峰期，预计美国经济一经开放就会繁荣起来。指引没有对重新开放经济指引的任何一个阶段设定时间表，各州州长可根据本州情况执行指引，而不依赖于联邦政府的命令。美国小企业贷款资金未获进展美国小企业贷款计划资金耗尽。当地时间周四，美国参议院进行了简单的“形式”会议，但未能就2500An agreement has been reached to supplement funding for the billion dollar small business loan program. It is reported that this deadlock will last at least until next Monday, and the US Senate will4month20Day27Rihe30Hold formal meetings on a daily basis. The number of initial jobless claims has exceeded one million for four consecutive weeks in the United States4month11Record of initial claims for unemployment benefits for the current week524.5Ten thousand, higher than expected500Ten thousand, the number of initial jobless claims in the past four weeks has accumulated to about2200Wan has basically wiped out all the new employment since the financial crisis. In addition, the United States4Monthly fee city Fed manufacturing index hits1980The worst performance since the beginning of the year. Moody's expects the average US unemployment rate in the second quarter to be8.8%-16.2%S&P states that the United States5The overall monthly unemployment rate may reach19%Federal Reserve Williams: The Federal Reserve will take all measures to support the economy. Williams said that the Federal Reserve is ready to use all tools to achieve its goals and has not seen any signs of a reversal in the long-term downward trend of interest rates. It may take one to two years to fully recover the economy, but restarting the economy will be earlier than this time. One of the risks facing the global economy is that we have not yet seen the full impact of COVID-19 because there has not been a large-scale outbreak in some regions.

　　


　　周四现货goldThe overall trend shows an initial rise followed by a decline, with an upward trend starting in the afternoon and reaching its peak near25USD to1738.6dollar/ounce. although20:30The initial application data released exceeded500Ten thousand people, higher than expected, but the price of gold has turned downward. The strengthening of the US dollar index during the US trading session also puts pressure on the price of gold, with the lowest drop in gold prices1707.93dollar/Ounces, lower than daily highs30US dollar, final increase0.05%Report1716.88dollar/Ounces;

　　

　　今日黄金开盘在1715Yesterday morning, gold fell all the way to1700Here, we have encountered support rebound1715Above, today's focus is on1700This support can be seen from the four hour chartmacdThe green momentum column extends downwards, and there may be short-term retracement movements in the morning. Current price1717You can leave it blank for now, please pay attention to the above1724Frontline pressure, attention needs to be paid below1700Frontline support; In the future, gold will stand tall1800Even higher2000We have mentioned this before;

　　

　　早盘交易策略：

　　

　　1717Short position nearby, stop loss1722, Objective1707；

　　

　　入内下方触及1702Multiple frontlines, stop loss1698, Objective1715；

　　

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In terms of the oil market, the trend of the two oil days was volatile, with the Asian oil market initially rising nearly3%Afterwards, it fell back and the European market turned up again, with the highest oil price rising nearly5%However, after a period of decline, there was a rebound in the end of the day, and eventually it ended up rising1.65%Report28.39dollar/Barrel;WTIcrude oilClosing down1.88%Report19.78dollar/Bucket. Further increase in crude oil volume at the bottom, consolidation weakened at the beginning of the week, confirmed by yesterday's downward trend19Nearby low point, weekly close to the rising low point of the rising star, pay attention today19.20Low point defense, holding this position is a consolidation and rebound at the bottom of the market. If it breaks down again, it will continue to be accompanied by a bottoming out and rebound. This will prolong the time. Of course, Xu Bohong is still optimistic about the medium-term rebound. A weekly level rebound, after accelerating and increasing volume at the bottom, will have price but no quantity. Once the decline is stopped, the rebound will be relatively fast. At the same time, the current rebound space is greater than the decline space. Short term indicators have entered a low level of oversold. In today's trading, Xu Bohong suggests continuing to maintain the low level and taking long positions in batches. Short term focus above21.8-22.3Frontline resistance, short-term focus below19.5-19.0Frontline support.

　　

　　早盘原油交易策略：

　　

　　20.8Short position, stop loss21.2, look at the goal19Breaking through;

　　

　　撰稿人：徐博鸿

　　

　　行情策略分析撰写：风险控制技术部徐博鸿团队。转载请注明出处，文章内容仅供参考。文章具有滞后性和时效性，建议操作上以徐博鸿团队指导实盘为准。——或许我的一句话，能帮你突破困扰很久的技术瓶颈，或许我的一个交易观点，能帮你避免几百甚至几千上万美金的损失，或许你这次的尝试，让你找到正确的努力方向。