MBG Markets：黄金创近七年新高，油价再度击穿20USD barrier

Focus of foreign exchange market

[li]Trading preference – This week is relatively weak compared to Europe/Beauty（EURUSD）,And I think it was recommended last weekAustralia/Beauty（AUDUSD）, New/Beauty（NZDUSD）It is close to a high level and can partially realize profits.
[/li][li]On the European side,近日欧元涨势喜人，一是受美元回落的支撑，二是受空头回补提振，因有迹象显示欧元区的疫情有所缓解。但考虑到欧元区经济前景依然黯淡，因此，本周我们维持欧元为先升后跌的结构。技术上，支撑上移到1.0900Pressure1.1000在逐渐减小，中期压力上移到1.1100。
[/li][li]On the UK side,随着美元流动性这一问题得到缓解，这在一定程度上也利好英镑，另外，英国首相康复出院对英镑形成了一定支撑。技术上，长期均线依然存在明显压制，ascontinueupside 1.2650above将面临较大压力，thereforeinvestor可以consider在此价位附近兑现partprofit。
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[li]In terms of commodity currency,随着疫情得到缓解，全球股市的上涨，继续利好澳元、纽元。另外，好于预期的中国出口数据也令澳元涨幅扩大，但考虑到澳大利亚将于周四将公布3月就业数据，由于疫情影响，我们认为或将施压澳元。因此，我们认为商品货币短期已经接近高位，可以兑现部分利润。技术上，短期澳/beautiful0.6450, New/beautiful0.6200将面临一定压力。
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[li]In terms of safe haven currencies,短期来看美元还将继续承压，主要是因美联储通过一系列措施向金融体系注入大量美元，加剧了当前美元的疲态。不过，考虑到市场对于避险和现金的需求，美元或许不会出现太大幅下行。今晚20:30美国将公布3月零售销售月率，预期为-8%，这将创下历史新低，降幅甚至超金融危机时两倍，值得投资者关注。因此，我们预计美元将再次陷入震荡，技术上，关注98.5Nearby support.
[/li][li]beautiful/日一方面受到美元影响，另外一方面受到gold上涨影响，短线出现了一定回落。我们还是保持原来的观点，美/日短期或将继续保持弱势。
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[li]It is worth noting that the money market is2019The year shows a stable and significant weekly momentum reversal effect,MEXThe momentum reversal quantification strategy has repeatedly set new highs as a resultInvestors are2020You can continue to refer to our weekly suggested combinations for the year.
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[li]MEX Quantitative strategy year to date relative benchmarkS&P 500 Total Return IndexAnnualized alpha（ α） by13%.The quantitative model adjusts positions weekly and places orders at the opening on Mondays and closes positions on Fridays, with each currency facing a standard hand,Suggest setting stop loss at0.3％. Without considering actual leverage,MEXThe quantitative strategy has significantly outperformed the target since the beginning of the yearFor details, please refer to《Quantitative Topic: Construction Based on Momentum Reversal StrategyG7Currency hedging portfolio》.The net value of the portfolio increased last week4.52%And set a new historical high.This week's combination and as of Beijing time4month15day07:05The profit and loss are as follows, with a positive spread (storage fee).
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commodity market

[li]Trading preference – 本周我们维持黄金（XAU）Andcrude oil（WTI）For structures with excessive oscillations.长期来看，全球低利率为黄金提供了支撑。另外，随着新冠疫情肆虐全球经济，并引发大规模刺激计划出台，投资者纷纷涌入黄金避险。Overall, we still maintain a strong and volatile structure for gold.
[/li][li]In terms of oil prices,OPEC+已达成减产协议，这对油价形成一定利多。但鉴于疫情依旧严峻，经济复苏可能非常缓慢，投资者押注全球产油国新达成的创纪录减产协议，难以抵消新冠疫情造成的燃料需求破坏，油价下行。totalofcome and see，我们认为这确实为未来提供了一个价格“底部”。技术上，支撑位在20附近，压力位在27Near.
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stock market indexprospect

[li]股指方面，因有迹象显示冠状病毒疫情正在平稳或缓和，恒指周二最终收涨0.56%。盘面上，中资券商股午后飙升，在线教育股与医疗设备股走高。Considering the impact of the epidemic, it is recommended that investors still prioritize defense. In terms of technical form,24500There is some pressure, below23000是短期支撑。
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abstract

[li]CFTCThe cash flow data shows that the Australian dollar and New Zealand dollar are at their extreme short positions. Therefore, we believe that in the short term, with the inflow of funds and support for a rebound, but the current price is already high, and a surge can realize some profits. In addition, the long position of the euro is also at its extreme.
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[li]Australia/United States, New Zealand/United States, Pound/Mei can cash in some profits.
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Target price	Europe/beautiful	beautiful/day	Pound/beautiful	beautiful/plus	Australia/beautiful	Newtonian/beautiful
short-term	1.1000	107.00	1.2650	1.3850	0.6450	0.6100
midline	1.1000	107.00	1.2650	1.3850	0.6450	0.6100

Target price	WTI	XAU
short-term	20.00	1,730
midline	20.00	1,730

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