Li Dingyuan:4.4下周黄金还会涨吗？周一金价行情走势分析及操作建议

　　市场亏亏赚赚才是行情--盈亏就像坐过山车，有高峰，也有低谷，这意味着，无论眼下是好是坏，都只是暂时的。在这个过程中或多或少会有伤痕和不顺心的时候，但伤痕是过去，过去不等于现在，更不等于未来，无论过去多么不幸，多么伤痕累累，这都不重要，重要的是当方向错了，有没有学会停止，这是硬伤。细节决定成败，选择一定比努力要更重要。如果再好的船手在海面上当方向错了后，任何方向吹来的风都将是逆风.

　　

Friday(4month3day)美市盘中，金价走高，现货gold一度涨逾10USD, refresh3month30The highest point since the beginning of the day1625.85美元，因此前惨淡的美国非农就业数据放大了新冠疫情造成的经济影响，尽管美元走强限制了金价涨幅，暂时重归盘整行情，3月非农整体释放出悲观的信号，这令美国就业市场以及经济表现令人担忧。不过似乎市场对此已有预期，因此市场走势较为适度。日内避险买盘继续涌入，这为美元和黄金都带来了一定支撑。
　　
　　黄金日线来看：震荡；黄金逼近前一交易日高位后有所承压，MACDGolden fork,KDJbe located70上方但三线均拐头向下，有形成死叉趋势，短线来看，金价虽仍是看多情绪偏强，但上行动能有限。随着金价目前位于1600关口上方，市场仍以看多情绪为主，上行阻力先留意1640美元一线，这是1703.39-1451.55Downtrend76.4%回撤位，具有较强阻力。值得注意，金价曾在上周连续两个交易日测试该点位，但均未能有效突破。因此，一旦该点位被攻破，必将提振看涨预期，有望测试前高1703USD, this is2012年末以来触及的最高位。
　　
　　若金价再度承压回落失守1600关口，那么将再度回测1575美元一线，这是本周测试的低位，同时也接近1703-1451下跌趋势50%回撤位，具有较强支撑性，一旦该防线失守，下看1546一线附近，这是100Daily moving average and38.2%回撤位重合处，同时也在前期多次被测试，若再度下破，料彻底反转跌势，目标位看向1500关口，该心理关口一旦跌破，不出意外将重测前低1450One line of US dollars.
　　
Gold4小时来看：区间震荡；金价近期维持在1575-1630区间震荡，若该区间不能突破，可维持高抛低吸，或是等待决定性突破指引。上行方面，先关注1630美元一线，这是布林带上轨处，对价格上行有一定阻力，上破后重点关注1645美元一线，这是震荡区间的上轨，此前经过多次测试，具有较强的参考价值，若上破，进一步打开上行空间，阻力位上看前期高点1703。
　　
CurrentlyMACDGolden fork,KDJ随机指标略偏向下，指示黄金短线可能继续小幅回落。若金价失守布林带中轨1602附近支撑，将增加短线看跌情绪，关注下方1575美元附近。该点位是100均线与布林带下轨交汇处，同时也接近1451.55-1645.00上涨趋势38.2%回撤位，局有较强支撑性，下破后料跌至50%Retreat position1550美元一线，同时也是此前测试的支撑位。下周黄金操作上李鼎缘建议关注1600-1630震荡区间能否被突破，突破后顺势操作；在没有突破时，可以逢高空低多进行交易。
　　
　　下周一黄金操作建议：
　　
　　1Gold rebound1625Short selling, defense1630Look at the target below1615-1600一线；破位看1580Area;
　　
　　2、黄金回调不破1600Go long nearby, defend1595On the target1610-1615frontline;
　　
　　以上观点仅代表鼎缘个人看法，如果你觉得上述鼎缘的观点对你有帮助，可以尝试添加鼎缘菋//Line“ldy86588”Every day, there will be timely analysis of the gold strategy, as well as real-time guidance and one-on-one consulting services, dedicated to answering every investment challenge you face.

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Personal feedback on making orders:
　　
　　1Spot: The spot where the order is placed is quite important, although gold.crude oil是多和空两种模式操作，其实是四种操作方法，低多，低空，高多，高空这四种，在单边势头中，这四种模式都是可取的，如果是在震荡趋势中，切记不可低空和高多，这样就相当于追涨杀跌，万万切记，很多人都是追涨杀跌导致亏损。
　　
　　2Stop loss: Before placing an order, you should think about the stop loss price and whether it is reasonable. After placing an order, you should immediately fill in the stop loss price. Why do you need to fill in the stop loss at the beginning? If the market is not the situation you want to go, then you can reduce losses in the first place. Stop loss means to stop losses. Only small losses can maintain vitality, and sometimes you need to be willing to give up, It's not that you're losing this time and won't be able to earn back next time. You need to control the risks of your investment.
　　
　　3Positions: How funds are allocated is related to the level of psychological resilience. If a position is too large or full, once the trend reverses, losses will increase, and psychological stress will also increase. Often, it is not possible to carefully analyze market trends, resulting in incorrect operations.
　　
　　4Stop profit: Many people often fail to do a good job of stopping profit, resulting in profit orders becoming loss orders. In a unilateral trend, stop profit can be increased by using the push stop loss method to increase profit space. Stop profit often requires personal thinking to close positions, not every order must earn tens of thousands or even tens of thousands. In a volatile market, sometimes a few hundred profits add up.
　　
　　5Attitude: This is the most important point that every investor must grasp. When you enter this market, it is undeniable that everyone is trying to make money, but your attitude determines how far you will go on the investment path. What you need to achieve is to rather make small profits than lose money, rather than thinking about earning more and earning less.
　　
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Analysis writer: Li Dingyuan  Wei-Core（ ldy86588） Official account (Li Dingyuan)
　　
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