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失业金数据恐再破记录,美日或出现空头趋势

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Thursday night20:30即将公布截止3month28日的当周初请失业金人数。上周该数据创纪录达328万人,历史上1982年最高失业金领取人数也就70万左右。如此夸张的数据体现出美国国内的经济不景气程度。

失业金数据恐再破记录,美日或出现空头趋势614 / author:GKFXPrimeJiekai / PostsID:1540232
(初请失业金人数历史曲线)

根据最新的统计数据显示,截止4month2day6:30,美国累计确诊病例达21万多人,成为全球首个超过20万的国家。

失业金数据恐再破记录,美日或出现空头趋势961 / author:GKFXPrimeJiekai / PostsID:1540232
(美国最新疫情图)

由于疫情在美国国内的肆虐,各大机构认为本周的初请人数会再次上破前一周的记录。其中高盛分析师预期人数将直破500万,达550万人,同时认为今晚市场避险情绪将上涨。

失业金数据恐再破记录,美日或出现空头趋势838 / author:GKFXPrimeJiekai / PostsID:1540232
(机构对于最新失业金人数预测)


今日失业金数据相较于本周五的非农就业数据可能更加重要。周五非农就业报告中的失业率数据是截止3month18日,所以无法完全展示美国自3月下旬以来的失业影响。


在前期美元流动性紧张以及避险情绪下美元不断升值,到3month23日开始回落。一般而言,失业金领取人数的上涨意味着短期内会出现严重的负面影响,对于国家主权货币来说会形成打压作用。但无法否认,当前美国货币和财政政策都在进一步放松,短期效果暂时未呈现。而差劲的失业金人数带来的恐慌情绪可能反而会带动美元需求上涨。美指在今晚走势的不确定性,不建议交易者操作交易。根据GKFX PrimeProvidedTrading Central套件,其中ADC插件显示日元在4小时周期上出现新的一轮下跌预期。若今晚数据公布后带动避险情绪上涨,交易者可以关注日元的升值趋势。
失业金数据恐再破记录,美日或出现空头趋势345 / author:GKFXPrimeJiekai / PostsID:1540232
USD/JPY4On the hourly chartADC插件 sourceGKFXPrime MT4)


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失业金数据恐再破记录,美日或出现空头趋势197 / author:GKFXPrimeJiekai / PostsID:1540232
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失业金数据恐再破记录,美日或出现空头趋势783 / author:GKFXPrimeJiekai / PostsID:1540232
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