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Focus of foreign exchange market
· Trading preference – 本周相对较为看好澳/Beauty(AUDUSD)和看弱欧/Beauty(EURUSD)。欧元区和德国制造业数据的疲软,叠加美元的走强欧元下行。今日欧元区和德国将公布服务业PMI,考虑到肺炎疫情影响,恐继续施压欧元。Technically, 1.0900 已经跌破,再往下支撑为1.0800。
· On the UK side,虽然英国制造业数据的疲软和美元的强势施压英镑,但近期英镑的跌幅并不大,我们认为主要是英央行不太可能继续宽松的货币政策给英镑带来了一定支撑。Technically,1.2400以上压力较大,下方短线关注1.2200Support.
· In terms of commodity currency,股市的上涨和油价反弹, 给商品货币提供了一定支撑。但美元的强势限制了其升幅。另外,鉴于中国制造业数据的回升,我们认为接下来澳元的反弹步伐将取决于中国经济的复苏速度, 而加元的走势将取决于油价的走势。技术上,短期澳/beautiful0.6200、纽/beautiful0.6050将面临压力,不过,我们认为调整以后还有上升空间。
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· It is worth noting that the money market plays a crucial role in2019The year shows a stable and significant weekly momentum reversal effect,MEXThe momentum reversal quantization strategy has repeatedly set new highs as a resultInvestors2020You can continue to refer to our weekly suggested combination for the year.