MEX MARKETS Morning Express

View All · Published on 2020-4-2 13:45:22

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Focus of foreign exchange market

·    Trading preference – 本周相对较为看好澳/Beauty（AUDUSD）和看弱欧/Beauty（EURUSD）。昨日欧元因欧元区制造业数据疲软而受到拖累，考虑到肺炎疫情影响，我们认为欧元区经济陷入衰退是大概率事情，因此，我们维持欧元中期承压。Technically, 下方短期可关注1.0900Support.

·    On the UK side,就目前来看，英镑的回落主要还是由于英国制造业数据发布以后短线卖盘给英镑带来压力。同样考虑到疫情影响，经济前景的变差我们认为恐将中期施压英镑。Technically,1.2400以上压力较大，下方短线关注1.2200Support.

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·    In terms of commodity currency,昨日因疫情发展和制造业数据推动避险，商品货币澳元、加元跌幅居前。另外，从澳联储会议纪来看，澳大利亚或许已经出现了实质性的萎缩，叠加全球贸易遭遇重创，短期商品货币承压。但鉴于中国制造业数据的回升，我们认为接下来澳元的反弹步伐将取决于中国经济的复苏速度。技术上，短期澳/beautiful0.6200、纽/beautiful0.6050将面临压力，不过，我们认为调整以后还有上升空间。

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·    It is worth noting that the money market plays a crucial role in2019The year shows a stable and significant weekly momentum reversal effect,MEXThe momentum reversal quantization strategy has repeatedly set new highs as a resultInvestors2020You can continue to refer to our weekly suggested combination for the year.