Zhou Hongjin:3.30黄金区间承压，原油供应泛滥-晚间黄金原油行情走势分析策略

Summary:gold行情走势、黄金交易策略、黄金行情解析、crude oilTrend analysis and crude oil operation suggestions
　　
The most important thing about investing is not how much you can earn a week at a time. The key lies in whether you can make stable profits. Short term fluctuations, mid line bands, and long term trends are not good or bad methods. As long as they are suitable for you, achieving stable profits is a good method. Operational risk is an objective and inevitable factor, and under certain conditions, it also has certain patterns. There are many investors in the market, some of whom do not believe in evil. As someone who has tried to persuade you, you must listen to some principles. If you do not listen to such experiences, you will understand some trading principles. It is actually easy to stay away from losses. In fact, the market writes a lot of analysis articles, and the strength of analysts lies not in the content of the article, but in the real order. Because the market is constantly changing, the real order has value. After implementing a set of strategies, the strategy is right and simple, The market has a regular pattern, and the operation requires methods. It is easy to accept the best one and make a profit.
Message interpretation:
　　3month30日（周一）现货黄金有所下跌，海外疫情继续恶化，金融市场或可能再度陷入恐慌，美元依旧受宠，黄金也有所回落。现货白银利多的因素更少，而美元流动性危机可能卷土重来，白银可能继续承压；同时，庞大的白银库存也令持有其的机会成本上升；全球经济遭遇重挫，电子汽车等行业受重创，也不利于白银的工业需求稳定。金价在先涨后跌之后出现微妙多空平衡，一方面机构投资者仍在抛售黄金维持美元现金流动性，但另一方面，散户投资者以及各大新兴经济体央行对于实物黄金的需求却升温。这一微妙平衡，在当前基本面情绪仍然维持于高度紧慎状况的背景下，仍会延续上一段时间。但大宗商品的暴跌行情还在继续，尤其是油市，日内美油跌破20大关，通胀前景转变为通缩前景，这不利于黄金的稳定性，毕竟商品属性依旧是主导了黄金长周期的表现。美国原油价格周一开盘后不久跌破每桶20美元关口，接近18年来的最低水平。交易员们押注，为应对卫生事件造成的需求锐减，石油生产将不得不停止。过去一个月，随着欧洲和北美大范围的停工导致石油需求大幅下降，油价下跌了一半以上。鸿金认为，全球正常石油消费可能会减少多达四分之一。
　　
1、 Analysis of the trend of spot gold
　　
　　尽管上周黄金录得2018年以来最大单周涨幅，但是因投资者对旨在减轻全球疫情大流行影响的政策持谨慎态度，流动性需求似乎再次出现抬头的迹象，因此上周五黄金录得下跌，且在本周一延续跌势。随着疫情在全球蔓延，流动性需求将取决于各国财政支持政策的力度，因此美国和欧洲能否就进一步财政措施达成共识将成为未来几个交易日市场的焦点。短时间黄金仍承压于1650/1640section.
　　
Technically speaking, the daily chartMACDandKDJGolden fork operation,5Daily moving average10日均线结成金叉，金价仍有进一步上攻机会，初步阻力在上周高点1645.02Nearby, further resistance3month11Daily high point1671.31附近，若能顶破该阻力，则增加后市看涨信号。不过，由于金价在1645附近受阻了近五个交易日，海外卫生事件进一步恶化，零售和黄金的实物需求前景悲观，大宗商品下跌，对金价形成拖累，金价短线面临一定的回调需求；初步支撑在日内低点1612.12Nearby,30The daily moving average is supported by1603.59附近，若回落至该位置下方，则增加后市看空信号；然后进一步支撑在10Daily moving average1566.80Nearby;100The daily moving average is supported by1542.62Nearby,200The daily moving average is supported by1509.44附近。综合来看，今日操作思路上周鸿金（zh66646）My personal suggestion is to prioritize high altitude and prioritize low altitude;
　　
Focus on resistance above:1625.21；1645.02；
　　
Focus on support below:1612.12；1603.59；
　　
　　行情实时变化，策略仅供参考，实时进出场点位及中长线布局咨询周鸿金免费获取！
　　
2、 Analysis of the trend of US crude oil
　　
　　在卫生事件封锁措施于全球最大经济体之间推行之际，全球石油供应泛滥到令人无法掌控，重负之下石油市场已无力招架。甚至有行业顾问公司指出，世界恐将在短短三个月后无处存放石油。随着全球各大经济体纷纷出台封锁措施以防控疫情，市场不堪需求暴跌以及不可控过剩的冲击，原油价格跌至17年来的最低点。
　　
　　技术面来看，国际油价继续走低，油价早间跳空低开，一度下破20dollar/桶，沙特和俄罗斯之间的价格战和卫生事件导致的石油需求直线下降对油价造成双重打击，日线MACDandKDJ死叉，油价短线面临进一步下探风险，初步支撑参考参考2002year2month7Daily low point19.27Nearby support, further support at2002year1month30Daily low point support at18.56附近；不过，由于MACD绿色柱持续萎缩，且KDJ也逼近超卖区域，若油价坚守20整数关口附近支撑，则需要警惕油价回补跳空缺口的可能，上方初步阻力在21整数关口附近，进一步阻力在周五收盘价21.84Nearby,5Daily moving average resistance22.85附近，若收复该位置，则削弱短线看空信号，10Daily moving average resistance23.65附近，若能顶破该阻力，则增加短线看涨信号；综合来看，今日操作思路上周鸿金（zh66646）My personal suggestion is to prioritize low altitude and supplement high altitude;
　　
Focus on resistance above:21.84；22.85；
　　
Focus on support below:20.00；19.27；
　　
　　行情实时变化，策略仅供参考，实时进出场点位及中长线布局咨询周鸿金免费获取！
　　
Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
　　
　　三、关于解ㄒ：因为周鸿金不知你的ㄒ单点位、仓位风险等具体ㄒ单情况，不能给出相应的解ㄒ策略。那么有需要的朋友可以咨询周鸿金或者关注“周鸿金”在此本人还是建议各位投资朋友以后做单不要抗单，仓位不要过重，避免下次再ㄒ，不是每次都是可以成功解ㄒ，不是每次都顺心如意，每一次的做单是应该有计划的做单，详情解ㄒ思路周鸿金将会在实盘实时在线给出，风险掌控及后续方案将会做出规划。
　　
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　　即使现状多么不堪，但是请你记住，没有一条路走到黑的行情，更没有一直亏损的投资，行情反反复复，操作亏亏赚赚，没人赚的彻底，都是摸滚打爬，稳稳当当，步步为营的结果。在这个良莠不齐的市场，亏损的人不少，但是或多或少都存在交易中的大问题，无论是心态不好，还是犹豫不决，还是不带止损，或者说喜欢抗单，锁仓，亏损不是偶然，总会有大问题存在，做投资不是一朝一夕，唯有摒弃这些坏毛病，孜孜不倦的学习，掌控风险，稳健操作，必然是你涅盘重生的时候。没有不成功的投资，只有不成功的操作！解读世界经济要闻，剖析全球投资趋势，对黄金、原油投资有兴趣却无从下手或者已经在接触却并不理想的朋友，订阅关注“周鸿金”（zh66646）Get the latest financial information, daily market trend analysis, real-time trading strategies, and medium to long term layout.
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