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Message: Friday(3month27day)亚洲时段,美元指数小幅走弱,初请失业金人数创纪录新高令市场对美国衰退的预期进一步升温,汇价短线偏向弱势;现货gold暂时守在近两周高位附近,多空消息掺杂,短线走势变数依然较大;crude oil市场,海外疫情的恶化令原油的需求前景进一步恶化,令油价持续承压。
黄金:展望今日周五(3month27日)国际黄金开盘表现承压,同昨日亚盘行情雷同。但这样也丝毫不减对于后市的看涨观点,日内数据上,可关注其美国2Monthly CorePCE物价指数年率以及美国3月密歇根大学消费者信心指数终值。预期上,整体或有所利空,但只需关注好回撤支撑力度,仍是保持看涨跟进。
观点上,李鼎缘个人认为;之前,由于当股市的过度下跌,令原本因此而上涨的黄金,导致市场卖出黄金而追加其基金保证金而遭受抛售下挫,这是短期影响。不过长期而言,随着各国央行向金融体系注入大量流动性,未来将出现大规模的购买力破坏,这将有利于黄金。目前的心理关口位于1650水平。短时间内金价很可能将会再次发起上行测试,虽目前的多头力量有所消减,但下行至支撑带位置,仍可作为一个比较好的做多机会。
技术上,周线级别,金价已站上均线及回撤线支撑上方,在验证了之前的看涨观点下,也有持稳于关注位置千六关口上方的动力,故此后市仍偏向上行。指标上,市场方向目前转为看涨占优,也暗示料为上探1680and1700打开窗口,但在这之前需关注其回撤力度,下方仍关注1600and1585附近支撑为守望买入点。上方关注1640and1650美元阻力,进一步关注1675USD.
日线级别,金价目前处于本周大幅反弹后的高位震荡。走势仍高于主要均线上方,关注本周能否站稳1600关口,指标上,MACD绿色动能柱消失殆尽,红色柱持续显现,RSI指标交投在50水平上方,KDJ随机指标向上升破50升破,5Daily and10日金叉完好,整体暗示有进一步走高的可能。下方关注5日支撑线处的1611-1615美元附近,进一步关注1606美元等都是跟进看涨的位置。上方关注1645USD and1650-1654US dollar resistance.
4小时级别,金价震荡运行,布林带处于缩口状态,或保持一定时段的整理,但出现方向性的大走势也即将展现,在昨日触及200周线期支撑后展开反弹,其目前也运行在中轨上方,故此后市也更偏向向上运行,所以下方关注其中轨支撑1612USD and10周线1619美元,进一步1597美元等仍都是跟进看涨位置。综合来看,今日短线操作思路上李鼎缘个人建议以反弹高空为主,回调做多为辅,上方短期重点关注1640-1645Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1615-1610Frontline support.
Latest operating suggestions for gold:
1The rebound above the gold does not break1640-1645Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1625-1620frontline;
2The pullback below the gold does not break1615-1610Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1625-1630frontline;
以上观点仅代表鼎缘个人看法,如果你觉得上述鼎缘的观点对你有帮助,可以尝试添加鼎缘菋//Line“ldy86588”Every day, there will be timely analysis of the gold strategy, as well as real-time guidance and one-on-one consulting services, dedicated to answering every investment challenge you face.
Personal feedback on making orders:
1Spot: The spot where the order is placed is quite important, although gold.Crude oil operates in two modes: long and short. In fact, there are four operating methods: low, low, high, and high. In a unilateral trend, these four modes are all feasible. If you are in a volatile trend, remember not to be low or high. This is equivalent to chasing gains and selling losses. Remember, many people are chasing gains and selling losses.
2Stop loss: Before placing an order, you should think about the stop loss price and whether it is reasonable. After placing an order, you should immediately fill in the stop loss price. Why do you need to fill in the stop loss at the beginning? If the market is not the situation you want to go, then you can reduce losses in the first place. Stop loss means to stop losses. Only small losses can maintain vitality, and sometimes you need to be willing to give up, It's not that you're losing this time and won't be able to earn back next time. You need to control the risks of your investment.
3Positions: How funds are allocated is related to the level of psychological resilience. If a position is too large or full, once the trend reverses, losses will increase, and psychological stress will also increase. Often, it is not possible to carefully analyze market trends, resulting in incorrect operations.
4Stop profit: Many people often fail to do a good job of stopping profit, resulting in profit orders becoming loss orders. In a unilateral trend, stop profit can be increased by using the push stop loss method to increase profit space. Stop profit often requires personal thinking to close positions, not every order must earn tens of thousands or even tens of thousands. In a volatile market, sometimes a few hundred profits add up.
5Attitude: This is the most important point that every investor must grasp. When you enter this market, it is undeniable that everyone is trying to make money, but your attitude determines how far you will go on the investment path. What you need to achieve is to rather make small profits than lose money, rather than thinking about earning more and earning less.
Message
Nongfu Spring is advertising over and over again, not to make you buy immediately after seeing it, but to tell you about their persistence in water quality. Mercedes Benz stands up billboards one by one, not asking you to go immediately4SThe store collects the car, but tells you their attitude towards the car. I send suggestions time and time again, not to make you come to me immediately. Just wanted you to know aboutforeign exchange投资,我们是专业的。深度剖析投资亏损的原因鼎缘教会你看盘的技巧,为你的投资道路保驾护航!
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Comprehensive guidance teacher: Li Dingyuan Analysis Team
Analysis writer: Li Dingyuan Wei-Core( ldy86588) Official account (Li Dingyuan)
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