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Focus of foreign exchange market
· Trading preference – 本周相对较为看好澳/Beauty(AUDUSD)和纽/Beauty(NZDUSD)。美国初请失业金人数升至328.3万人,市场继续施加压美元,另外,欧洲扩大经济刺激计划,提振了欧元。不过,我们认为后期欧元想要继续走高还需要看到疫情的好转。短期欧/美技术性修复接近尾声, upper1.1000将面临较大压力,可部分获利出局。
· On the UK side,周四晚间,英国央行宣布维持利率不变,此外维持6450亿英镑债券购买规模不变。这和我们昨天的预测较为吻合。另外,英国就疫情采取的封锁措施也触发英镑反弹。随着市场情绪的改善,我们认为英镑可能进一步上扬。技术上,1.2400以上将面临较大压力。
· In terms of commodity currency,随着全球股市的上涨,市场情绪改善,叠加美元指数的逐步走低,澳元、纽元逐步反弹。但,考虑到澳大利亚将从本周开始实施更多的全面停运,这将进一步减少经济活动。因此,澳元后续反弹的力度或许会受到一定的限制。技术上,澳/beautiful0.6200、纽/beautiful0.6050短期将面临压力。
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· It is worth noting that the money market plays a crucial role in2019The year shows a stable and significant weekly momentum reversal effect,MEXThe momentum reversal quantization strategy has repeatedly set new highs as a resultInvestors2020You can continue to refer to our weekly suggested combination for the year.