Evening strategy3.5晚间原油走势分析多单解套-黄金行情解析操作策略

Summary:gold行情走势、黄金交易策略、黄金行情解析、crude oilTrend analysis and crude oil operation suggestions
　　
　　盲目的介入市场，随意的寻找老师，慌乱的心态，不控制风险的操作等种种因素或许是你失败的原因，即使遍体鳞伤，即使待在市场上不开心，但面临高额利润的终点，你离开市场是否甘心，半途而废的你是否又开心？害怕继续亏损，只是对自己没信心的借口，各行各业经验最重要，术业有专攻，包括我在内谁前期还没交过学费？我能从亏损中走到终点，我相信你只不过差几个阶段。
　　
Message interpretation:
　　
　　3month5日，黄金价格小幅上涨，因全球公共卫生事件快速扩散带来的疑虑激发避险买盘。IFMWeighing,2020年实现更强劲经济增长的希望落空。不过股市上涨则限制了金价涨幅。亚洲股市追随隔夜美股上涨。美国前副总统拜登在民主党提名活动中表现强劲，利好美国股市。若股市涨势延续三到四个交易日，黄金就或许要承压了。现在形势非常动荡。周四因全球央行宽松预期，油价维持反弹的走势。尽管普氏能源数据显示OPEC的产量即将跌至17年新低，但是基金经理仍在加大原油的看空押注，因市场预期OPEC+减产仍不足以覆盖需求下滑的损失。目前的空单持仓总量较年初增加了2倍。短时间继续关注OPEC会议进展，如果OPEC+未能减产达到10010000 barrels/日，料会加剧油价下行的压力。
　　
1、 Analysis of the trend of spot gold
　　
　　现货黄金徘徊于1640dollar/盎司，日内金价波幅有限，多空胶着1640，志豪认为，最近卫生风险的蔓延已经威胁到了美国经济的前景，预计美联储将在3Month4Month and6Monthly interest rate reduction25个基点，在公共卫生事件爆发期间，IMF已经看到了全球经济向更加不利的局面转变，但全球股市的大幅走高也令黄金的吸引力有限。
　　
　　技术面来看，尽管此前美联储意外降息50个基点，且全球多个国家央行跟随降息，为金价提供支撑，但市场担忧情绪有所消退，隔夜全球股市上涨，对金价有所压制；日线MACDandKDJ信号模糊，金价短线走势变数较大；留意5Daily moving average and2month25Daily high point1618.26-1664.04区域突破情况；目前上方初步阻力在隔夜高点1652.67附近，若金价顶破1664.04附近阻力，则可能重新试探近期高点1689.31附近阻力，并再次向1700发起冲击。由于1664附近阻力较强，而且金价短线涨幅较大，也仍然需要提防金价震荡筑顶和短线的回调风险，下方初步支撑在10Daily moving average1631.56Nearby, pay close attention5Daily moving average1618.26附近支撑，若跌破该位置，则增加震荡下行的风险；进一步支撑在1600关口附近。综合来看，今日操作思路上志豪点金（bzd99996327）个人建议高沽低渣即可；
　　
Focus on resistance above:1652.67；1664.04；
　　
Focus on support below:1631.56；1618.26；
　　
Suggestions for short-term operation of gold:
　　
Multiple order suggestion: callback1631Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1640-1642；
　　
Short order suggestion: rebound1650Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1640-1638；
　　
Real time market changes, strategy is for reference only. Real time entry and exit points and mid to long term layout consultation with Zhihao Dianjin for free!
　　
2、 Analysis of the trend of US crude oil
　　
　　美原油徘徊在47dollar/Near the bucket,2020年第一季度石油需求将出现“有史以来最大的降幅”，甚至超过2009年金融危机期间的降幅；同时OPEC+发现自己再次陷入困境，之前经过一天的会议讨论，结果是两个最重要的成员就是否应深化减产、以抵销卫生风险对于需求的巨大打击意见分歧。
　　
　　技术面来看，由于OPEC、俄罗斯和其他产油国几位部长组成的小组未能就进一步减产达成初步协议，这限制了油价的上涨空间；日线MACDDead fork,KDJ有重新结成金叉的迹象，短线走势变数较大，留意10Daily moving average and3month3Daily low point48.40-46.47区域突破情况，上方重点关注2month4Daily high point49.31附近阻力，若能顶破该阻力，则增加短线看涨信号；2month18Resistance at daily low points51.15Nearby,2month25Resistance to daily highs52.02附近。由于近两个交易日K线都录得明显的上引线，指示上方阻力较强，在顶破10Daily moving average48.40前，需要警惕油价重回跌势的风险。下方进一步支撑在2month27Daily low point45.88附近，若跌破该支撑，则增加短线看空信号。然后，近期低点支撑在43.32Nearby,2018年年底低点支撑在42.36附近。不过，全球股市回暖，EIA原油库存增幅不及预期，也给油价提供一些支撑，若油价能够守住45.88附近支撑，则仍需要提防多头进一步重拾反弹走势的可能性。综合来看，油价在顶破48.40前，短线偏向震荡下行；所以今日操作思路上志豪点金（bzd99996327）My personal suggestion is to prioritize high altitude and prioritize low altitude;
　　
Focus on resistance above:48.40；49.31；
　　
Focus on support below:46.47；45.88；
　　
Suggestions for short-term crude oil operations:
　　
Short order suggestion: rebound48.4Stop loss without breaking short0.5US dollars, look at the target47.2-47.0；
　　
Multiple order suggestion: callback46.5Do not break long, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target47.6-47.8；
　　
Real time market changes, strategy is for reference only. Real time entry and exit points and mid to long term layout consultation with Zhihao Dianjin for free!
　　
Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
　　
3、 Regarding solution: Because Zhihao Dianjin is not aware of your specific order position, position risk, and other specific order situations, they cannot provide corresponding solution strategies. So friends in need can consult with Zhihao Dianjin or follow "Zhihao Dianjin". Here, I still suggest that investment friends do not resist orders in the future, do not hold positions too heavy, and avoid next time. Not every time can be successfully resolved, not every time goes smoothly. Each order should be done with a plan, and detailed solutions will be provided online in real time. Risk control and subsequent plans will be planned.
　　
4、 Experience benefits: For investment friends who are interested in consulting and cooperating, it is convenient for mutual trust in future cooperation and can be experienced with screenshots of actual positions3Tian Shou Dan, you can choose whether to cooperate based on your earnings in the future! I believe this welfare is a good turning point opportunity for friends who have suffered long-term losses in the market and investors who have lost confidence. Whether you seize the opportunity depends on your choice.
　　
　　火把倒下，火焰依然向上，与其给鱼一双翅膀，不如给鱼一方池塘。除非你是三栖动物，否则，总有一段行情不属于你，低迷的行情，不能成为颓废的理由，我走不进你的童话里，你也不愿走进我的故事里，再牛的肖邦，也弹不出震荡行情的悲伤，再牛的华陀也治不好一个人的堕落!人不是在绝境中发迹，就在绝境中沦落，走出绝境必将会迎来佳境，活鱼逆流而上，死鱼随波逐流。解读世界经济要闻，剖析全球投资趋势，对黄金、原油投资有兴趣却无从下手或者已经在接触却并不理想的朋友，订阅关注“志豪点金”（bzd99996327）Get the latest financial information, daily market trend analysis, real-time trading strategies, and medium to long term layout.
　　
Wen/Zhihao Dianjin（bzd99996327）
　　
The author of this article is Zhihao Dianjin, WeChatbzd99996327。