Message: This week(1month13day-19Day and Week)全球市场将迎来多个重磅经济数据,包括英国11monthGDPGermany2019yearGDP、美国、英国及德国12monthCPI,美联储将公布褐皮书,且美联储多位官员将相继发表讲话,虽然上周出炉的美国12月非农就业报告欠佳,但该报告可能不会改变美联储的评估,即经济和货币政策都处于“良好状态。crude oil市场方面,EIA、IEA、OPEC均将公布月度原油市场报告,上周美伊紧张局势引发供应忧虑,国际油价剧烈波动,投资者们需密切留意后续进展。
gold:上周五金价走高,现货黄金一度涨逾10The US dollar has reached its highest point in the past two days1563.14dollar/盎司;因美国对伊朗实施新制裁引发不确定性,支撑了黄金需求,此外日内公布的美国12月非农数据不及预期,美元疲软、美股大幅走低也重振了黄金涨势。志豪认为疲软的美国经济数据使黄金价格偏向上行,现货黄金价格看起来似乎已将短期高位拉升至1600dollar/盎司上方;下周美元可能会因为对通缩的担忧而走低;在此情况下,金价可能因美元走软而重回1570dollar/ounce.
黄金从技术面来看,金价11month9日(周四)盘中完全回补高开缺口一度触及1540.33,周五因美国劳工部公布的美国12月非农新增就业人口14.5万,不及预期的16万;薪资增速意外下降至2.9%, for2018year8月以来最低,金价回落至1550附近后开启反弹,周五录得一根带下影线的大阳线,日线布林线轨道开口向上,MACD金叉运行,目前上方初步阻力在1445.7-1611.42Upward trend23.6%Retreat position1572.20附近,布林线上轨在1576.97附近,进一步较强阻力在1580关口附近,志豪认为金价需要回升至该位置上方,才能重新打开上涨通道;由于目前KDJ仍然死叉运行,短线仍然需要警惕震荡回调的风险,目前初步支撑在1550Nearby, further support at10Daily moving average1543.56Nearby,9month24The daily high is supported by1535.73附近,若失守该位置则增加后市看空信号。综合来看,今日操作思路上志豪点金个人建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期重点关注1565-1567Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1548-1550Frontline support.
Latest operating suggestions for gold:
1The rebound above the gold does not break1563-1565一线短空,止损4US dollars, look at the target1556-1554frontline;
2The pullback below the gold does not break1548-1550Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1558-1560frontline;
3The strategy is for reference only, and the specific entry points for real-time changes in the intraday market can be found on Zhihao Dianjin WeChat(bzd99996327)The actual offer shall prevail;
1The rebound above the crude oil does not break59.8-60.0Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target59.0-58.8frontline;
2The downward correction of crude oil does not break58.3-58.5Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target59.0-59.2frontline;
3The market is constantly changing, and the price points are for reference only. Investment is risky and entering the market requires caution. For more details, please follow Zhihao Dianjin's official website||Wei:bzd99996327;
This article is written by Zhihao Dianjin (WeChat:bzd99996327)As a contributor, I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publication, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source of the reprint.
The author of this article is Zhihao Dianjin, WeChatbzd99996327