Jue Ying Lun Jin:1.11黄金走势先跌后涨下周还有一跌 周一高开后继续空！

Life is always about making choices and waiting for results. The road cannot always be smooth, there will always be obstacles, mediocrity is not the goal that everyone pursues. The investment market is also the same, it cannot be smooth sailing, and windfall profits are everyone's dream, but there are always various temptations and traps along the way. Accustomed to unilateral behavior, one is always stifled by shocks and washes, which is the law of the market. In the face of life, we are making choices. We can't make a detour, we can't make a river, we always have to resort to other methods. And the market, too, should not blindly pursue operation. Some markets may see profits, but they may not necessarily be able to earn profits.

　　　
　特朗普再次发表讲话，称“我们寻求和平，不是敌对”，与前一日的“拥抱和平”演讲相响应。另外，美国驻联合国大使克拉夫特致信联合国安理会称，美国也准备不设先决条件地与伊朗进行认真谈判，旨在防止伊朗进一步威胁国际和平与安全，或使事态升级。伊朗方面也频频释放相对缓和的态度。伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队空军司令哈吉扎德表示，导弹袭击并非旨在杀死美军，而是试图损害华盛顿的“军事机器”，并将美军从中东赶走。从最初的剑拔弩张到开始冷静克制，美伊双方直接开战的可能性几乎降为0，风险厌恶情绪不断降温，令gold的避险需求持续受抑。不过，周五的非农数据不及预期，现货黄金回撤后反弹至1562一线，重点关注周末消息面有什么新动向。
　　
　　绝影论金个人观点：本周金价冲高回落，受美伊局势陡然升温影响，金价曾强势突破1600美元关口，不过在特朗普发表了缓和气氛的讲话之后，金价迅速回落，周线图收出墓碑十字星，或许暗示金价此前的升势告于段落。展望下周，美国CPI等重要数据即将公布，美联储褐皮书将会给美联储货币政策提供指引，中美贸易谈判又会有新消息，而市场更为关注的美伊局势可能又会有新的变化。每年春节假期之前，中国的黄金市场，尤其是珠宝首饰市场对黄金的需求十分旺盛，这在一定程度上对金价构成支撑。不过，随着春节假期的临近很多中国的金店都已经完成囤货，并且在春节期间关门歇业，因此中国春节假期前的购金热潮在逐渐消退。

　　
————Analysis of Gold Market
　　
　　本周五美盘中金价走高，现货黄金一度较日低回升逾15USD, refresh daily high to1561.12dollar/盎司；因美国对伊朗实施新制裁引发不确定性，支撑了黄金需求，此外日内公布的美国12月非农数据不及预期，美元疲软、美股大幅走低也重振了黄金涨势。绝影认为，金价走势的主要催化剂是围绕伊朗问题正在进行的对话，以及我们是否会看到冲突加剧，围绕这一点的不稳定性是导致所有波动的原因；伴随着制裁，会产生经济后果变得越来越明显。
　　
　　从技术面黄金的周线图形态显示，金价飙涨至1611水平后剧烈下挫，目前K线录得长上影星线，且MACD指标出现顶背离现象。另外，1511水平也逼近两个重要的延展水平1621-1626；也就是说，周线金价受两重要延展水平的压制并出现长上影星线，后市有望在MACD顶背离修正的情况下出现较大幅度的回落行情。因此，在中长期仍看涨黄金的情况下，可以伺机做空至1510even to the extent that1481；若后市大幅上行涨破1625，则会打开更多上行空间，目标指向1695一线。短期操作建议反弹做空为主，上方重点关注1568-1573的阻力，下方1553-1548支撑。文中行情分析仅供参考，具体建议实盘现价给出，操作不理想或把握不了行情方向的朋友可添加指导微信：3051562977Obtain guidance quotas;
　　
Suggestions for short-term operation of gold:
　　
　　1Suggestions1553Long nearby, stop loss1548, Objective1558-1562；
　　
　　2Suggestions1568Short nearby, stop loss1673, Objective1558-1538；
　　
　　3、策略仅供参考，盘间行情瞬息万变，具体进场点位以绝影论金微信（mot686)The actual offer shall prevail;

　　　　
​————绝影寄语
　　
I don't pursue the so-called accuracy. I do ten orders against nine orders, and just making one mistake is enough to doubt the market. How many people do orders, if they do it right, they want to run, and if they make a mistake, they want to shoulder it. Get it right10A single order cannot catch up with a wrong one. If you don't change this operation, there will be endless regrets waiting for you. Jueying Lunjin updates trend analysis and operational ideas every day. Those who need to assess their strength can go and see them, while those who need suggestions can go and see them on their own. If you feel that I cannot help you or have any questions, you can continue to investigate to avoid wasting each other's time. After all, time is precious and not wasted.
　　
Full guidance time: early7：00In the early morning of the next day2：00
　　
Comprehensive guidance teacher: Jueying Lunjin Analysis Team
　　
Wen/Jueying Lunjin (guidance on WeChat:mot686\Official account: Jueying Lunjin)