Analysis of the trend of spot gold: 国际金价小幅反弹后继续承压下滑,加速下挫逾10美元至四个交易日新低1540.33dollar/盎司。美国和伊朗双方软化立场之后,两国间冲突升高的可能性已经下滑。不过市场不确定性远没有消除。2019年影响金价的地缘政治和经济因素,包括美中经贸紧张局势、英国脱欧及美联储的货币政策,将在2020年继续发挥作用。 技术面来看,隔夜川普发言措辞偏软,市场避险消退,金价高位回落,录得一根长上影线的阴线,目前已经完全回补跳空缺口,日线KDJ死叉信号延续,金价见顶信号显著增加,短线存在进一步回调趋势,目前10Daily moving average1537.79是下方初步支撑所在,鸿/金认为若失守该支撑,则增加后市看空信号。进一步支撑在1445-1611Upward trend50%Retreat position1528.56Nearby;5Daily moving average1558.90是上方初步阻力所在,布林线上轨阻力在1569.35附近;较强的阻力在1580附近,在顶破该阻力前,后市偏向震荡下行。综合来看今日操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高空为主,低多为辅; 黄金阻力、支撑: 1、上方关注阻力点:1558.90;1569.35; 2、下方关注支撑点:1537.79;1528.56; Suggestions for Gold Operations: 1Rebound1558Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1542-1540; 2Callback1538Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1548-1550; 3、盘间行情实时变化,具体操作策略以周鸿金(薇-Core:zh66646)指导实盘为准; Beautycrude oilTrend analysis: 国际油价企稳反弹。油价上日大起大落,伊朗用导弹攻击伊拉克美军基地导致NYMEX原油价格升向逾八个月新高,但美国并未作出军事回应,油价遂大幅回落收跌。不过巴格达绿区周四遭到两枚火箭弹袭击,绿区内外国使馆和政府办公大楼林立。石油市场在没有因美伊冲突而造成实际损失的情况下,一季度库存将会温和增加,而全球经贸和投资的复苏仍慢于预期,价格面临下行压力。 Technically speaking, the daily chartKDJDead fork,MACD死叉,油价失守60整数关口和布林线中轨重要支撑,有进一步试探布林线下轨57.18附近支撑的趋势,短线来看,60Daily moving average58.04and200Daily moving average57.83附近也还存在一定的支撑,上方初步阻力在1month2Daily low point60.64Nearby, further resistance1month7Daily low point62.11附近,在收复该位置前,油价偏向震荡下行。鸿/金认为若意外回升至62.11上方,则削弱短线看空信号;布林线上轨目前在63.46附近。综合来看,顶破60.64前,油价偏向震荡下行;所以今日操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高空为主,低多为辅; 原油阻力、支撑: 1、上方关注阻力点:60.64;61.32; 2、下方关注支撑点:58.43;57.84; Suggestions for crude oil operation: 1Rebound60.6Stop loss without breaking short0.5US dollars, look at the target58.8-58.6; 2Callback58.4Do not break long, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target59.6-59.8; 3、盘间行情实时变化,具体操作策略以周鸿金(薇-Core:zh66646)指导实盘为准; Special reminder: Investors need to recognize that for ordinary investors, most of the time they should focus on watching and patiently wait for the best opportunity to sell. Avoiding frequent trading is one of the recognized winning secrets. Do not attempt to capture all fluctuations, nor expect to grasp every segment of the market. Judging the market trend is just one part of trading. Investors also need to have a reverence for the market, remember trading discipline, and strictly control their positions, reduce greed, overcome fear, and try to maintain a calm mind when trading. Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market. 鸿金寄语----- 穷人在怀疑中拒绝,富人在怀疑中求证!宁可明明白白放弃,不可稀里糊涂错过!碰到许许多多还在亏损中迷茫的投资者,你要知道没有一成不变的行情,也没有一成不变的投资者,需要不断学习和调整从而融入到行情当中。市场是无止境的,行情是不断演变的,交易是永不停止的,虽然不能把每一波行情都做到,但可以抓住瞬息万变的机会,用客观冷静的态度对待市场,分析市场,等待市场,为每一次交易做充分的准备,工欲善其事,必先利其器,不是交易胜似交易。没有不成功的投资,只有不成功的操作!对黄金、原油投资有兴趣却无从下手或者已经在接触却并不理想的朋友,订阅关注“周鸿金”(薇-corezh66646)获取最新资讯、每日行情走势分析、实时交易指导; Full guidance time: early7:00In the early morning of the next day2:00(Every day18小时实时免费指导) Wen/周鸿金(薇-Core:zh66646)