Bo Hu Lun Jin:1.7黄金冲高回落或开启高位震荡，黄金走势分析操作建议

The road to investment is long, and there are many who follow the trend!However, those who do not plan for the overall situation are not enough to plan for a city. The market situation is unpredictable and unpredictable. Only by setting one's mind, observing the situation, planning and moving forward, not being confused by the heart, not trapped in the situation, and strategizing can one win a thousand miles away. Doubt can filter out risks, but it can also miss opportunities. To seize opportunities, one must be brave enough to try. If one lacks ambition, even with the help of influential people, it will eventually be difficult to achieve their goals. As a qualified investor, it is important to remember that most of the time one should focus on observation, patiently wait for the best opportunity, avoid frequent entry, and avoid attempting to capture all fluctuations in operations. Also, do not expect to make correct judgments on each market segment, and be cautious and precise!
　　
InternationalgoldMonday（1month6日）冲高回落震荡收涨，开盘价1560.05dollar/Ounces, highest price1588.66dollar/Ounces, lowest price1559.54dollar/Ounces, closing price1564.33dollar/ounce.
　　
Message face:
　　
The United States announced on Monday12monthMarkitService industryPMIThe final value is52.8Higher than market expectations52.2.
　　
　　评论称，由于美国国内需求上升和出口复苏的迹象导致就业人数增加，庞大的服务部门的商业活动在去年年底加快了步伐。再加上制造业走出最近平静的迹象，调查数据显示，整体经济增长速度加快至去年4月以来的最快。然而，服务业增长仍远低于2019年前几个月的水平。企业对未来12个月前景的信心远低于去年同期的水平，接近至少7年以来新低。事实上，最近需求的改善很大程度上来自对消费者的更强劲销售，在面对经济和政治前景的忧虑中，企业支出和投资仍然承压。总体调查结果显示，预计12Month USAGDP同比增速相当温和，为1.8%。
　　
Geopolitical situation:
　　
　　报道显示，美国副总统彭斯将在1month13日的演讲中讨论美国对伊朗政策。
　　
　　美国参议员多数党共和党领袖买康奈尔表示，我们应该获得更多关于作出杀死伊朗“圣城旅”指挥官苏莱曼尼决定的情报。美国防长埃斯珀、参谋长联席会议主席米利和美国国务卿蓬佩奥将为参议院就伊朗问题作简报。全体参议院成员将会在周三获得有关伊朗问题的简报。
　　
　　美国防长埃斯波表示，美国目前没有计划撤离伊拉克。
　　
　　报道显示，美国军队在官方文件中称，将会在未来短时间内重新部署部队。美国军队在官方文件中称，尊重伊拉克要求美国撤军的主权决定。
　　
　　伊拉克总理阿卜杜勒-迈赫迪告诉美国大使称，两国必须合作以实现外国军队撤离的目标。伊拉克正在竭尽全力以防止陷入战争。政府的政策永远是与各方保持良好关系。
　　
　　欧盟委员会主席风的莱恩表示，美国的行动是在伊朗数周的挑衅之后进行的。欧盟委员会将在周三就伊朗问题进行讨论。维持伊核协议符合伊朗的利益。
　　
　　联合国安理会表示，对利比亚局势升温感到担忧，敦促结束国外干预。不能点名哪个国家需要对无人机袭击军事学院负责。无人机袭击“很可能由支持利比亚国民军的国家实施”。 紧张的局势导致更多国家采取不可预期的决定，并导致不可预测的后果和误判风险。地缘政治紧张局势升至这个世纪以来最高水平。
　　
　　瑞银分析，因美国与伊朗之间的紧张局势升级，现货黄金刷新2013year4A new high since the beginning of the month,crude oilLast year9A new high since the beginning of the month,MSCI全部国家全球指数抹去了新年以来的涨幅。地缘政治事件本质上是不可预测的，不过以往紧张局势加剧的时期表明，其对更广泛市场的影响往往是短暂的，更持久的影响仅限于本地市场，总的来说，这支持了持有多样化的投资组合。
　　
According toCME“美联储观察”：美联储明年1月维持当前利率在1.50%-1.75%The probability of the interval is90.6%Interest rate reduction25The probability of a basis point is0%Interest rate hike25The probability of a basis point is9.4%； By next year3月维持当前利率在1.50%-1.75%The probability of the interval is87%Interest rate reduction25The probability of a basis point is4%Interest rate hike25The probability of a basis point is9%。
　　
　　今日重点
　　
　　15:30 Switzerland12monthCPIMonthly rate
　　
　　18:00 eurozone12monthCPIMonthly rate
　　
　　18:00 eurozone12monthCPIAnnual rate initial value
　　
　　18:00 eurozone11Monthly retail sales rate
　　
　　21:30 U.S.A11Monthly trade account
　　
　　23:00 U.S.A11Monthly factory order rate
　　
　　23:00 U.S.A12monthISMNon manufacturingPMI
　　
Technical aspect:
　　
　　国际黄金周一冲高回落震荡收涨，周一金价开盘收地缘局势影响金价跳空高开于1560一线短线快速走高最高触及1588一线后快速回落，日内金价维持偏震荡下行延续。亚盘交易时间金价最低触及1567一线后再度上行最高触及1579一线。欧盘交易时间金价震荡回落最低触及1571一线后形成对1579一线回踩表现。晚间美盘开盘金价再度下探1572一线，随着美股开盘金价短线回踩1577一线后扩大回落幅度，最低触及1560一线后震荡收盘于1565一线。短线金价自1577一线回落仍显示出短线下行较强支撑位影响，短期下行反弹空间充分并未表现出明显单边下行延续，连续冲高当下金价仍有较强高点修正意愿，需警惕短期金价继续扩大回落幅度。小时线显示短期金价冲高回落形成对小时线40日均线回踩表现，短周期技术指标呈粘合向下死叉排列，关注日内区间维持状况，短期下方60日均线支撑位一线1553一线。随着短期低点支撑位横盘周期延长进一步扩大回落幅度概率逐步增加，谨慎降低日内多空进场价格维持偏多区间操作思路。
　　
Daily operating range:
　　
Gold1560Shangduo, protect1555, Objective1570-1580
　　
　　行情瞬息万变具体操作以博虎论金（V-亻丶言：KD1394）实时指导为准，对行情把握不够好、对进场点位把握不够准确、今日利润，你错过了吗？
　　
Bo Hu's Message on Gold: As a lone soldier, do you feel like you are walking on thin ice in this financial market and struggling to move forward? If you are tired of unproductive investments and lost in the foggy market; If you suffer losses one after another but feel unwilling. So, it's time to change the status quo. Good birds choose trees to live on, your choices determine your future!
　　
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Comprehensive guidance teacher: Bo Hu Lun Jin Micro（KD1394）
　　
Direction guidance time: early7：00In the early morning of the next day2：00
　　
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