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Zhou Hongjin:1.3黄金屡创新高,原油震荡上涨;晚间行情走势分析交易策略

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  以急躁的心态做投资,失败是必然的结果。急躁和缺乏耐心是很多投资者的通病。他们怕踏空,怕错过每一个似是而非的机会,很大一部分资产就在频繁的交易中被损耗。耐心是成功的重要素养。在我们的投资过程中,很多时候需要我们耐心等待。市场不明朗、价格没跌到位,要忍得住不买;价格没涨到位,要忍得住不卖,无论是买进、卖出还是持有,都应该有耐心和控制力。就如非洲草原的狮子,在没有猎物的时候,更多的是在草丛中慢慢的等,很有耐心地观察周围情况,直到猎物进入伏击范围才迅疾出手。
Message interpretation:
Beijing Time1month4day(Saturday)03:00, the Federal Reserve will announce12Minutes of the monthly monetary policy meeting.1month3日,鸿·金认为,美联储可能在此次纪要中暗示回购市场的计划,以及需要采取什么措施来改变美联储此前的想法,即2020年整年都该维持利率不变。此外,纪要还将揭示美联储是否担心美股过高威胁金融市场稳定。美crude oil一度触及63.84,创逾七个月新高。伊朗革命卫队圣城旅的将领Qassem Soleimani将军已在美国对巴格达的空袭中丧生。随着德黑兰与华盛顿之间的紧张局势升级,伊朗看起来必然会作出强烈反应,这加剧了围绕全球产油重地冲突的担忧。此外,投资者也在关注晚间EIAInventory data.
  

SpotgoldTrend analysis:
  
  现货黄金价格攀至四个月高位,此前美国发动空袭导致伊朗一位重要军事人员身亡,中东紧张局势升级,而美元走软也给金价带来一些支撑。美国上周申请失业金人数小幅下降,但近期有迹象显示,初请失业金人数可能呈现小幅上升的趋势。美联储将在北京时间1month4day3:00publish12month10-11日政策会议纪要。
  
  技术面来看,日线均线多头排列,MACDandKDJ金叉,金价初步顶破1540附近阻力,一度触及1543.93,若金价能守住9month24Daily high point1535.73附近支撑,则有希望进一步试探前期高点1557.11附近阻力。鸿·金认为从过去两个交易日K线来看,看涨信号明显,金价后市顶破1557.11的可能性有所增加;但是金价在近两周上涨超过60USD,KDJ严重超买,短线仍然需要警惕回调风险,9month24Daily high point1535.73已经转化为初步支撑所在,进一步支撑在隔夜高点1531.40Nearby, strongly supported5Daily moving average1522.72附近,若回落至该位置下方,则增加短线见顶风险。综合来看,短线操作思路上周鸿金个人建议低多为主,高空为辅;
  
  黄金阻力、支撑:
  
  1、上方关注阻力点:1550.00;1557.11;
  
  2、下方关注支撑点:1535.73;1531.40;
  
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
  
  1Callback1538Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1548-1550;
  
  2Rebound1550Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1538-1536;
  
  3、盘间行情实时变化,具体操作策略以周鸿金(薇-Core:zh66646)指导实盘为准;
  
Analysis of the trend of US crude oil:
  
  随着进入2020年,国际经贸局势进展、国际海事组织限硫措施的实施、全球需求前景、OPEC的政策前景以及地缘政治局势将成为影响油价的主要因素。日内因伊朗高级将领受到美国空袭身亡,这使得地缘担忧情绪迅速升温,推动美原油刷新7个月高点。技术面上,短时间油价走势偏多,如果有更多的利多因素推动,美原油可能有测试65美元并进一步上探的可能。
  
  技术面来看,油价一度顶破9Month high point63.38附近阻力,触及63.84受到5month20Daily high point63.96附近阻力压制后有所回落,短线走势变数较大;由于日线均线仍然多头排列,KDJ有重新结成金叉的迹象,后市油价仍然有进一步冲高的机会,若油价顶破5month20Daily high point63.96附近阻力,则可能进一步试探4month30Daily high point64.75附近阻力;不过由于油价尚未有效企稳9Monthly high point63.38附近阻力上方,且MACD顶背离,鸿·金认为若本交易日录得十字K或者长上影线,则仍然需要警惕见顶风险;目前下方初步支撑在12month30Daily high point62.34附近,在失守该位置前,短线仍然偏向多头;5The daily moving average is supported by61.74附近,若回落至该位置下方,则增加短线见顶风险。本周低点支撑在60.63附近;。综合来看,失守62.34前,油价偏向延续涨势或者高位震荡;所以短线操作思路上周鸿金个人建议低多为主,高空为辅;
  
  原油阻力、支撑:
  
  1、上方关注阻力点:63.96;64.75;
  
  2、下方关注支撑点:62.34;61.74;
  
Suggestions for crude oil operation:
  
  1Callback62.4Do not break long, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target63.6-63.8;
  
  2Rebound64.0Stop loss without breaking short0.5US dollars, look at the target62.5-62.3;
  
  3、盘间行情实时变化,具体操作策略以周鸿金(薇-Core:zh66646)指导实盘为准;
  
Special reminder: Investors need to recognize that for ordinary investors, most of the time they should focus on watching and patiently wait for the best opportunity to sell. Avoiding frequent trading is one of the recognized winning secrets. Do not attempt to capture all fluctuations, nor expect to grasp every segment of the market. Judging the market trend is just one part of trading. Investors also need to have a reverence for the market, remember trading discipline, and strictly control their positions, reduce greed, overcome fear, and try to maintain a calm mind when trading.
  
Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
  
  鸿金寄语-----
  
  投资如狩猎,要想成功狩猎,必须知己知彼;如果不想自己成为待宰的羔羊,你必须要有狼性,学会坚持和忍耐,并且该出手时就要果断出击获取属于自己的猎物。投资的路上需要老师的指点,老师不一定每次都对,但跟随专业的老师绝对可以让你受益匪浅!没有不成功的投资,只有不成功的操作!对黄金、原油投资有兴趣却无从下手或者已经在接触却并不理想的朋友,订阅关注“周鸿金”(薇-corezh66646)获取最新资讯、每日行情走势分析、实时交易指导;
  
Full guidance time: early7:00In the early morning of the next day2:00(Every day18小时实时免费指导)
  Wen/周鸿金(薇-Core:zh66646)
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