MBG Markets：日元交投清淡波澜不惊，欧元受追捧涨势如虹

　　
两重数据利好，日元波澜不惊(USD/JPY)
　　
Technical aspect:The USD/JPY experienced a significant fluctuation in the previous trading day20Points, closing down0.06%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)The Bolin track tends to rise, and the exchange rate continues to operate above the track; Daily lineMA5,10双线趋黏合，MA5,10双线稍趋走平；日线MACD(12,26,9)DIFFOffline threadingDEA构死叉，阴柱势能较小，势能较前一交易日增大；日线RSI(14)to57-58Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above109.70Below support attention109.00。
　　
Fundamentals:Japan11Monthly unemployment rate recorded2.2%Japan12Tokyo CoreCPIAnnual rate recorded0.8%，双双优于前值及预期，但日元短线未见明显波动。日本央行公布12月意见摘要：由于实现物价目标的动能没有进一步增强，维持当前政策是适宜的。由于全球经济前景的不确定性依然较高，日本央行还不能预设政策。日本央行在2014年提高消费税时扩大了量化质化宽松（QQE）规模，可能需要再次扩大规模，但取决于消费趋势。
　　
市场信心回归，欧元大幅上扬(EUR/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:The previous trading day saw a significant fluctuation in the euro against the US dollar89Individual points, closing up0.68%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于开口，布林中轨趋于上行，汇价贴近布林上轨；日线MA5,10,20Construct multi period golden fork resonance,MA5,10双线趋于上行，汇价运行于MA5上方；日线MACD(12,26,9)DIFFOnline threadingDEA构金叉，阳柱势能较小，势能较前一交易日增大；日线RSI(14)to63-64Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above1.1200，下方支撑关注布林中轨位置。
　　
Fundamentals:有分析认为，2019年，全球经济及金融市场遭遇多重不确定性，全球经济增速放缓，主要经济体增长乏力，美元成为这一背景下投资者避险的主要选择之一。不过，随着影响全球经济增长前景的不确定性因素自第四季度逐渐消退，分析人士认为，2020年美元单边优势无以为继。另据机构调查得到的分析师预期中值，欧元兑美元2020年料将上涨逾4%，成为全球表现最佳的货币。option市场显示人们对欧元信心增强，风险偏好情绪普遍升温，欧元周五触及一周高位。丹斯克银行预计，至2020年底，欧元兑美元EUR/USD元将“缓慢地”朝1.15水平迈进。
　　
金价有望创9年最佳表现，市场普遍看好goldlater market(XAU/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:黄金上一交易日震幅达30Individual points, closing up0.12%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于开口，布林中轨趋于上行，金价持续于中轨上方运行；日线MA5,10,20Construct multi period golden fork resonance,MA5,10双线趋于上行，金价运行于MA5上方；日线MACD(12,26,9)阳柱势能较大，势能较前一交易日增大；日线RSI(14)to74-75Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above1520Below support attention5日均线位置。
　　
Fundamentals:Panic indexVIX指数上一交易日收涨6.17%, closing on13.43； Forward looking gold price indicator Barrick Gold Company(NYSE:ABX)The stock price closed up on the previous trading day0.05%, closing on18.37。 The world's largest goldETFFund: United StatesSPDR Gold Trustto12month28日增持0.88吨黄金，净持仓量增至893.25吨。得益于世界主要经济体的宽松货币政策以及来自交易所交易基金和中央银行的买入黄金行为，黄金今年已上涨18，有望创2010年以来最大年度涨幅。多数交易员和分析师在每周调查中仍看涨。
　　
　　
　　
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