MBG Markets：鹰派声明难挽疲软英镑，美元止涨欧元小幅上扬

　　
英国央行发表鹰派声明，零售数据挫伤四季度前景(GBP/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:英镑兑美元上一交易日震幅达143Points, closing down0.51%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于收口，布林中轨趋于上行，汇价持续承压于中轨下方；日线MA5,10构死叉，MA5,10Double track trend downward, exchange rate under pressureMA5Below; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)DIFFOffline threadingDEA构死叉，阴柱势能较大，势能较前一交易日增大；日线RSI(14)to46-47一线运行，运行斜率较小趋于走平。上方阻力关注布林中轨，下方支撑关注1.3000。
　　
Fundamentals:britain11月季调后零售销售月率录得-0.6%，显著逊于前值0%And market expectations0.3%, for2018year12月以来最大跌幅。11月季调后零售销售年率报1%, for2018year4月以来新低。从今年7月以来，英国季调后零售销售月率就没有录得过正值，为英国国家统计局23年前有记录以来没有增长的最长时期。这意味着销售将拖累第四季度的经济增速。英国央行维持利率不变，投票比例维持在7:2，但英国央行政策声明表示，为了使通胀可持续地维持在目标水平，可能需要通过渐进的步伐采取一些有限、适度的收紧政策，与市场最新的宽松预期背道而驰，英镑一度飙涨后回落。
　　
疲软数据致美元止涨，欧元小幅回升(EUR/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:The previous trading day saw a significant fluctuation in the euro against the US dollar37Individual points, closing up0.07%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)The Bolin track tends to rise, and the exchange rate continues to operate above the track; Daily lineMA5,10双线趋黏合，MA5稍趋走平，汇价承压于MA5Below; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)DIFF线黏合DEA势能较小，势能较前一交易日缩减；日线RSI(14)to54-55Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above1.1180，下方支撑关注布林中轨位置。
　　
Fundamentals:美国第三季度经常账报-1241100 million US dollars, for2018年第二个季度以来的最低水平；美国12月费城联储制造业指数报0.3%, refresh this year6月以来新低。美联储布拉德：美联储今年对货币政策做了相当大的调整，应该等待看看2020年的影响如何；目前调整货币政策的门槛很高，收益率曲线趋陡对前景有利。据欧元区官员们表示，欧洲央行或考虑将货币政策架构中的一大重要因素：货币流通量增速，降级或者废除。因认为货币流通量增速证明对于通胀并无太大的指导作用，把重点放在信贷发行或者货币政策对金融稳定性的影响可能更为合适。
　　
贪婪指数继续高企，金价维持震荡(XAU/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:goldThe previous trading day's amplitude reached84Individual points, closing up0.18%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)布林中轨趋于上行，金价持续于中轨上方运行；日线MA5,10,20Construct multi period golden fork resonance,MA5,10双线趋于上行，金价运行于MA5上方；日线MACD(12,26,9)阳柱势能较前一交易日缩减；日线RSI(14)to56-57Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above1484，下方支撑关注布林中轨位置。
　　
Fundamentals:Panic indexVIX指数上一交易日收跌0.64%, closing on12.50； Forward looking gold price indicator Barrick Gold Company(NYSE:ABX)股价上一交易日收跌1.23%, closing on17.71。 The world's largest goldETFFund: United StatesSPDR Gold Trustto12month19日增持2.63吨黄金，净持仓量增至883.29吨。英国大选尘埃落定，贸易局势有所好转，美联储年末斥巨资向市场注入流动性等因素，华尔街恐惧与贪婪指数显示美国投资者又回到了“极端贪婪”状态，市场的狂热程度飙升至创纪录的高水平。
　　
　　
　　
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