刘翼笙：黄金投资的入门与技巧，以及新手如何入门黄金投资？

　　刘翼笙：gold投资的入门与技巧，以及新手如何入门黄金投资？


　　很多朋友肯定有想过做一些投资，只是不了解，没有一个好的计划，所以一直没有行动，在这个市场只要抓住机遇就能成功。


　　有句话要给到大家：“七分心态，三分技术。”可见技术只是战术层面的，而心态则是有战略高度的。培养好的交易心态，就成了我们努力追求的目标。所以我就分享以下几个方面。

　　一、金市汇市，相互关联，相互影响


The fluctuations in the foreign exchange market have a significant impact on the gold market. When the US dollar exchange rate rises or falls sharply, it often drives gold down and up. The rise of the euro will also drive the rise of gold. Generally speaking, the rise of the US dollar, the fall of gold, the fall of the US dollar, and the rise of gold may occur simultaneously. However, such situations are very rare. If such a situation occurs, investors need to carefully analyze and consider it.


　　在国际foreign exchange市场上，美元的疲软往往会推动金价的上涨，这是由于美元的下跌既可以使那些以非美元作为本位币的投资者用其他货币买到便宜的黄金，同时又能刺激黄金需求，特别是黄金首饰方面的消费需求。如1985~1987年，美元对瑞士法郎贬值40%时，黄金价格就从每盎司300The US dollar has risen to500USD.


　　一般而言，当美国经济增长速度放缓，出现衰退迹象时，美元汇率下跌则金价可望上扬。反之，美元汇率回升，金价则将会下跌。这是因为美元汇率的下跌往往与通货膨胀有关，致使市场投机性需求增加，进而刺激市场金价上升。


　　1971year8Month and1973year2In the month of the month, the US government twice announced the depreciation of the US dollar, which was due to factors such as the significant decline in the US dollar exchange rate and inflation,1980At the beginning of the year, the price of gold in the international gold market rose to a historic high, breaking through800dollar/ounce.


Looking back at over thirty years of history, it can be found that whenever the exchange rate of the US dollar against other Western currencies is strong, the price of gold in the international market will drop significantly. If there is a slight depreciation of the US dollar, the price of gold will gradually rise.


　　二、战争状态，金价攀升


In history, gold was not only seen as a means to prevent inflation, but also as a form of insurance against war and natural disasters. Unlike paper currency, gold is an effective medium for value exchange in any social environment or country, and is a hard currency that is not affected by the local social system and economic environment at that time.


The ongoing political turmoil and wars in the international community will ultimately affect gold production and lead to a decrease in gold supply, leading to an increase in gold prices. Of course, there are also cases where the unstable political situation has led to a large number of investors abandoning other investment tools and turning to gold as investment preservers, thereby expanding demand and stimulating the sustained rise in gold prices.


　　例如第二次世界大战，l977~1978年的中东战争，1979年的伊朗革命，1980年的阿富汗战争，1986年伊朗门事件以及美国总统里根遇刺，海湾战争，特别是2001year9month11日在美国发生的恐怖事件及以后美国发动对阿富汗塔里班进行的战争，都曾使黄金价格在短时期内急剧上涨。


　　三、该涨不涨，可能下跌


　　有些时候当有利好的经济数据或消息出台后，金价并未受此消息的影响开始大幅上升，只是略微上涨甚至有所回落，一旦出现利坏消息，即会引起金价的急速下跌。


　　这说明市场关注的焦点已经有所转移，每个时期市场都有一个关注的焦点，当这个焦点并未被另一个新的焦点所替代前，任何与此焦点无关的利好经济数据都有可能被市场所忽视。


The gold market is often a strange mixture of numbness and sensitivity, rationality and blindness intertwined. Only by following changes in market mentality can we understand what the market is doing.


　　四、时间规律，不可忘记


The US dollar is used annually3~9The possibility of a monthly increase is greater than a decrease, and the possibility of a gold market decline during this period is greater than an increase. Every year10From month to year2The possibility of a downward trend is greater than an upward trend. The possibility of an increase in the gold market during this period is greater than a decrease.

　　五、市场评论，仔细分析


　　黄金市场的评论分析可谓是各有千秋，由于发布这些分析的机构不同，我们需要采取不同的方式来获取有益的信息。

　　通过上述内容，相信投资者们对投资技巧也有了了解，当然只是了解的话还是远远不够，一定要有自己的分析，才能在黄金投资中找到属于自己的方法。


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　　本文作者：刘翼笙


　　作者赠言：交易无法模仿，也无法复制，只属于自己


The above content is for reference only. Investment carries risks and caution is required when entering the market.