刘霆龙：12.12Trend of Gold and Crude Oil-黄金空头还能反扑吗？

　　梦可天花乱坠，交易须脚踏实地

　　周三，现货gold进一步反弹，涨幅也有所扩大。受美联储利率决议影响，现货黄金震荡上行，在美联储声明发布后短线下挫近2美元但随后基本收复跌幅并转涨，最高涨破1478dollar/盎司；现货白银最高至16.94dollar/ounce.

　　油市方面，由于昨晚公布的美国EIAcrude oil库存意外增加，分项数据也全都利空，布油持续下挫，一度跌破63dollar/桶关口，跌超2%, refresh12month6日以来低位。WTI原油一度跌近2%。随后两油收复部分跌幅，小幅收跌。

　　黄金走势分析：日线图布林线轨道收口后后水平运行，留意布林线轨道1448.83-1483.35Regional breakthroughs; at presentMACDGolden fork,KDJ初步结成金叉的迹象但信号偏弱，短线可能会试探布林线中轨1466.07附近支撑，该位置也是20日均线支撑所在，富常波认为若失守该支撑，则增加后市看空信号；30Daily moving average1471.29附近也存在一定支撑；本周低点支撑在1458.78附近，上周五低点支撑也在该位置，若下破该支撑，则增加短线看空信号，由于上周五的大阴线的利空影响仍在，需要回升至上周五高点1479.73位置上方，才能扭转短线看空信号。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上霆龙个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注1480-1482Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1465-1467Frontline support.

Suggestions for short-term operation of gold:

　　空单：反弹1479不破附近做空，止损5US dollars, look at the target1470-1468

　　多单：回调1470不破附近做多，止损5US dollars, look at the target1478-1480

　　原油走势分析：原油日线来看，日线结构来看，日线图MACDGolden fork,KDJ金叉，均线多头排列，目前美油整体保持着偏强震荡状态，虽然近期行情一直处在5日线上运行，但并未斩获太多空间，上方60一线依然是强势。下方58附近作为多条均线的集合位，也存在较强的支撑作用，由于MACD也发出顶背离信号，K线接近“上吊线”，仍需警惕见顶信号，4小时来看短线MACDHigh dead cross,KDJ粘合，短线仍有回调风险，布林线轨道开始收口，在失守布林线中轨58.6前，后市仍偏向多头；下方较强的支撑在58附近，若意外失守该支撑，则增加短线看空信号。上方留意60整数关口附近阻力(布林线上轨59.5)附近阻力，若顶破该阻力，则有望打开新的上涨空间。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上霆龙个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注59.8-60.2Frontline resistance, short-term focus below58.0-57.5一线支撑。文中操作建议仅供参考，具体建议实盘现价给出，操作不理想或把握不了行情方向的朋友可添加指导微信：LTL8333Obtain guidance slots.

Suggestions for short-term crude oil operations:

　　空单：反弹不破59.4Short nearby, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target58.6-58.4

　　多单：回调不破58.2Long nearby, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target59.2-59.4

Attitude determines hardship and joy, concept determines success and failure, and the simpler a person is, the more peaceful their trading becomes. Many times, you would rather be killed in battle against the tide than reflect on yourself. A drop of ink can stain a glass of water, but it is difficult to muddy a river because a generous heart can accommodate it;One sentence can ruin a temporary mood, but it is difficult to determine a person's life, because fate is in one's own hands;An accident can make your footsteps heavy and difficult to erode your persistent pursuit, because you are "alive" in the market, and because you are strong, the road is ahead. Don't easily stop walking.

　　霆龙交易理念：趋势是盈利的基础，止损是盈利的保障
对原油/gold/foreign exchange/指数等投资不够理想的朋友，可以请教刘霆龙老师（官微：LTL8333），学习看盘分析，能长期站稳外汇市场，都是投资理念正确、操作方式合理者，这里有很多经验分享给大家。