Li Dingyuan:12.11黄金弱势震荡待突破，今日金价行情走势分析及操作建议

　　说实话我希望可以把自己的热情暖感染到每一个人。我爱我的行业，几年间，几乎都熬夜看盘到很晚，也常常因为解一个客户的套单，通宵不睡，不仅要解套，还要经常和他们谈心，做这一行，心态，永远是第一位，我觉得客户和分析师的差别不仅仅是专业技能的差别，最大的地方是心态，客户多半因为真金白银犹豫不决半信半疑的错过很多盈利机会，反而会亏，我是一个心很软的人。做久了和客户成了朋友，有时候也很心疼他们的处境，做这个多半是想赚钱，能改善一下生活条件，听了他们的故事，真的是暗暗下决心一定要为他们多赚一点。毕竟谁的钱都不是大风刮来的，都是辛辛苦苦的血汗钱。我们要尊重自己的劳动成果。我爱这个的行业，我不知道有多少人在和我一样的坚持着我们的初衷。为了分析师这个头衔没日没夜的拼着。我也希望看到我这段话的真真正正的投资者，能让我为你们做点什么。对投资不理想或者想学习的朋友可以咨询我，我会尽我最大的努力帮助你。
　　
Wednesday(12month11day)亚市早盘，欧元/The US dollar is hovering around1.1090左右，现货gold基本持稳，位于1464dollar/盎司附近。周二(12month10day)，随着美联储政策会议、英国大选以及新一轮关税可能生效等风险事件的临近，贵金属市场日内波动似乎有所加剧的趋势。现货金银冲高回落，现货黄金在美盘前一度涨至1469dollar/盎司，现货白银最高逼近16.7dollar/盎司。与此同时，油市同时受到利好和利空消息影响，利好是EIA短期能源展望报告上调全球crude oil需求增速和下调2020年原油产量预期，利空是API数据显示美国原油库存意外录得增加。两油维持日内窄幅震荡，最终小幅收涨。在汇市方面，美元指数仍在持续12月初开始的疲软走势中挣扎，非美货币大都上扬，其中随着大选临近，投资者情绪变得谨慎，英镑兑美元陷入窄幅波动。
　　
　　美联储将于北京时间周四（12month12In the early morning of the day3:00公布年内最后一次利率决议，目前看调整利率的可能性看起来几乎为零，毕竟美联储10月刚刚宣布今年第三次降息，并暗示会在一段时期内按兵不动，以观察经济。美联储主席在之后的记者会上可能会谈到一些更为有趣的话题。他可能会谈论短期银行间拆借市场的紧张情况，这曾在9月份导致回购利率一度飙升至10%。此后美联储一直通过几乎每天购买证券使回购市场恢复稳定。而由于全球经贸局势的不确定，加剧了金价的震荡。此外，在利率决议公布之前，市场整体波动有限，投资者非常谨慎。
　　
United States11After adjusting the roseCPI月率将至会有意外发生吗？今晚21:30，美国将公布美国11After adjusting the roseCPI月率。此前公布的美国10After adjusting the roseCPI月率好坏参半，其中未季调CPI年率超预期，刷新3月以来新高，但核心CPI年率不及预期。 鼎缘认为近期美联储官员频繁谈及通胀新规，这给本次季调后CPI月率招来了更多关注。表现好于预期的数据将进一步巩固市场对美联储12月不降息的预期，表现不好的数据虽然不能逆转交易员们对明日利率决议的押注，但将影响市场对2020年美联储货币政策的预期。
　　
　　黄金走势：
　　
　　黄金技术面分析，日线级别金价处于下降楔形形态走势中。上周黄金冲高在上沿线受阻回落，目前在中间位震荡运行，周一日K线录得上影线，暗示上方卖压较强，昨日黄金因美元指数从97.68滑落支撑金价，黄金日内整体呈上涨态势，晚间最高上涨至1469一线回落，目前报价1463.5，指标上，macdThe red kinetic energy column continues to weaken,rsi指标仍偏弱势，KDJ死叉扩展保持向下，预示后市仍偏向下行，目前短线仍然是低位震荡为主。
　　
Gold4小时级别，自上周大阴之后，本周前两个交易日维持在低位反复震荡整理，在企稳1460后温和上涨，周二晚间惯线冲高1469震荡回落。随后4小时收出射击之星，金价继续回辙。回吐日内涨幅，1468并没有有效突破，这也说明了本周初的震荡是对前面大阴的修正，从大结构来看黄金仍处于调整走势，趋势弱势偏空，那么小结构配合大结构来走，黄金短线修正后还将会继续回落，再次去测试1445附近支撑，黄金1小时级别，周一周二连续两日过山车式的震荡行情，行情走势一波三折，金价站上1460，低点抬高，高点走高，短线走势偏强运行，但整体上仍然是承压整理，李鼎缘综合来看，黄金仍然是弱势偏空走势，高空思路不变，短线上方继续关注1468一线的突破情况，操作上李鼎缘建议靠近1468Short selling nearby, with defense placed on1472, Objective1460-1455；
　　
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
　　
　　1Rebound1471Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1458-1456；
　　
　　2Callback1453Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1464-1466；
　　
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How to invest in gold steadily:
　　
The ups and downs of the market sometimes have traces to follow, and sometimes they are unfounded. The standard for deciding whether to participate in the market is whether to find sufficient reasons to persuade oneself through one's own trading system, and these reasons are the necessary adjustments in the trading system to determine a complete set of transactions-Position holding-adjustment-defense-The goal "is indispensable, and blind rampage will only make one's trading disorderly, and everyone can accept unclear profits. However, only traders who can summarize clear losses can go further! Investment is a balanced art. Only by understanding trade-offs and trade-offs can one be considered mature and not burdened by stubbornness. Investors who are still confused about it should not worry.
　　
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When the market is in a strong uptrend and sometimes rapidly falling, you cannot control the direction of the market. The only thing we can do is to keep the principal. When the market is uncertain, we can take our positions out of the market and wait and see. There is no need to waste our energy on unclear actions. Is the market up or down? The most important thing to worry about is what measures you will take to respond to market changes, how much profit you can make when you are right, and how much you can avoid when you are wrong. I hope Li Dingyuan's article can bring you small gains.
　　
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