Li Dingyuan:12.9晚间黄金还会涨吗？晚间金价行情走势分析及操作建议

　　说实话我希望可以把自己的热情暖感染到每一个人。我爱我的行业，几年间，几乎都熬夜看盘到很晚，也常常因为解一个客户的套单，通宵不睡，不仅要解套，还要经常和他们谈心，做这一行，心态，永远是第一位，我觉得客户和分析师的差别不仅仅是专业技能的差别，最大的地方是心态，客户多半因为真金白银犹豫不决半信半疑的错过很多盈利机会，反而会亏，我是一个心很软的人。做久了和客户成了朋友，有时候也很心疼他们的处境，做这个多半是想赚钱，能改善一下生活条件，听了他们的故事，真的是暗暗下决心一定要为他们多赚一点。毕竟谁的钱都不是大风刮来的，都是辛辛苦苦的血汗钱。我们要尊重自己的劳动成果。我爱这个的行业，我不知道有多少人在和我一样的坚持着我们的初衷。为了分析师这个头衔没日没夜的拼着。我也希望看到我这段话的真真正正的投资者，能让我为你们做点什么。对投资不理想或者想学习的朋友可以咨询我，我会尽我最大的努力帮助你。
　　
　　gold本周小幅收跌，市场预计在下周美联储宣布利率决定之前，金价可能仍将承压。在过去的半个星期里，黄金价格有所上涨，周三一度达到1480dollar/盎司以上的高点。然而，金价仍难以收于50日均线之上，周五跌至1460dollar/盎司关口之下，这可能是对靓丽的美国非农就业数据和美元上涨的回应。美元是黄金最大的克敌。外界普遍预计，美联储下周将维持利率不变，并重申对数据的依赖。此外，在股市屡创新高、收益率曲线再度变陡以及近期数据显示不存在衰退风险的情况下，美联储没有理由表现得过于鸽派。
　　
　　李鼎缘个人观点：在没有消息的情况下，投资者通常会持谨慎态度”，鼎缘认为如果负面消息令金价跌破1450美元，可能导致金价进一步下跌。目前投资者仍希望金价上涨，但上行空间有限。对1450美元水平的压力只会增加，在某个时候，该水准将被打破。到今年年底，流动性将会枯竭，交易将变得更具技术性。本周非农已经引发市场大幅波动，但鼎缘认为这可能仅仅是个热身，下周市场或许会迎来真正的“超级周”。最后，英国大选将在12month12日举行，或将结束最近的政治动荡以及长达三年多的退欧疑云，抑或是陷入更为不确定的动荡之中。市场也必将拭目以待。
　　
Gold Market Analysis
　　
　　从季节性因素看，金价年底前可能会上涨，今年可能出现同样的走势。如果你在圣诞节前后买进黄金，然后在新年的第二周卖出，黄金上涨的几率超过80%。鼎缘从历史数据分析得出，在这一时期内，黄金在过去15年中有13年是上涨的。下行方向，关注1453美元水准很重要，其可能会引发许多止损。投资者不能忘记周四的英国大选，其可能对英国退欧产生重大影响。
　　
　　从技术面上看，周三金价在50Daily moving average1480美元上方遇阻，随后跌至1460USD, for12month2日确认的50Zhou He100周均线的看跌交叉提供了支撑。14周相对强弱指标也呈利空倾向，低于50，周线图上MACD指标在零线以下产生了更深的条线，这是看空势头增强的迹象。此外，5Zhou He10周移动均线正朝着有利于空头的方向下移。目前看来，金价已为跌向11Monthly low point1445美元铺平道路。收盘下跌将支撑看跌格局，金价将面临跌向1405美元的支撑位。如果黄金企稳于12month4Daily high point1484美元上方，使日线上的高点下移失效，那么短期前景将转为看涨。
　　
Suggestions for short-term operation of gold:
　　
　　1Suggestions1485Short nearby, stop loss1490, Objective1467-1455；
　　
　　2Suggestions1447Long nearby, stop loss1440, Objective1456-1464；
　　
The above views only represent Dingyuan's personal views. If you feel that Li Dingyuan's views are helpful to you, you can try adding Li Dingyuan//Line“ldy86588”Every day, there will be timely analysis of the gold strategy, as well as real-time guidance and one-on-one consulting services, dedicated to answering every investment challenge you face.
　　
Personal feedback on making orders:
　　
　　1Spot: The spot where the order is placed is quite important, although gold.crude oil是多和空两种模式操作，其实是四种操作方法，低多，低空，高多，高空这四种，在单边势头中，这四种模式都是可取的，如果是在震荡趋势中，切记不可低空和高多，这样就相当于追涨杀跌，万万切记，很多人都是追涨杀跌导致亏损。
　　
　　2Stop loss: Before placing an order, you should think about the stop loss price and whether it is reasonable. After placing an order, you should immediately fill in the stop loss price. Why do you need to fill in the stop loss at the beginning? If the market is not the situation you want to go, then you can reduce losses in the first place. Stop loss means to stop losses. Only small losses can maintain vitality, and sometimes you need to be willing to give up, It's not that you're losing this time and won't be able to earn back next time. You need to control the risks of your investment.
　　
　　3Positions: How funds are allocated is related to the level of psychological resilience. If a position is too large or full, once the trend reverses, losses will increase, and psychological stress will also increase. Often, it is not possible to carefully analyze market trends, resulting in incorrect operations.
　　
　　4Stop profit: Many people often fail to do a good job of stopping profit, resulting in profit orders becoming loss orders. In a unilateral trend, stop profit can be increased by using the push stop loss method to increase profit space. Stop profit often requires personal thinking to close positions, not every order must earn tens of thousands or even tens of thousands. In a volatile market, sometimes a few hundred profits add up.
　　
　　5Attitude: This is the most important point that every investor must grasp. When you enter this market, it is undeniable that everyone is trying to make money, but your attitude determines how far you will go on the investment path. What you need to achieve is to rather make small profits than lose money, rather than thinking about earning more and earning less.
　　
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Comprehensive guidance teacher: Li Dingyuan Analysis Team
　　
Analysis writer: Li Dingyuan  Wei-Core（ ldy86588） Official account (Li Dingyuan)
　　
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