Li Dingyuan:12.9周一黄金还会涨吗？周一黄金走势分析及解套策略

　　说实话我希望可以把自己的热情暖感染到每一个人。我爱我的行业，几年间，几乎都熬夜看盘到很晚，也常常因为解一个客户的套单，通宵不睡，不仅要解套，还要经常和他们谈心，做这一行，心态，永远是第一位，我觉得客户和分析师的差别不仅仅是专业技能的差别，最大的地方是心态，客户多半因为真金白银犹豫不决半信半疑的错过很多盈利机会，反而会亏，我是一个心很软的人。做久了和客户成了朋友，有时候也很心疼他们的处境，做这个多半是想赚钱，能改善一下生活条件，听了他们的故事，真的是暗暗下决心一定要为他们多赚一点。毕竟谁的钱都不是大风刮来的，都是辛辛苦苦的血汗钱。我们要尊重自己的劳动成果。我爱这个的行业，我不知道有多少人在和我一样的坚持着我们的初衷。为了分析师这个头衔没日没夜的拼着。我也希望看到我这段话的真真正正的投资者，能让我为你们做点什么。对投资不理想或者想学习的朋友可以咨询我，我会尽我最大的努力帮助你。
　　
Friday(12month6day)，美国经济连传佳音，11月非农就业岗位意外激增26.6万个，且失业率和薪资增长年率也表现强劲；随后公布的美国12月密歇根大学消费者信心指数初值为99.2，也远高于预期和前值。强劲的数据缓解了市场对美国经济即将陷入衰退的担忧，美元指数受到提振大幅攀升，短线上扬逾40点，主要非美货币则节节后退。随着美元上扬，现货gold承压回落，连失1470and1460美元两道关口。美股也受到提振大幅上涨，其中道指上扬300Point or1.1%。
　　
　　随后公布的另一项数据也表现非常强劲：美国12月密歇根大学消费者信心指数初值为99.2, expected97, Previous value96.8。美国密歇根大学消费调查主管Curtin指出，自2017年初以来，消费者信心上升至有利区间的高端水平。12月初的信心增长几乎全部来自高收入家庭，由于股市上涨，其家庭财富也接近历史最高水平。数据显示，COMEXMost Active GoldfuturesContract Beijing Time12month6day21:30一分钟内买卖盘面成交手，合约总价值约16亿美元。非农数据公布后的5分钟内，COMEX期金成交金额达到37.20USD100mn
　　
　　下周美国最重大的事件将是下周三美联储的利率声明，但Kitco采访的多数分析师表示，其可能不会成为重大事件。中美贸易方面，12month15日是市场关注的关键日期，因美国总统特朗普可能会对中国进口商品征收更多关税。
　　
　　黄金走势预测及操作建议
　　
　　现货黄金从技术面来看，日线图MACD金叉，但红能开始萎缩，KDJ有重新结成死叉的趋势，金价下破布林线中轨1470.25附近支撑，后市偏向震荡下行，初步支撑在本周低点1453.78附近；近期低点支撑在1445.70附近；该位置也是1266-1557Upward trend38.2%回撤位，个人认为若跌破该支撑，则增加中线看空信号。上方初步阻力在10Daily moving average1464.12Nearby,5Daily moving average resistance1470.15附近该位置也是布林线中轨所在，若收复该位置，则削弱短线看空信号，进一步阻力在30Daily moving average1473.81附近，本周高点阻力在1484.09附近。综合来看，下周一短线操作思路上个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注1466-1468Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1454-1456一线支撑。行情千变万化，点位仅供参考，详情关注李鼎缘本人。如果有仓位上套|Single lock|Single friends, please consult me promptly.
　　
　　1Rebound to1466-1468Short nearby, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1460-1456frontline
　　
　　2Callback to1454-1456Long nearby, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1462-1466frontline
　　
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Personal feedback on making orders:
　　
　　1Spot: The spot where the order is placed is quite important, although gold.crude oil是多和空两种模式操作，其实是四种操作方法，低多，低空，高多，高空这四种，在单边势头中，这四种模式都是可取的，如果是在震荡趋势中，切记不可低空和高多，这样就相当于追涨杀跌，万万切记，很多人都是追涨杀跌导致亏损。
　　
　　2Stop loss: Before placing an order, you should think about the stop loss price and whether it is reasonable. After placing an order, you should immediately fill in the stop loss price. Why do you need to fill in the stop loss at the beginning? If the market is not the situation you want to go, then you can reduce losses in the first place. Stop loss means to stop losses. Only small losses can maintain vitality, and sometimes you need to be willing to give up, It's not that you're losing this time and won't be able to earn back next time. You need to control the risks of your investment.
　　
　　3Positions: How funds are allocated is related to the level of psychological resilience. If a position is too large or full, once the trend reverses, losses will increase, and psychological stress will also increase. Often, it is not possible to carefully analyze market trends, resulting in incorrect operations.
　　
　　4Stop profit: Many people often fail to do a good job of stopping profit, resulting in profit orders becoming loss orders. In a unilateral trend, stop profit can be increased by using the push stop loss method to increase profit space. Stop profit often requires personal thinking to close positions, not every order must earn tens of thousands or even tens of thousands. In a volatile market, sometimes a few hundred profits add up.
　　
　　5Attitude: This is the most important point that every investor must grasp. When you enter this market, it is undeniable that everyone is trying to make money, but your attitude determines how far you will go on the investment path. What you need to achieve is to rather make small profits than lose money, rather than thinking about earning more and earning less.
　　
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