MBG Markets：经贸局势主宰金价，加央行声明提振加元

　　
加央行按兵不动，乐观声明提振加元(USD/CAD)
　　
Technical aspect:美元兑加元上一交易日震幅达106Points, closing down0.74%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)The Bolin middle track tends to decline, and the exchange rate is close to the Bolin lower track; Daily lineMA5,10构死叉，MA5,10Double track trend downward, exchange rate under pressureMA5Below; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)阴柱势能较前一交易日增大；日线RSI(14)to39-40Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above1.3207Below support attention1.3130。
　　
Fundamentals:周三晚，加拿大央行维持隔夜基准利率在1.75%不变，与市场预期一致，为连续第9次会议按兵不动。声明中称，尽管贸易不确定性持续存在，但加拿大央行认为稳定的利率帮助经济维持平衡，加拿大经济料保持韧性。摩根大通：过去一年加元出色的表现可能无法在2020年持续。这在很大程度上是因为加拿大2019年周期性表现领先的驱动因素是暂时现象。2020年加拿大将更容易受到国内经济增长放缓的影响，这对加元不利；仍预计加拿大央行将在明年1Monthly interest rate reduction.
　　
油价隔夜拉升，聚焦今晚OPEC+meeting(USOIL)
　　
Technical aspect:WTIcrude oilThe previous trading day's amplitude reached238Individual points, closing up3.55%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)布林中轨趋于走平，汇价贴近布林下轨；日线MA5,10,20三线趋黏合，MA5趋于走高，汇价运行于MA5上方；日线MACD(12,26,9)阴柱势能较小，势能较前一交易日缩减；日线RSI(14)to56-57一线运行，运行斜率较大趋于下行。上方阻力关注57.10Below support attention55.00。
　　
Fundamentals:欧佩克大会新公布的日程表显示，本次欧佩克大会的开幕式将于今晚22:00开始。欧佩克成员国对进一步减产的要求不断增加，若再减产4010000 barrels/日，则减产幅度将升至16010000 barrels/日，而更高的减产执行率将进一步提振市场情绪。如果减产协议延长6Months to2020年下半年，油市状况将变得更加清晰。除了减产量意外，减产执行率将会成为一大关注重点。船舶跟踪机构Kpler指出，自去年达成协议以来，11个国家中只有5个国家的石油实现减产，阿联酋、伊拉克、尼日利亚、加蓬、刚果和厄瓜多尔的产量都高于平均水平。
　　
经贸局势反复，金价大幅震荡(XAU/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:goldThe previous trading day's amplitude reached126Points, closing down0.07%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于开口，布林中轨趋于上行，金价贴近布林上轨；日线MA5,10构金叉，MA5,10双线趋于上行，金价运行于MA5上方；日线MACD(12,26,9)阳柱势能较大，势能较前一交易日增大；日线RSI(14)to54-55Frontline operation, with a smaller operating slope tending to rise. Attention to resistance above23.6%Callback bit1489，下方支撑关注布林中轨。
　　
Fundamentals:Panic indexVIX指数上一交易日收跌7.27%, closing on14.80； Forward looking gold price indicator Barrick Gold Company(NYSE:ABX)股价上一交易日收跌1.45%, closing on17.03。 The world's largest goldETFFund: United StatesSPDR Gold Trustto12month5Daily reduction of holdings0.59吨黄金，净持仓量缩至888.57吨。周二，现货黄金因美国总统特朗普发表的相关言论，大涨20美元。周三的黄金再度因贸易局势而突然跳水，自日内高点1484回撤近百点。分析表示，全球经贸局势毫无疑问地依旧是主导金价的主要因素。鉴于这两日的风险因素较多，黄金后市波动性可期。
　　
　　
　　
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