MBG Markets：避险情绪助力金价，美元连跌非美上行

　　
保守党扩大领先优势，英镑冲刺1.30the highest level(GBP/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:英镑兑美元上一交易日震幅达81Individual points, closing up0.44%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)布林中轨趋于上行，汇价贴近布林上轨；日线MA5,10,20Construct multi period golden fork resonance,MA5,10双线趋于上行，汇价运行于MA5上方；日线MACD(12,26,9)DIFFOnline threadingDEA构金叉，阴柱翻阳；日线RSI(14)to63-64Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above1.3225，下方支撑关注布林中轨位置。
　　
Fundamentals:调查显示保守党的支持率为44%，较一周前上升一个百分点，而工党的支持率仍在32%不变。支持留欧的自由民主党支持率上升一个百分点至15%，脱欧党支持率下降一个百分点至2%. according toCME“英国央行观察”：英国央行12Monthly interest rate maintained at0.75%The constant probability is91%Interest rate reduction25Bps to0.5%的概率为9%； By next year1Monthly interest rate maintained at0.75%The constant probability is72.8%。
　　
11monthCPI读数回暖，欧美震荡微涨(AUD/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:澳元兑美元上一交易日震幅达46Individual points, closing up0.47%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)布林中轨趋于走平，汇价贴近布林上轨；日线MA5,10构金叉，MA5,10双线趋于上行，汇价运行于MA5上方；日线MACD(12,26,9)DIFFOnline threadingDEA构金叉，阳柱势能较前一交易日增大；日线RSI(14)to59-60Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above0.6880Below support attention0.6830。
　　
Fundamentals:周二，澳洲联储公布利率决议，维持12月现金利率在0.75%的纪录低位不变，符合预期。声明中称，澳洲联储仍准备好在必要时放松货币政策，预计较长时间的低利率是合理的，同时预计2020Year and2021年通胀率将接近2%。Australia to12month1Day and WeekANZConsumer confidence indexnewspaper108.1，优于前值106.8。澳新银行：澳大利亚零售贸易的节假日影响正在减弱。澳大利亚的圣诞购物季对零售业来说是一个重要时期，占全年非食品销售额的12%，但这种圣诞效应在过去更为强烈，尤其是在非食品零售领域。但随着时间推移，这一效应出现了明显的下降趋势。
　　
双重因素推升避险，金价强势拉升(XAU/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:goldThe previous trading day's amplitude reached219Individual points, closing up0.95%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于开口，布林中轨趋于上行，金价贴近布林上轨；日线MA5,10构金叉，MA5,10双线趋于上行，金价运行于MA5上方；日线MACD(12,26,9)阳柱势能较大，势能较前一交易日增大；日线RSI(14)to55-56Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above1481Below support attention1445。
　　
Fundamentals:Panic indexVIX指数上一交易日收涨7.04%, closing on15.96。金价前瞻指标巴里克黄金公司(NYSE:ABX)The stock price closed up on the previous trading day2.31%, closing on17.28。
　　
　　
　　
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