MBG Markets：民调结果助力英镑，金价延续低位承压

民调结果助力，英镑低位回升(GBP/USD)
　　
　　技术面：英镑兑美元上一交易日震幅达123Individual points, closing up0.54%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)The Bolin track tends to rise, and the exchange rate continues to operate above the track; Daily lineMA5,10构死叉，MA5趋于走高，汇价运行于MA5上方；日线MACD(12,26,9)阴柱势能较小，势能较前一交易日缩减；日线RSI(14)to58-59Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above1.2985Below support attention1.2760。
　　
　　基本面：据民调显示，英国首相约翰逊或将赢得绝对多数。保守党或将获得359个议会席位，工党或将获得211个议会席位。荷兰国际银行：保守党占多数应对英镑有利，因这将增加英国首相约翰逊的脱欧计划获议会批准的几率；但脱欧后英国与包括欧盟在内的国际伙伴贸易协议谈判的不确定性，料将限制英镑的涨势；预计2020年欧元兑英镑EUR/GBP不太可能大幅低于0.82-0.83区域。穆迪：英国主要政党的政策将导致更宽松的财政政策以及政府负债增加；尽管增加的开支将导致短期的益处，但英国动态的负债水平将会在工党或者保守党的计划下恶化。
　　
美经济数据整体向好，欧美低位承压(EUR/USD)
　　
　　技术面：欧元兑美元上一交易日震幅达30Points, closing down0.16%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于收口，布林中轨趋于下行，汇价贴近布林下轨；日线MA5,10构死叉，MA5稍趋走平，汇价承压于MA5Below; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)阴柱势能较小，势能无明显增减；日线RSI(14)to39-40一线运行，运行斜率较小趋于走平。上方阻力关注布林中轨位置，下方支撑关注1.0990。
　　
　　基本面：美国第三季度实际GDP年化季率修正值由1.9%Upgraded to2.1%，显示美国第三季度经济增长略有回升，而非最初报告显示的放缓。美国10月耐用品订单月率环比增长0.6%，优于预期，但主要是因为国防用品例如战机和轮船的订单增多；民用产品的订单几乎没有增长。美联储褐皮书：报告制造业扩张的联储地区比上一次报告期更多，尽管大多数地区仍无增长。多数联储地区报告消费者支出稳定至适度增长，总体来说，前景良好，预计增长将延续至2020年。相比10月份的报告，最新的报告基调略微乐观，并符合美联储关于经济温和增长的预期。
　　
看空氛围渐起，金价低位盘整(XAU/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:goldThe previous trading day's amplitude reached86Points, closing down0.25%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于收口，布林中轨趋于下行，金价持续承压于中轨下方；日线MA5,10,20Construct multi period dead fork resonance,MA5,10双线趋于下行，金价承压于MA5Below; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)阴柱势能较小，势能较前一交易日增大；日线RSI(14)to39-40一线运行，运行斜率较小趋于走平。上方阻力关注布林中轨位置，下方支撑关注1447。
　　
　　基本面：恐慌指数VIX指数上一交易日收涨1.82%, closing on11.75； Forward looking gold price indicator Barrick Gold Company(NYSE:ABX)股价上一交易日收跌0.65%, closing on16.70。Kitco周三发布的每周调查显示，黄金投资者预期未来一周金市将会再次受到打击;尽管短期内华尔街以中立情绪为主，但投资者的看空情绪占据上风。分析认为，黄金颓势的背后有两大原因：一是本周美元受到国内经济的支撑，打压金价；二是美股在过去一周屡创新高，黄金的吸引力有所减弱。
　　
　　
　　
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