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投资交易如同做人,选择大于努力,不论是交易方向的选择,投资方法的选择,还是老师的选择都至关重要,不能带你盈利的都是夸夸其谈,诚恳走一生,虚情假意将永远被唾弃,是金子总会发光,鱼龙混杂的市场,吹嘘得来的认可,总会原形毕露,唯有坚持写出对投资者有用的分析,能让投资者少走点弯路,学到技巧与知识,少错一单,那么我相信日久见人心。
11month18Solstice22日市场综述:本周政经动向与央行立场继续施力金融市场。主要焦点围绕:中镁经贸情绪交替令市场多空再度拉扯、欧美央行10月决议纪要及大佬讲话“老调重弹”、英国大选进入最后三周倒计,美国众议院通过临时支出法案避免政府停摆以及川普调查进入关键第二周。
Spotgold在关键支撑位1450和关键阻力位1480区间内维持“上不破,下固守”的局面,本周最高攻至1478.92, lowest touch1456.44一线,经贸情绪喜忧参半的交替令黄金交易者露出“倦意”。crude oilmarketWTI周内升幅近4dollar/桶,本周迎来两大利好,其一为11month15日当周的美原油库存虽然延续此前三个星期连涨势头,但不及此前预期,促使原油周三涨幅扩大,日内涨近3dollar/桶,基本收复周二失地;周四OPEC+有望延长减产的消息令多头再度跃升,最高触及58.74一线,刷2A new high of months.
接下来的一周将迎来美国的感恩节,在感恩节之前,仍有美国10monthPCEData, USA10月耐用品订单月率、美国三季度GDP修正值等重要数据,投资者需要重点关注;对于国际经贸局势也需要予以留意。
Gold trend analysis:
刚刚过去的一周金价整体波动较小,主要呈现反弹受阻的走势,最高曾触及1478.92, lowest touch1456.44Report collection1462.1,周线下跌0.43%,一方面是技术面强阻力位的压制,另一方面则是美元的逆袭和国际经贸局势对避险情绪的打压。由于美元看涨信号增加,市场对下周美国经济数据的预期略微偏向乐观,黄金短线技术面看空信号有所增加,后市金价面临重回跌势的风险。
技术面来看,金价自触及1557后基本处于震荡下行的通道内,尽管上周在1266-1557Upward trend38.2%Retreat position1446附近获得支撑后小幅反弹,但受到了1480Gateway100Daily moving average and20日均线等多重阻力压制,日线图MACD金叉形成受阻,KDJofJ值也出现拐头迹象,金价重回跌势的风险显著增加。下方初步支撑在1456.44附近,近期多单支撑在1445.70附近,鸿ㅣ金认为若下破该支撑,则暗示金价打开中线下行通道;进一步支撑在8month2日多单1430.46附近,较强的支撑则在8month1日多单1400.58附近。上方重点关注100Daily moving average1482.35附近阻力,若意外顶破该阻力,则增加后市看涨信号。
Short line4hourMACDDead fork,KDJ死叉,金价偏向进一步下破布林线下轨1461.94附近支撑,金价后市偏向沿布林线下轨向下运行;进一步支撑分别在1456.44、1452.66and1445.70附近。上方布林线中轨阻力在1469.96附近,关注3268735920若能收复该位置,则削弱短线看空信号;进一步阻力在1474.53Nearby, the rail resistance on the Brin line is1478.00附近。综合来看,周一操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高空为主,低多为辅;
Focus on resistance above:1468.72;1471.55;1474.53;
Pay attention to support below:1460.53;1456.44;1452.66;
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
1Rebound1472Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1462-1460;
2Callback1456Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1468-1470;
3、盘间行情实时变化,具体操作策略以周鸿金(薇-Core:zh66646)指导实盘为准;
原油走势分析:
刚刚过去的一周,油价先跌后涨,早些时候因为市场对库存增加的预期和需求疲软的预期升温,而且有消息人士称俄罗斯不太可能在OPEC+会议上同意加大减产力度,美原油一度创逾两周新低至54.85dollar/桶;不过,随着库欣原油库存大幅下降,国际经贸局势传出积极信号等利好的支撑,油价扭跌为涨,美油一度创八周新高至58.74dollar/桶;不过最终收报57.93dollar/桶,与上周收盘价持平。
Technically speaking, the daily chartMACDandKDJ重新结成金叉,油价顶破200日均线阻力,短线看涨信号有所增加,但油价目前在63.38-50.99Downtrend61.8%Retreat position58.64附近受阻,若顶破该阻力,则可能会重新涨向前期高点63.38Nearby; In the short term,9month19Daily high point59.49Nearby and60整数关口附近也分别存在一些阻力。初步支撑在200Daily moving average57.52附近,鸿ㅣ金认为若油价坚守该位置,则后市偏向多头;下方进一步支撑在10Daily moving average57.16Nearby,20The daily moving average is supported by56.63附近,若意外回落至该位置下方,则削弱短线看涨信号;100The daily moving average is supported by55.94Near.
Short line4小时布林线开口,MACD金叉,若能守住57.43位置,后市有望沿布林线上轨向上运行;顶破周四高点58.66附近阻力,则意味着打开新的上涨通道。不过,目前KDJ重新结成死叉,布林线上轨对油价形成压制,关注3268735920若油价回落至57.43下方,则可能会进一步下探布林线中轨56.97附近支撑,并使得油价回归震荡走势;进一步较强的支撑在55.94附近。综合来看,失守57.43前,短线偏向震荡上攻,所以周一操作思路上周鸿金个人建议低多为主,高空为辅;
Focus on resistance above:58.66;59.49;60.00;
Pay attention to support below:57.43;56.97;55.94;
Suggestions for crude oil operation:
1Callback57.4Do not break long, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target58.2-58.4;
2Rebound58.7Stop loss without breaking short0.5US dollars, look at the target57.7-57.5;
3、盘间行情实时变化,具体操作策略以周鸿金(薇-Core:zh66646)指导实盘为准;
Special reminder: Investors need to recognize that for ordinary investors, most of the time they should focus on watching and patiently wait for the best opportunity to sell. Avoiding frequent trading is one of the recognized winning secrets. Do not attempt to capture all fluctuations, nor expect to grasp every segment of the market. Judging the market trend is just one part of trading. Investors also need to have a reverence for the market, remember trading discipline, and strictly control their positions, reduce greed, overcome fear, and try to maintain a calm mind when trading.
Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
关于解ㄒ:因为周鸿金不知你的ㄒ单点位、仓位风险等具体ㄒ单情况,不能给出相应的解ㄒ策略。那么有需要的朋友可以咨询周鸿金或者关注“周鸿金”在此本人还是建议各位投资朋友以后做单不要抗单,仓位不要过重,避免下次再ㄒ,不是每次都是可以成功解ㄒ,不是每次都顺心如意,每一次的做单是应该有计划的做单,详情解ㄒ思路周鸿金将会在实盘实时在线给出,风险掌控及后续方案将会做出规划。
鸿金寄语-----
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