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Zhou Hongjin:11.24下周黄金行情解析交易策略,原油走势分析空单解套

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  交易总是在接近盈利时倍感幸福,在盈利进行时却患得患失。对于趋势投资者来说:市场都是正确的,就看你能否把握。对于价值投资者来说:市场都是错误的,就看你能否发现。如果你想要打中罕见且移动迅速的大象,那么你应该随时把枪带在身上,判断对错并不重要,重要的在于正确时获取了多大利润,错误时亏损了多少。
  11month22日美国公布的采购经理指数初值和消费者信心数据超过预期,而英国和欧洲部分地区的类似数据则表现不佳。现货gold较日高回落超10美元,刷新近四日低点至1461.40dollar/盎司。美油跌逾1%,川普言论给经贸前景投下阴影,同时美元走强,削弱了以美元计价大宗商品的吸引力。
  接下来的一周将迎来美国的感恩节,在感恩节之前,仍有美国10monthPCEData, USA10月耐用品订单月率、美国三季度GDP修正值等重要数据,投资者需要重点关注;对于国际经贸局势也需要予以留意。
  

  Gold trend analysis:
  
  刚刚过去的一周金价整体波动较小,主要呈现反弹受阻的走势,最高曾触及1478.92, lowest touch1461.40Report collection1461.93,周线下跌0.43%,一方面是技术面强阻力位的压制,另一方面则是美元的逆袭和国际经贸局势对避险情绪的打压。由于美元看涨信号增加,市场对下周美国经济数据的预期略微偏向乐观,黄金短线技术面看空信号有所增加,后市金价面临重回跌势的风险。
  
  技术面来看,金价自触及1557后基本处于震荡下行的通道内,尽管上周在1266-1557Upward trend38.2%Retreat position1446附近获得支撑后小幅反弹,但受到了1480Gateway100Daily moving average and20日均线等多重阻力压制,日线图MACD金叉形成受阻,KDJofJ值也出现拐头迹象,金价重回跌势的风险显著增加。下方初步支撑在1456.44附近,近期多单支撑在1445.70附近,鸿ㅣ金认为若下破该支撑,则暗示金价打开中线下行通道;进一步支撑在8month2日多单1430.46附近,较强的支撑则在8month1日多单1400.58附近。上方重点关注100Daily moving average1482.35附近阻力,若意外顶破该阻力,则增加后市看涨信号。
  
Short line4hourMACDDead fork,KDJ死叉,金价偏向进一步下破布林线下轨1461.94附近支撑,金价后市偏向沿布林线下轨向下运行;进一步支撑分别在1456.44、1452.66and1445.70附近。上方布林线中轨阻力在1469.96附近,关注3268735920若能收复该位置,则削弱短线看空信号;进一步阻力在1474.53Nearby, the rail resistance on the Brin line is1478.00附近。综合来看,下周一操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高空为主,低多为辅;
  
  Focus on resistance above:1468.72;1471.55;1474.53;
  
Pay attention to support below:1460.53;1456.44;1452.66;
  
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
  
  1Rebound1472Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1462-1460;
  
  2Callback1456Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1468-1470;
  
  3、盘间行情实时变化,具体操作策略以周鸿金(薇-Core:zh66646)指导实盘为准;
  
  crude oilTrend analysis:
  
  刚刚过去的一周,原油小跌0.1%。中镁经贸关系的不确定性激发了部分投资者的获利了结,不过美国石油钻井数的连续下降限制了油价的下行空间。美国WTIcrude oilfuturesThe lowest price hit in the session57.50dollar/Bucket.
  
Technically speaking, the daily chartMACDandKDJ重新结成金叉,油价顶破200日均线阻力,短线看涨信号有所增加,目前在63.38-50.99Downtrend61.8%Retreat position58.64附近受阻,若顶破该阻力,则可能会重新涨向前期高点63.38Nearby; In the short term,9month19Daily high point59.49Nearby and60整数关口附近也分别存在一些阻力。初步支撑在200Daily moving average57.52附近,鸿ㅣ金认为若油价坚守该位置,则后市偏向多头;下方进一步支撑在10Daily moving average57.16Nearby,20The daily moving average is supported by56.63附近,若意外回落至该位置下方,则削弱短线看涨信号;100The daily moving average is supported by55.94Near.
  
Short line4小时布林线开口,MACD金叉,若能守住57.43位置,后市有望沿布林线上轨向上运行;顶破周四高点58.66附近阻力,则意味着打开新的上涨通道。不过,目前KDJ重新结成死叉,布林线上轨对油价形成压制,关注3268735920若油价回落至57.43下方,则可能会进一步下探布林线中轨56.97附近支撑,并使得油价回归震荡走势;进一步较强的支撑在55.94附近。综合来看,失守57.43前,短线偏向震荡上攻,所以下周一操作思路上周鸿金个人建议低多为主,高空为辅;
  
  Focus on resistance above:58.66;59.49;60.00;
  
Pay attention to support below:57.43;56.97;55.94;
  
Suggestions for crude oil operation:
  
  1Callback57.4Do not break long, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target58.2-58.4;
  
  2Rebound58.7Stop loss without breaking short0.5US dollars, look at the target57.7-57.5;
  
  3、盘间行情实时变化,具体操作策略以周鸿金(薇-Core:zh66646)指导实盘为准;
  
Special reminder: Investors need to recognize that for ordinary investors, most of the time they should focus on watching and patiently wait for the best opportunity to sell. Avoiding frequent trading is one of the recognized winning secrets. Do not attempt to capture all fluctuations, nor expect to grasp every segment of the market. Judging the market trend is just one part of trading. Investors also need to have a reverence for the market, remember trading discipline, and strictly control their positions, reduce greed, overcome fear, and try to maintain a calm mind when trading.
  
Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
  
  关于解ㄒ:因为周鸿金不知你的ㄒ单点位、仓位风险等具体ㄒ单情况,不能给出相应的解ㄒ策略。那么有需要的朋友可以咨询周鸿金或者关注“周鸿金”在此本人还是建议各位投资朋友以后做单不要抗单,仓位不要过重,避免下次再ㄒ,不是每次都是可以成功解ㄒ,不是每次都顺心如意,每一次的做单是应该有计划的做单,详情解ㄒ思路周鸿金将会在实盘实时在线给出,风险掌控及后续方案将会做出规划。
  
  鸿金寄语-----
  
  在投资过程中:不要让软弱变成习惯,也不要自我认为侥幸是在坚持梦想。无论对错,当断则断,不断反受其乱。目前对黄金、原油、感兴趣的、刚刚入市的、资金遭到严重缩水的、收益不理想的的朋友可以找到我。想更深入地了解现货交易基本知识,订阅关注“周鸿金”获取最新资讯、每日行情走势分析、交易策略指导。你给我一份信任,我还你十分财富,在迷茫的市场中给你指明方向。年底中长线布局正在进行中,大好机遇就在眼前,佛渡有缘人,我带有心人,周鸿金期待与你成为朋友!
  
Full guidance time: early7:00In the early morning of the next day2:00(Every day18小时实时免费指导)
  Wen/周鸿金(薇-Core:zh66646)
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