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前言:人生从来都不是一帆风顺,都要经历大起大落,只有经历过世间百态,你才会慢慢懂得什么是你想要的,你追求的是什么,你才会用懂得用谦卑的姿态来对待这个世界。当你越来越漂亮时,别人自然会关注你,当你越来越有能力时,别人自然越来越相信你,关注和尊重不是乞讨来的,而是靠改变自己,从而自然而然的就拥有了。
Friday(11month22day),国际金价日线维持过去一周的窄幅整理表现,日内多头温和上修,至发稿前再度涨破1470, highest touch1473一线。本周两国经贸就第一阶段协议签署是否等比例移除关税的条件产生分歧,中国方面周四回应,已经邀请美国高级经贸谈判代表来京展开新一轮面对面会谈,中方希望找到解决签署第一阶段协议的方法,但在必要时刻无惧于关税升级。该消息令市场避险情绪周五小有升温,扶持金价回到1470Horizontal above.
眼下经贸协议毫无疑问是影响市场的主旋律,看起来美联储的宽松正被搁置,由此任何乐观的经贸消息都将明显利空gold,而任何推迟签署协议都将吸引黄金避险的兴趣。黄金上日遭遇了逾一周来最低的头寸清算量,交易者对不断翻滚的经贸对话消息感到厌倦。使得为期一周来黄金日线基本走平。技术面走势看,当前黄金面临短线的斐波那契回调位1471.00一线的施压,要支撑见于1465和同为关键斐波那契回调位的1461一线。尽管日线主趋势显下行,但动量指标趋势走高,认为多头跌破1446才是释放下行趋势重启的信号,短线的趋势看涨,可能存在上探1475的可能,并验证11month20Daily high point1478是否已经临时筑顶。只要黄金仍然交投于100daySMA均线下方,即代表维持脆弱,当前100dayMA均线落于1481-82水平,证明了为何价格无法涨破1478的表现。唯有升破1480才能打开上攻1500的大门。金价之后再次回落,或存在紧跟的疲弱拉低价格下测1457-55Horizontal.
市场继续关注两国经贸消息以及晚间的系列欧美PMI数据。目前来看,两国经贸谈判进展讯息纷乱,投资者仍寻求避险,等待明确的消息,市场对有关谈判进展的报导越来越持怀疑态度。不过即使在目前这种紧张不安的环境下,现货黄金仍未能录得令人信服的涨幅,这暗示金市情绪依旧悲观,阻力最小的路径可能是下跌。
Gold trend analysis:
From a daily perspective, it fluctuates;KDJ有拐头迹象,MACD死叉信号延续,金价此前的反弹受到20Daily moving average and100Daily moving average suppression,K线十字星后紧跟阴线,短线下行风险有所增加;本周低点支撑在1456.44附近,若失守该支撑,则可能会重新试探上周低点1445.70附近支撑;然后6month25The daily high is supported by1439.21Nearby,8month2Daily low point support at1430.46Nearby. upper5日均线了在1468.78Nearby,20The daily moving average resistance is currently at1478.69附近,万杰认为若意外顶破该阻力,则增加后市看涨信号;100The daily moving average resistance is currently at1482.37附近。此外,目前20Daily moving average underpass100日均线形成死叉,中线下行风险也显著增加。
4小时来看,震荡;MACDDead fork,KDJ死叉,留意布林线下轨1460.53附近支撑,若下破该支撑,则金价后市偏向沿布林线下轨向下运行;进一步支撑分别在1456.44、1452.66and1445.70附近。上方布林线中轨阻力在1469.47附近,如果能若能收复该位置,则削弱短线看空信号;进一步阻力在1474.53Nearby, the rail resistance on the Brin line is1478.39附近。综合来看,晚间黄金操作思路上万杰理财个人建议继续低多为主,反弹高空为辅;上方短期重点关注1478-1480Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1456-1458Frontline support.
黄金可参考建议
1Suggestions1478Close in, stop loss5USD, target1472-1468;
2Suggestions1460Close in, stop loss5USD, target1470-1472;
The first thing that comes to mind about investment laws is the 28/20 law, which is widely present in the investment market. But when it comes to the equally common Matthew effect in the investment field, not many people may know. The Matthew effect reflects the phenomenon of the stronger and the weaker in investment, which is a common phenomenon in today's society, known as "winner take all". Its performance in the investment field is that investment giants who can make money are more likely to make money, and retail investors who can make money are also more likely to make money. Winners take all, while losers lose all. Therefore, a novice investor must constantly learn from investment masters and market experts during the investment process, and choose the ones who are good and follow them.
万杰理财寄语:投资的路很漫长,要学会淡然,你会发现,过于在意行情的波动,反而会适得其反,市场往往的技术与消息是充满矛盾的,需要少说话多倾听。无论你今天怎么用力,明天的落叶还是会飘下来,市场本无常,无常是资本市场的一种常态,要学着习惯适应这种无常。KThe rise and fall of the line quickly passed by with the ticking of the clock. When you rise, you worry about falling, when you fall, you worry about rising, when you wait and see, you're afraid of missing out. When you enter, you want to break even and carry the banner of love, but you haven't done anything to persist in for love. You never think the market is scary, what's scary is the dispersion of people's hearts, it's self denial.
目前对黄金感兴趣的、刚入市的、资金遭到严重缩水的、收益不理想的的朋友想更深入地了解现货、foreign exchange交易基本知识可以与万杰理财取得联系!
万杰理财老师团队全方位指导时间:早上6:00--In the early morning of the next day2:00 (It never stops on weekends and is available for consultation at any time)
本文章作者:万杰理财微(ws94458) Entering the market carries risks and investment needs to be cautious |
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