Wei Liangchen:11.20Tran.普的言论或许影响了鲍威尔！黄金会涨？

11.20Tran.普的言论或许影响了鲍威尔！gold会涨？


现货黄金周二（11month19日）小幅下挫，美市盘中最低下探至1464.20dollar/盎司，金价开盘后一度走高，在触及日内高位后转跌，但之后反弹，日线盘整迹象明显。白银也小幅下跌，盘中最低触及16.95dollar/盎司，银价继续运行在17美元关口下方。美元转跌，美元指数最低下探至97.75, continue to run on98Below the gate.



隔夜，有关特朗普总统与美联储主席鲍威尔会面的更多细节浮出水面。特朗.普周一晚间发推文说，他告诉鲍威尔美元利率太高，美国利率应该“低于所有其他利率。”特朗.普在推文中还说，美元太坚挺。特朗.普的言论或许影响了鲍威尔，即使只是一点点，许多市场观察家都相信。这种情况对黄金市场也是利多的。


个人观点：由于看涨的美国股市似乎每天都在创纪录高位，避险金属继续受到买盘兴趣的限制。然而，在美国股市创纪录的运行中，贵金属已经具有相当的弹性。尽管黄金已经从夏末的高点开始下跌，但是当竞争资产类别创下历史新高时，黄金并没有如人们期望的大幅下跌。目前黄金需回到1480的水平才会吸引新的买盘加入。否则黄金的抛售压力仍然存在。在美国总统和美联储主席周一会面之后，市场将关注周三发布的美联储会议纪要，黄金在面临一定的抛售压力时也将宽幅震荡。


Analysis of gold market trend:


技术面，现货黄金昨日整体上复制了周一的行情走势，从日线来看，昨日黄金再次走出探底回升的过山车行情，守住了此前低点且进一步摸高，短线有延续反弹的格局，昨日没有走弱收低，今日会进一步的反弹测试1480-1483压力带，目前日K线形态下影线受到支撑，昨日1465是短期多头反弹防守点，短线此位之上先看反弹。

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4小时同样是一波低位连阳回升，坐稳布林道中轨有轻微顶开上轨的迹象。同时收盘在60单位均线之上，带动短期均线拐头向上形成支撑。4小时偏向反弹，均线构成一定支撑。1小时图上隔夜黄金冲高1475受阻后震荡回落，同样是符合昨晚我们预期的阻力位，小时K连阴后收小十字线，MACDGolden fork,STO超买区死叉向下发散，目前黄金处于震荡反弹走势中，日内黄金是延续上涨破高还是回落，重点关注区间1476-1465破位情况，突破顺势而为！


综合来看，今日短线操作思路上个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，


Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:


Empty order strategy:


Gold rebound1475-1477Short (buy down) two tenths of a position nearby, stop loss4Points, target1468-1465Nearby. Break the position to see1460frontline;


Multiple order strategy:


Gold Callback1462-1464Nearby long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss4Points, target1470-1472Nearby, break down and take a look1475frontline;


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Wei Liangchen smiled///:weilc186


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