Spot gold from4小时上看,金价暂守反弹之势,但MACD红色动能柱缩窄,KDJ随机指标温和走平,指示黄金短线反弹动能有所削弱,接下来或展开一段时间的小幅盘整。本周仍有延续反弹的空间,但力度有待验证,如本周收涨,或连续反弹突破1480美元关口上方,则意味着反转,跟进看涨即可。上方阻力关注1480USD and1488US dollar resistance. Below support attention1456dollar,1450USD and1445美元。不过李鼎缘个人仍看好在这阻力与支撑之间形成的区间震荡,短时间内较难以突破,偏向横盘整理。
Golden Operation Strategy:
1Suggestions1472-1470Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1463-1460frontline;
2Suggestions1456-1458Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1468-1470frontline;
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上周因国际贸易乐观情绪,美原油刷新7周高点至58.08美元。但是总体而言,近两周美原油总体交投于55.5to58美元的窄幅震荡区间,因市场对需求前景仍抱有疑虑,加上近期一系列机构上调了2020年原油供应前景,加剧了市场对于供需失衡的担忧情绪。随着12monthOPEC+会议即将到来,且市场预期OPEC+不会在此次会议上深化减产,目前市场存在着三个利空因素,这可能会短时间继续限制美原油的涨幅。短时间美原油上方关注58美元一线压力,若站上或推动美原油进一步上58.63Around the US dollar.
本周的思路依然是多头,首先要确认的点是原油的真假突破,看57.8-55.8这个区间是不是真的突破上去了,如果真突破那么周初就要先关注上方的58.7-6区域,企稳下方考虑短空一次看一波回落,下方关住顶底转换位57.5-4的位置,如果是假突破,那么本周依然还需要围绕57.8-55.8这个区间去操作,这是短期的分析,中长期李鼎缘认为原油会去测试60.4-5区域,这是空间,时间上重点关注11month29Day to Day12month2日的变盘时间窗口,如果刚好在这个时间而空间也刚好到60.4-5那么李鼎缘认为可以直接空一波,这是预期,如果不是这种情况我们后面在跟进分析,这个思路应该比较清晰了,具体操作布局我们在盘内给出。
原油可参考建议
1Suggestions56.6轻仓进多,止损55.1;目标57.3-57.5;
2Suggestions58.5Close in, stop loss59.0;目标57.8-57.4;
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