Last Friday(11month15day),国际金价重新转跌,有望终极日线三连阳进程,因茆.易前景重新好转预期刺激市场风险偏好,亚洲股市上涨,侵蚀了gold的避.险吸引力。美元指数持稳,亦让金价承压。投资者现在等待美国今日稍晚公布10月零售销售和工业生产数据。有调查显示,尽管市场对美国经济衰退的担忧有所缓解,但预期短时间内不太可能走强。
Last Friday(11month15day),由于需求前景低迷,贸易局势乐观预期消化,国际油价进一步走低。而国际能源机构(IEA)表示,因OPEC以外的国家石油产量不断飙升,加之库存居高不下,明年全球石油市场可能持续承压。目前油价整体仍处震荡区间,警惕后市仍有下行风险。
Analysis of Gold Market Trend:
Last Friday(11month15day),由于需求前景低迷,贸易局势乐观预期消化,国际油价进一步走低。而国际能源机构(IEA)表示,因OPEC以外的国家石油产量不断飙升,加之库存居高不下,明年全球石油市场可能持续承压。目前油价整体仍处震荡区间,警惕后市仍有下行风险。
现货黄金从技术面来看,日线图MACD死叉,均线交织,短线走势变数较大;留意1462-1479区域的突破情况,分别是5Daily moving average support and100日均线阻力。若强势顶破100Daily moving average1479.27附近阻力,则增加后市看涨信号,进一步阻力参考20Daily moving average1484.99Location,11month6Resistance to daily highs1494.26附近。蔡桀理财认为在顶破100日均线前,后市下行风险仍存,若下破5Daily moving average1462.47附近支撑,则金价可能会再次试探本周低点1445.70附近支撑。短线的话,10month1Daily low point1459.14位置、周三低点1455.94附近也分别存在一些支撑。
现货黄金短线4小时金价在布林线上轨和短线跌势的38.2%回撤位的双重阻力附近遇阻,KDJDead fork,K线相对高位类似“黄昏之星”,短线偏向试探布林线中1462.08附近支撑,若失守该支撑,则可能会重新试探布林线下轨1450.53附近支撑。由于MACD金叉信号仍在,布林线轻微开口,若再次顶破38.2%Retreat position1472.68If there is resistance nearby, it will increase the short-term bullish signal, and further resistance will increase50%Retreat position1481.01附近。综合来看,今日短线操作思路上蔡桀理财个人建议以反弹高空为主,回调做多为辅,上方短期重点关注1474-1476Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1460-1462Frontline support.
Latest operating suggestions for gold:
1The rebound above the gold does not break1474-1476Short on the front line, stop loss5US dollars, look at the target1464-1466frontline;
2The pullback below the gold does not break1460-1462Long on the front line, stop loss5US dollars, look at the target1468-1470frontline;
3、策略仅供参考,盘间行情实时变化具体进场点位以蔡桀理财微信(cj510178)The actual offer shall prevail;
原油从技术面来看,日线图MACDGolden fork,KDJ也有结成金叉的趋势,油价顶破200Daily moving average57.42附近阻力一度触及57.97后回落,但目前油价仍然受到上周高点57.88附近阻力压制,61.8%Resistance to retreat position58.55附近,蔡桀理财认为若顶破该阻力,则增加中线看涨信号。由于油价再次受到近两周高点57.9附近阻力压制,短线仍需提防小幅回落的风险,初步支撑在200Daily moving average57.42Nearby,5The daily moving average is supported by57.15附近,若能守住该位置,则后市仍偏向震荡上攻。
4The market is real, don't be sentimental, overly yearn for the future and reminisce about the past. A senior trader said: A person full of fantasy, rich emotions, and very exposed is a beautiful and happy person, but he is not suitable for being an investor. A successful investor can separate his emotions, fantasies, and trading.