继前一周大跌之后,本周现货gold终于企稳并录得小幅上涨。11month15During the week, spot gold saw a slight increase8.60USD, increase0.59%Report collection1467.50dollar/ounce. Despite the overall positive economic data released by the United States and the strengthened expectations of the end of the interest rate cut cycle from speeches by Federal Reserve officials, including Chairman Powell, the US dollar index still fell slightly and closed98.00At one point during the trading session, it fell below98关口。此外,随着经贸言论历经反复,在一阶段协议正式签署之前市场仍持谨慎态度,这也令黄金受到一定支撑。展望下周,消息面将相对清淡。央行方面,市场将关注美联储和欧洲央行会议纪要,以寻找货币政策的更多线索。数据方面,美国将公布营建许可、新屋开工和成屋销售等数据,欧洲将公布PMIdata
Gold trend analysis:
现货黄金从技术面来看,日线图MACD死叉,均线交织,短线走势变数较大;留意1462-1479区域的突破情况,分别是5Daily moving average support and100日均线阻力。若强势顶破100Daily moving average1479.27附近阻力,则增加后市看涨信号,进一步阻力参考20Daily moving average1484.99Location,11month6Resistance to daily highs1494.26附近。文龙认为在顶破100日均线前,后市下行风险仍存,若下破5Daily moving average1462.47附近支撑,则金价可能会再次试探本周低点1445.70附近支撑。短线的话,10month1Daily low point1459.14位置、周三低点1455.94附近也分别存在一些支撑。
现货黄金短线4小时金价在布林线上轨和短线跌势的38.2%回撤位的双重阻力附近遇阻,KDJDead fork,K线相对高位类似“黄昏之星”,短线偏向试探布林线中1462.08附近支撑,若失守该支撑,则可能会重新试探布林线下轨1450.53附近支撑。由于MACD金叉信号仍在,布林线轻微开口,若再次顶破38.2%Retreat position1472.68If there is resistance nearby, it will increase the short-term bullish signal, and further resistance will increase50%Retreat position1481.01附近。综合来看,下周一短线操作思路上现货金盛缘个人建议以反弹高空为主,回调做多为辅,上方短期重点关注1474-1476Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1460-1462Frontline support.
Suggestions for Gold's next Monday operation:
1The rebound above the gold does not break1474-1476Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1464-1466frontline;
2The pullback below the gold does not break1460-1462Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1468-1470frontline;
3Real time fluctuations in market trends are recommended for reference only. The specific operational strategy is based on the spot gold Shengyuan (WeChat ID:)swj178)Guidance based on actual inventory;
作为投资者,你首先对市场的趋势要有一个了解,第二个,你的顺势交易的时候,你还要有相应的一整套定量的交易模式,操作先从大周期来看趋势,先看日线图在结合小时线来看,若是多头强势那么做单思路就是回调做多为主;After optimistic about the trend, we will determine the approximate entry point and how to choose the right entry point. Then, we will judge the support and resistance levels based on the daily and hourly lines;多次试探未突破的那么我们即可判定为当前的支撑位,判定阻力位同理可得出操作方向。只有经过自己的不断摸索不断学习,自己掌握投资的技巧,拥有自己的交易分析技巧和交易系统才能在这个市场上长期生存。如果对于自己操作存在问题的话,经常做错方向和进出场点位把控的不是很好,套单、解锁、亏损的朋友,可和笔者一起交流。
Wen/Spot Jinshengyuan (WeChat:swj178)