晚间恐怖数据今晚来袭:北京时间周五21:30The United States will announce10月零售销售数据。这是日内最受关注的经济数据,预计将引发市场行情。美国零售销售可能会在10月反弹,9月曾意外出现下滑。调查显示,美国10月零售销售月率料上升0.2%Previously9Monthly decline0.3%。据查询并显示,美国10月核心零售销售月率上升0.4%Last month was a decrease0.1%. Due to the Federal Reserve's emphasis that interest rate decisions will depend on economic data, and consumer spending as a percentage of US economic output70%左右,美国零售销售数据经常在金融市场掀起“惊涛巨浪”,因此被称为“恐怖数据”。万.杰认为假如美国零售销售数据表现优于预期,这可能进一步打压美联储年内降息的预期,从而推动美元反弹,从而对黄金构成打压。
Thursday(11month14day)美元下滑,美元指数刷新本周低点至98.10;受贸易消息刺激,避险货币日元、瑞郎再度走强,日元兑美元连续第五个交易日上涨,为5月份以来的最长连涨纪录。现货黄金站上1470美元,盘中一度创11month7New high in recent days1474.72dollar/盎司,美元下滑、美债收益率走低支撑了金价。油价小跌,因美国上周crude oil库存增加且产量破纪录。
黄金日线来看,金价暂自低位小幅反弹,MACD绿色动能柱略微缩窄,隔夜金价反弹力度较小,受到周一高点附近阻力压制,下方留意上一交易日低点1456附近支撑,若回落至该位置下方,则增加短线下行风险;不过金价在1446关键位置获得支撑,局部出现类似“启明之星”的底部信号,KDJ也有金叉趋势,短线下行风险有所减弱,且存在进一步反弹机会,隔夜高点阻力在1467附近,上周高点阻力在1473Nearby;100Daily moving average resistance1478附近,若不能顶破该阻力,则金价仍有重回跌势的风险。
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