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According toCMEFederal Reserve Observation:12月维持当前利率在1.50%-1.75%The probability of the interval is94.8%Interest rate reduction25Bps to1.25%-1.50%The probability of the interval is5.2%; next year1月维持当前利率在1.50%-1.75%The probability of the interval is86.4%Interest rate reduction25Bps to1.25%-1.50%The probability of the interval is13.1%Interest rate reduction50Bps to1.00%-1.25%The probability of the interval is0.5%。
Spot gold Monday(11month11日)继续大幅下跌,美市盘中最低下探至1447.89dollar/Ounces, gold price has fallen below1450关口,进一步考验1440关口;日内无重大数据公布。周末亚太地区地缘正治有所升温,避险需求有所回升对黄金形成一定支撑,但支撑作用转瞬即逝,黄金再度遭到大幅抛售,数据显示,COMEXMost Active GoldfuturesContract Beijing Time11month11day23:10-23:12三分钟内买卖盘面成交10436Hand, total contract value exceeds15USD100mn
黄金行情解析:
Spot gold Monday(11month11日)亚市盘初小幅低开后缓慢上涨;欧市盘中,在触及日内高位1466.33dollar/盎司后冲高回落;美市盘中,日内无重大数据公布,周末亚太地区地缘政治有所升温,避险需求有所回升对黄金形成一定支撑,但支撑作用转瞬即逝,黄金再度遭到大幅抛售,数据显示,COMEXMost Active Gold Futures Contract Beijing Time11month11day23:10-23:12三分钟内买卖盘面成交10436Hand, total contract value exceeds15亿美元。黄金短线向下拉升,持续下坠,跌破1450关口,盘中最低触及1448.14dollar/Ounces, for8month2日以来首次。黄金在触及日内低位后V型反弹,重回1450关口,缩减部分跌幅,收于1455.74dollar/ounce.
黄金技术面来分析,日线上看,隔日黄金同时上演冲高回落和探底回升,如预期所料,延续上周五跌势,进一步走跌,日线收得小阴十字星,日线图上,黄金打破三角区间整理,转为下行,意味着将会有更多的抛压,日线看跌不变;4小时上看,黄金自11月初上至1515.9高位后持续走跌,一步一个台阶,每创一个新低都会反弹小幅震荡,震荡完毕后再次下跌,呈现震荡下行趋势,当前布林带即将收口,MAThe moving average is arranged in short positions,KDJThree lines forward for random indicators,MACD指标底背离,快慢线平行向下,有形金叉迹象,综合来看,目前空头已经具有全面的技术优势,黄金在隔日触及低位1448.14短暂有反弹需求,日内操作以反弹做空为主,上方首先关注1458-1460一线阻力,破位则上看上方阻力布局空单入场。
Suggestions for Gold Operations: 1458-1460Close in, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1448-1450;