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刘煜贤:黄金下周观点分析报告,多头是否还有救?

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  本周在美股的新高下,gold黯然失色,一度逼近1450的大关口附近,后面如何走重点看美股的节奏,目前美股看已露出动力减弱,有空头离场迹象。而本次黄金破位是趋势性破位,同时也受到避险大幅降温突发形成,则底部形成会反复震荡,短线多空机会较多。本次虽然净值增长起伏不定,但是机会更大,在合适的位置,合适的时间,仓位金字塔用起来,风险比就是经验和魄力综合实力体验。下周继续身先士卒,不管成败,不忘初心,更多的耐心对待,更加理性的配合和组合,净值的增长会继续逐步增长。
  
  目前美元指数持续4日振荡走高,同时因风险偏好提升,市场资金从黄金市场转移到股市,令黄金期价大幅下跌,周四周五美股三大指数大幅高开并再度创出历史高位。全球贸易局势向好的乐观情绪给金价压力,就在欧盘中美谈判的乐观情绪给金价带来压力,一度承压下跌至1456。同时,在中美同意随协议进展分阶段取消加征关税,而到周四晚间23:47分受到贸易局势的乐观清晰,美国十年期国债价格跌幅扩大,收益率升至9month13日以来最高水平,至此避险情绪大幅降温,黄金大幅下滑直至破位底部支撑走到1460的新低,这也是此轮黄金大跌的主要原因。
  
  下周市场面临的风险事件比较多,首当其冲的就是新西兰联储将公布新一期利率决议。其次,就是周三美国国会将就针对总统的弹劾调查首次举行公开听证。如果民主党掌控的众议院投票通过弹劾特朗普,接下来共和党掌控的参议院将会裁决是否罢免特朗普。目前为止,参议院共和党议员还无意罢免特朗普。但肯定会有所限制,另外一个就是如果成功,明年特朗大选是否还能持续,我认为要大减分,所以如果成功黄金将出现利多,反之就是利空黄金白银。
  
  技术上,黄金收盘1459The support pressure level is much lower at high altitude, and the pressure level is much lower1475, support position1455。周五是阴线下跌,下周前半周有望继续连阴下探,测试支撑,随后在完成一个修正。但是顺序问题是什么样?这是关键!黄金目前在30Minutes and1小时出现底背离共振信号,短线上需要回抽一次1475这里。大周期的下跌位置分别如下,第一是1455的顶底转换支撑,第二是周线的中轨支撑位置1437一线。第三是顶底转换的位置1437的支撑。因此1437and1455这里可能出现顶底转换的回抽向上走势。第四是日线的趋势通道支撑1440上下。综上所述,下方的强支撑位置在1440上下,才会出现大周期的止跌信号。
  
  趋势看点:
  
  当前黄金已经下破1460支撑,本周空头的力量可以说的上完全释放;前期看下方极限位置1440区域,但未必会到;下方1450支撑,刘煜贤以为黄金到达1440-35之上会止跌。
  
  值得注意的是,市场资金从黄金市场转移到股市,美国三大stock market index再创收盘新高,随着投资者乐观预计全球经济增长问题将逐步解决,标普500指数周五创收盘新高,突破前交易日的点位纪录,连续第五周实现周连涨;道琼斯指数收盘基本持平,纳斯达克综合指数也创下纪录新高。科技股和医疗保健股领涨,能源和公用事业股下跌。投资者正谨慎评估国际贸易关系方面相互矛盾的消息与经济数据。
  
Short term operation, refer to the following:
  
  1, Gold1462Short selling, stop loss1467, Objective1455-50。
  
If you have any difficult or complicated symptoms, you can add an author for consultation! The trading of nine gold and ten silver is currently underway, and the actual price has been made public. We are not seeking perfection, but rather a clear conscience and a return on long-term trust.
  
WeChat announced the current price list in advance,17Investors who have lost tens of thousands of dollars are on the road to recoup their losses!
  
After passing through17After a loss of ten thousand US dollars, Mr. Li did not lose confidence in the market, but chose to believe in Liu Yuxian and invest in gold2.1Ten thousand dollars to keep up with the operation, making a profit in less than a week2.3Ten thousand US dollars, for the purpose of capital turnover, I choose to withdraw the principal first. Leaving profits to continue operating, you may have doubts about how it is possible to double in a week, but the fact is that out of ten orders, five were announced by Liu Yuxian in advance on WeChat. We have a track to follow in every order we operate, and it is not just a pipe dream! Every day, the current price list is announced and friends in need can follow. My daily analysis of thoughts is all on WeChat, and Pengyouquan fully publishes transactions in real time. Join us to searchV:lyx201037663
  
Liu Yuxian
  
  11.10(Writing)
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