刘煜贤：股市欢腾飙升，黄金市场还能跌多久？

　　本周金价遭遇了历史以来最大单周跌幅，金价一度下探至10month1日以来最低水平，本周金价迄今的跌幅已经超过了3%，若未来金价持续未能修复1480关口上方，那么下跌情绪还将继续蔓延市场。目前市场上的避险情绪明显改善，作为避险产产品的gold遭到抛售。
　　
　　目前美元指数持续4日振荡走高，同时因风险偏好提升，市场资金从黄金市场转移到股市，令黄金期价大幅下跌，昨日美股三大指数大幅高开并再度创出历史高位。全球贸易局势向好的乐观情绪给金价压力，就在欧盘中美谈判的乐观情绪给金价带来压力，一度承压下跌至1456。同时，在中美同意随协议进展分阶段取消加征关税，而到周四晚间23:47分受到贸易局势的乐观清晰，美国十年期国债价格跌幅扩大，收益率升至9month13日以来最高水平，至此避险情绪大幅降温，黄金大幅下滑直至破位底部支撑走到1460的新低，这也是此轮黄金大跌的主要原因。
　　
　　刘煜贤以为，双方按协议取消加征的关税，有利于稳定市场预期，有利于中美两国经济和世界经济，有利于生产者也有利于消费者。那么反映到我们黄金市场，仅仅只靠这种关系吗？显然不是。值得关注的是，欧美贸易纷争的进展情况。欧盟贸易专员周三再度重申，若美国加征汽车关税，欧盟一定报复。欧盟表示，美国有关本月晚些时候要对欧盟汽车产品征收关税的威胁继续存在。当然这也潜在的一个避险因素之一，全球局势来看，目前消息只是单一的方面产生乐观，其他的呢？我们还有待确定。
　　
The world's largest goldETF—SPDRGOLDTRUST持仓数据显示，昨日黄金持仓量减少1.47吨，总持仓量为914.38吨。从减少量规模看，昨晚减持幅度不算大，但估计持仓情绪有所延后，今晚美盘增减数据更有代表性。
　　
　　技术上，黄金收盘1459The support pressure level is much lower at high altitude, and the pressure level is much lower1475, support position1455。当前黄金经过前两日长阴线跌破自8month1日以来的上涨趋势线，目前金价已然破位1460来到最低1456位置，日线指标上，MACDThe negative kinetic energy column of the indicator has been amplified,RSI指标拐头向下。技术图显示，MACDThe negative kinetic energy column of the indicator continues,RSI指标在超卖区30位置附近，短期均线EMA5AndEMA10形成空头向下，均线EMA5附近存在短线阻力。短线看，压力位在1472and1475、1480，需要多头层层攻克方能重登1480关口。或如金价持续受阻在1460关口下方，则金价下行目标看1450-1440。
　　
　　值得注意的是，市场资金从黄金市场转移到股市，美国三大stock market index再创收盘新高，随着投资者乐观预计全球经济增长问题将逐步解决，标普500指数周五创收盘新高，突破前交易日的点位纪录，连续第五周实现周连涨；道琼斯指数收盘基本持平，纳斯达克综合指数也创下纪录新高。科技股和医疗保健股领涨，能源和公用事业股下跌。投资者正谨慎评估国际贸易关系方面相互矛盾的消息与经济数据。
　　
Short term operation, refer to the following:
　　
　　1, Gold1462Short selling, stop loss1467, Objective1455-50。
　　
If you have any difficult or complicated symptoms, you can add an author for consultation! The trading of nine gold and ten silver is currently underway, and the actual price has been made public. We are not seeking perfection, but rather a clear conscience and a return on long-term trust.
　　
WeChat announced the current price list in advance,17Investors who have lost tens of thousands of dollars are on the road to recoup their losses!
　　
After passing through17After a loss of ten thousand US dollars, Mr. Li did not lose confidence in the market, but chose to believe in Liu Yuxian and invest in gold2.1Ten thousand dollars to keep up with the operation, making a profit in less than a week2.3Ten thousand US dollars, for the purpose of capital turnover, I choose to withdraw the principal first. Leaving profits to continue operating, you may have doubts about how it is possible to double in a week, but the fact is that out of ten orders, five were announced by Liu Yuxian in advance on WeChat. We have a track to follow in every order we operate, and it is not just a pipe dream! Every day, the current price list is announced and friends in need can follow. My daily analysis of thoughts is all on WeChat, and Pengyouquan fully publishes transactions in real time. Join us to searchV：lyx201037663
　　
Liu Yuxian
　　
　　11.9(Writing)