Mo Qianji:11.8早评黄金原油，同是三浪走势为何黄金却是淋漓尽致

　　前言：每次写分析，我都希望看到的朋友能有所收获，在这个市场上，平静的表现下其实暗波汹涌，很多投资朋友轻易的进入，往往遍体鳞伤，每天都有很多朋友找到我，寻求帮助，然而更多的只是看完分析后迅速的找到下一篇继续看。请记住还有千机这么一个朋友在等着你并肩作战！所以市场当中，一次正确的选择，犹如我自己对这份工作的定位是服务一样，人与人之间是相互的，信任是合作的开始，如果你在投资道路上有所困惑和迷茫可以聊聊，说不定这将使你的投资之路好走很多。
　　
InternationalgoldTrend analysis:
　　
　　基本面，昨日美国最新公布的数据表现强势，美国9月贸易帐赤字收窄，美国ISM非制造业指数也在此前跌至三年多低点之后加速上涨。数据出炉之后，美联储降息预期迅速降温，联邦基金futures显示市场完全定价美联储降息的时点由2020year10Month postponed to2021年。受此影响，美元指数加速拉升，形态临近双底颈线关口，而金银以及非美货币受到美指拉升的影响强势下行。
　　
　　黄金日线来看，金价大幅下跌，但MACD绿色动能柱出现放量，KDJ随机指标继续承压死叉向下，指示黄金下跌动能较大，接下来仍可能再度陷入回撤之势。黄金前期连阴K线回落之后转阳线反弹修正，此次下跌下破区间，下破1480位置支撑，在加上形态出现下跌形态，今天是周线收官，黄金预期会继续下探下方空间，因为五浪下跌还没有走完。
　　
Gold4小时来看，金价单边下跌走势，上一个交易日金价受避险情绪提振后，当前再度回到短期均线上方运行，且带动短期均线于1487-1490一线向上拐头，按理说应当有利多头延续，但是，由于昨日金价表现反弹延续力不强，其它各周期指标也保持空头排列，再加之布林带整体急剧下行，KDJ随机指标不仅上扬势能欠缺，更是有意再次结成死叉，MACD指标向下持续放量，所以整体可期冲高后的回落力度加大。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上莫千机个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注1472-1474Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1457-1459Frontline support.
　　
Latest operating suggestions for gold:
　　
　　1The rebound above the gold does not break1472-1474Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1462-1464frontline;
　　
　　2The pullback below the gold does not break1457-1459Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1465-1467frontline;

　（行情千变万化，点位仅供参考，如若出现破位亦可咨询莫千机了解最新行情，具体做单策略进场点位以莫千机mqj773Based on actual offer guidance)


　　
　　
Internationalcrude oilTrend analysis:
　　
　　基本面，美国能源信息署(EIA)周三公布的数据显示，美国上周原油库存增加792.9万桶，先前预估的增加81.71万桶，因炼油厂减产，且出口下降。上周美国原油出口下降近100Ten thousand barrels, to24010000 barrels/日。市场情绪一度受到打击，两市上日受挫逾1%，结束日线三连阳。除去美国库存数据外，美中贸易紧张关系进一步缓解，也成为市场主要驱动因素。
　　
　　昨日油价亚盘维持窄幅横盘，午盘下行56.23后止跌，小时图站上57.0，依托56.9给出低多布局，上看57.4、57.8的短线目标。美盘走预期形成强势上涨突破前高触及57.8高点，在形态上出现阳线倒锤头线，高点破前高，低点没有破前低，出现出头走势，但是尾盘杀跌，收线在57.0附近，在56.8附近成在较大支撑位置，若进一步下破大概率上将打开下方空间。大概率上将延续三浪上涨走势。
　　
　　原油四小时图上看，布林线收口，日内强势上涨的原油有所缓和，且在触及布林上轨压力附近承压回落，目前交投于57Nearby,rsi指标向下掉头的意愿显现。但MACD均线运行在0轴上方，布林中轨有一定支撑，今日还需关注中轨突破情况。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上莫千机个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，千机个人认为上方先关注57.8一线压力，突破关注58.2-58.7压力位。下方先关注56.2支撑，破位继续重点关注55.7Near the front line.
　　
Latest operating recommendations for crude oil:
　　
　　1The rebound above the crude oil does not break58.2-58.4Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target57.4-57.6frontline;
　　
　　2The downward correction of crude oil does not break56.2-55.7Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target57.6-57.8frontline;
　　
　（行情千变万化，点位仅供参考，如若出现破位亦可咨询莫千机了解最新行情，具体做单策略进场点位以莫千机mqj773Based on actual offer guidance)

　　
Mo Qianji Analysis Team Investment Risk Management:
　　
Step 1: Clarify your goals, which means planning your intended investmentforeign exchangeThe amount of funds traded, the amount of profits earned, and the approximate range of losses that can be borne are the basic goals through which a reasonable fund management plan can be made. However, it is also important to remind foreign exchange investors that although foreign exchange is a low-cost and high-yield investment with a hundred times leverage for gain, they should also pay attention to cost control and avoid frequent transactions that increase costs.
　　
Step 2: Plan the steps, such as what trading mode to use to gain profits, whether you are good at frequent short-term trading or prefer a long-term fishing model to make orders, how much trading to stop every day, how much money to withdraw from the market when losing, and how much money to close positions when earning, all of which need to be well planned.
　　
Step 3: Test the plan. No matter how perfect the theory is, it cannot be determined whether it is effective without combining it with practice. After roughly formulating your trading strategy, you can use the mini account provided by the platform to test whether the formulated strategy is available and see if it can bring stable profits to yourself.
　　Step 4: Strictly implement. This step is the core of the entire plan, and the losses caused by any random operation can be fatal,Foreign exchange transactionsUnable to withstand any deviation. Planned trading is necessary to better control risks, accurately follow market trends, and achieve profits. Investment carries risks, and caution is necessary when entering the market!