因国际经贸仍存在一些不确定性因素,市场持谨慎乐观的立场,这使得黄金收复1490美元关口。但总体而言,近期国际经贸局势仍总体向好,短时间料黄金涨幅将继续受到限制,不过IMF进一步下调了欧元区的经济增长预期,英国确定大选以来第二名内阁成员辞职,也打压了市场的乐观情绪。同时还需密切关注地缘局势的影响,这使得黄金短线或反弹至1500Around the US dollar.
技术面来看,金价仍处于水平运行的日线布林线轨道间震荡,目前该区间在1477.23-1514.63区域;金价在受到布林线上轨压制后回落至布林线中轨下方,由于目前KDJ依然死叉运行,MACD也有重新结成死叉的迹象,短线金价仍然有进一步试探布林线下轨1477.23附近支撑的可能;彭宇鑫认为若下破该支撑,则可能会再次试探10month1Daily low point1459.14附近支撑,甚至是7month19Daily high point1453.09附近支撑。短线的话,1480INTEGER GATES AND10month11Daily low point1474.08附近也分别存在一些支撑。上方布林线中轨阻力在1495.93附近,在收复该位置前,短线偏向震荡下行;进一步阻力在5Daily moving average1497.78Nearby, if the position is accidentally recaptured, the short-term bearish signal will be weakened.
Short line4hourKDJ金叉运行,短线金价存在温和反弹或者低位调整的需求,初步阻力在隔夜高点1494.26附近,较强的阻力在布林线中轨1501.64附近在收复该位置前,后市偏向震荡下行。而且MACD死叉信号仍在,暗示短线反弹空间有限,关注3268735920若下破本周低点1479.50附近支撑,料将延续此前跌势。若意外顶破布林线中轨1501.64附近阻力,则增加短线看涨信号,但进一步上破的难度还比较大。综合来看,今日留意1479.5-1501.64区域突破情况,所以今日操作思路上彭宇鑫个人建议暂以区间对待,破位区间再重新调整思路;
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
1Rebound1495Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1485-1483;
2Callback1482Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1490-1492;
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撰稿人:彭宇鑫
指导薇//亻言(pyx66832)
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