随着黄金和美元的负相关性有所复苏,风险偏好变化对黄金的影响似乎退居了次要地位。上周强劲的风险偏好并没有引发投资者抛售黄金涌向风险资产,而美元持续一个月的贬值开始引起市场重视,所以美元因素可能重新夺回对黄金价格走势的主导权。技术上,黄金上周再次突破9月以来压力线以及1500,目前显示了突破布林带上轨1510限制的迹象,预示黄金短线或继续扩展涨幅,往上初步阻力关注1520,突破往上阻力在1535as well as1550。而若回调,则继续关注1500Nearby support.
Technically speaking, the daily chartMACDGolden fork,KDJ金叉,布林线轻微开口,金价震荡上破的机会仍存,留意10month3Daily high point1519.65附近阻力,莫千机认为若顶破该阻力,则增加中线看涨信号。进一步阻力在9month12Daily high point1524.27Nearby,9month24Resistance to daily highs1535.73附近。但由于上一交易日金价在布林线上轨附近录得十字星,暗示上方阻力较强,也需要警惕短线走势反转的可能性,继续留意布林线中轨1495.39Nearby support.
Spot gold4After stepping back, the hour held onto the middle track of Bollinger Road, and a wave of stepping back corrected and regained lost ground, with the structure in the process of leveling up the stairs. Accumulate momentum to break through the range of consolidation1517-1520The upper track will further touch the early high point.1The hour chart starts a new wave shaped step up after stepping back. If1480This is the first wave shape, so last Friday's retest low point1503It's the second rising wave shape, hold on1503Bullish. break through1517进一步上扬走台阶浪形。综合来看,今日短线操作思路上莫千机个人建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期重点关注1516-1518Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1501-1503Frontline support.
Latest operating suggestions for gold:
1The rebound above the gold does not break1512-1514Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1508-10frontline;
2The pullback below the gold does not break1501-1503Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1510-12frontline;
3、策略仅供参考,盘间行情实时变化具体进场点位以莫千机微信(mqj773)The actual offer shall prevail;
技术面来看,日线图;MACDGolden Fork Red can continue to increase in volume,KDJ也初步结成金叉,上涨趋势线给油价提供了较好的支撑,油价再次顶破100Daily moving average55.98附近阻,力,莫千机认为在失守10Daily moving average55.53前,短线偏向进一步涨向200Daily moving average57.27Nearby, further resistance63.38-50.99Downtrend61.8%Retreat position58.64附近。下方较强的支撑在20Daily moving average54.54Near.
原油方面就目前的情况来看上周五上行突破短期压力位之后油价今日再次上冲,突破了9month25日以来的最高位,上方面临的第一压力位就是上行通道县上边缘第三点58附近,短期来看油价触及日线布林带上轨,布林带整体开口向上,短期内油价有进一步上行冲高58的趋势,在58附近会受到整数关口及上行通道线上边缘的压制作用出现回落,目前下方的支撑在56Nearby, that isK线实体位置,同时也是4Hour line5日均线位置,综合来看,今日短线操作思路上莫千机个人建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期重点关注57.6-57.8Frontline resistance, short-term focus below55.6-55.8Frontline support.
Latest operating recommendations for crude oil:
1The rebound of crude oil remains unbreakable57.8Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target56.8-57.0frontline;
2The crude oil callback is not broken55.6Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target56.6-56.8frontline;