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刘煜贤:黄金上涨主要来自美元,下周破位概率极大

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  尽管美联储鹰派降息,且市场避险需求降温,再加上中美部分经济数据传出利好的信号,但是金价为何还是能一再挑战1520?对此,本周gold走势的主导因素似乎出现换位,数月来黄金主要受市场风险趋势的驱使,但是本周的上涨却主要因为美元走低的影响。按照过去几个月黄金的波动模式,在风险偏好偏强的情况下黄金通常是趋于走弱的,因为投资者往往不顾美元表现而只将黄金作为避险标的买入或抛出。但是本周以来情况似乎又变,黄金没有因为风险偏好强而下跌,反而获得疲软美元的支持走强。
  
  下周的基本面和消息数据比较少。下周的行情,大概率会延续技术走势图展开波动,向上破位的概率加大。
  
  大周期来看,黄金日线周五是收出阳线,强势上行,随机指标震荡向上;加上分水岭位置1515-1513这里被连续测试,黄金的日线偏向上破,形成周线的二次冲顶走势。周线之中,暂时是三连阳上行,并且在1480这里形成了组合反线看上升延续。目前随机指标处于勾头向上,能否随机指标二次金叉向上,非常关键,一旦二次金叉向上,那么周线就会开启上升的趋势测试1555附近的阶段性高点压力。目前周线还没形成金叉向上,只是勾头向上。月线这个走势图,刘煜贤一直强调月线是必定有新高的,1555只是过渡性的阶段性高点。所以长线的趋势看涨月线新高。
  
  结合大周期来看,月线保持看涨,周线能否形成金叉决定黄金是二次冲顶还是继续承压回撤;日线偏向上突破。
  
  技术上,黄金收盘1514The support pressure level is much lower at high altitude, and the pressure level is much lower1515, support position1505,本周周一黄金1504Multiple stop loss1499。 Tuesday1493Empty to1488Meipan1483as many as1490Wednesday1492as many as1495,议息行情1485as many as1493Thursday1496as many as1502Friday1510Empty,1513加仓空到1504预期目标离场收割,截止目前本周共计盈利32个点,止损一单。自己看博客以及学员群,全在计划之中,守住利润我们再等下一波。根据当前黄金短线走势,4小时随机指标二次回补向上,MACD快慢线上扬,暗示继续上冲,还有高点。并且1515的压力属于第四次上行测试压力,第四次上来测试的话,容易出现破位。所以4小时的走势图偏向新高。
  
  图表1小时之中,MACDindex0轴附近重启金叉勾头,偏多向上;随机指标金叉向上,震荡上行为主。1小时图偏向冲顶测试压力;结合以上观点结论,黄金下周一先行短线低多,再去迎合大周期的偏多上行破位走势。在本周后半段,黄金连续慢牛上涨,吸引不少散户早早成交空单,1505空,甚至1500的空不占少数。在周五刘煜贤明确提示,套牢的空单1503-1505之间就是你们离场的机会,果不其然非农一波下探给到机会。至于还存留着低位空单的散户朋友,离保本小损可是越来越远。
  
Short term operation, refer to the following:
  
  1, Gold1510Long, stop loss1505, Objective1517-1520
  
If you have any difficult or complicated symptoms, you can add an author for consultation! The trading of nine gold and ten silver is currently underway, and the actual price has been made public. We are not seeking perfection, but rather a clear conscience and a return on long-term trust.
  
WeChat announced the current price list in advance,17Investors who have lost tens of thousands of dollars are on the road to recoup their losses!
  
After passing through17After a loss of ten thousand US dollars, Mr. Li did not lose confidence in the market, but chose to believe in Liu Yuxian and invest in gold2.1Ten thousand dollars to keep up with the operation, making a profit in less than a week2.3Ten thousand US dollars, for the purpose of capital turnover, I choose to withdraw the principal first. Leaving profits to continue operating, you may have doubts about how it is possible to double in a week, but the fact is that out of ten orders, five were announced by Liu Yuxian in advance on WeChat. We have a track to follow in every order we operate, and it is not just a pipe dream! Every day, the current price list is announced and friends in need can follow. My daily analysis of thoughts is all on WeChat, and Pengyouquan fully publishes transactions in real time. Join us to searchV:lyx201037663
  
Liu Yuxian
  
  11.3(Writing)
  
  
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