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王金尧:11.3Analysis of the trend of gold next week#原油下周开盘行情解析!

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Wenneng raises a pen to pacify the world,Martial arts can conquer the heavens and earth. Who wins with strategy in mind? Heroes of ancient and modern times are only kings. As an investor, one must become professional. Only by becoming professional in the financial market can one have a clear understanding of the market.
  
  ——金尧寄语
  
Message: This weekgold呈现出v型反转的走势。本周初因脱欧取得阶段性胜利和国际贸易局势好转,加上美联储“鹰派降息”,这使得黄金持续走低,并刷新一周低点至1480美元附近。不过随着鲍威尔表示将继续关注数据以决定是否降息,同时美国通胀和消费数据也出现疲软的信号,加上制造业PMI不佳抵消非农意外向好影响,黄金一个月内第四次上探1520Gateway.
  
  本周初因国际贸易乐观情绪,美crude oil一度刷新逾一个月高点,不过因需求疲软以及OPEC深化减产的疑虑,加上智利取消APEC峰会,使得市场对于贸易乐观情绪降温,因此本周前四个交易日油价持续走低,并刷新一周低点。不过随着周五美国非农数据好于预期,且中国制造业数据好转,同时国际贸易利好消息传出,三重利多叠加推动油价收复本周大部分跌幅。
  
  黄金:周五公布的数据喜忧参半,美国10Non-agricultural employment increased in the month12.8万人,这表明劳动力市场很容易地消化了通用汽车罢工带来的影响。当月汽车制造业就业人数减少4.2万人,但其他行业的就业大大地弥补了这一空缺。失业率小幅上升,但仍有32.5万劳动力进入了市场,10月劳动力参与率升至63.3%, for2013year8月以来的最高水平。非农报告发布后,一度走高至1514dollar/盎司水平的黄金市场承压走低,一度逼近1500The support of Da Guan.
  
  现货黄金的主要图表是黄金与标准普尔的比率,标普500The index is3100意味着金价为1457美元。从技术上看,黄金多头仍企稳在千五大关上方,多头仍具有近期技术面优势。多头近期的目标是持稳在1500大关并攻克1520的阻力位;空头的目标则是控制金价在1500大关下方,并拉低至1450的关口。第一阻力位为1520USD, followed by1530美元。第一支撑位在隔夜低点1503.10美元;其次是1500美元。综合来看,下周一短线操作思路上王金尧个人建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期重点关注1522-1524Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1505-1507Frontline support.
  
Suggestions for Gold's next Monday operation:
  
  1The rebound above the gold does not break1522-1524Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1514-1516frontline;
  
  2The pullback below the gold does not break1505-1507Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1515-1517frontline;
  
  3、策略仅供参考,盘间行情实时变化具体进场点位以王金尧微信(wjy25866)The actual offer shall prevail;
  
  原油:美国非农报告相当强劲,这令市场风险获得提振,同时本周美国石油活跃钻井数继续减少,进一步鼓舞了多头信心。美国WTIcrude oilfuturesThe highest price hit during the trading session56.33dollar/Barrel, Brent crude oil futures hit their highest intraday price61.82element/桶。美国能源信息署(EIA)Wednesday(10month30day)According to the published report, as of10month25日当周,美国精炼油库存减少103.2Ten thousand barrels, continuous6周录得下滑,市场预估为减少235万桶。美国汽油库存减少303.7Ten thousand barrels, continuous5周录得下滑,市场预估为减少218.5Ten thousand barrels.
  
  从技术面来看,日线来看原油已经形成实体3连阴,油价受到200日均线压制后回落至100日均线下方,KDJ重新结成金叉,短线下行风险有所减少,留意20Daily moving average53.5附近支撑,若失守该支撑,则增加后市看空信号,进一步支撑在10month21Daily low point52.85Nearby,10month15Daily low point support at52.39Nearby, the Bollinger Line's lower track supports51.42Nearby. Due toMACD金叉信号仍在,上方留意100Daily moving average56.24附近阻力,若能收复该位置,则削弱短线下行风险,较强的阻力在200Daily moving average57.24附近,若顶破该阻力,则增加后市看涨信号,1小时来看价格持续收线,直接破位布林带下轨。综合来看,下周一短线操作思路上王金尧个人建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期重点关注56.9-57.1Frontline resistance, short-term focus below55.2-55.4Frontline support.
  
Suggestions for crude oil operations next Monday:
  
  1The rebound above the crude oil does not break56.9-57.1Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target56.2-56.4frontline;
  
  2The downward correction of crude oil does not break55.2-55.4Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target56.2-56.4frontline;
  
  3、行情千变万化、点位仅供参考,投资有风险、入市需谨慎,详情关注王金尧本人官||Wei:wjy25866;
  
  活在昨天的人失去过去,活在明天的人失去未来,而把握今天的人则拥有过去和未来。智者用无上心智和双手为自己开辟独有的天空,搭建生命的舞台。进则安居以行其志,退则安居以修其所不能,则进亦有为,退亦有为也。见小利者必大事不成。
  
  本文由王金尧(微信:wjy25866---公众号:王金尧)供稿,本人解读世界经济要闻,剖析全球投资大趋势,对原油、黄金、白银等大宗商品等有深入的研究。
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