万杰理财11.1黄金原油走势解析，聚焦非农黄金原油建议策略

　　投资朋友们晚上好：
　　
Every time I write an analysis, I always hope to see friends who can gain something. In this market, under calm performance, the dark waves are actually surging, and many investment friends easily enter, often covered in bruises. Every day, many friends come to me for help, but most of them just quickly find the next article to continue reading after reading the analysis. I hope I can help more people, just like my own positioning for this job is service. People are mutual, and trust is the beginning of cooperation. If you are confused or confused on the investment path, you can talk to me. Perhaps this will make your investment journey much easier.
　　
　　11month1日，国际金价下跌，因向好的中国制造业数据减轻对经济放缓的担忧，金市投资者随即获利了结。但金价本周累计上涨逾0.4%，料将连续第三周收高，因围绕经贸前景的不确定性提升避险需求。智利取消了原定于11月中举行的APEC峰会。投资者目光集中在即将公布的美国10月非农就业报告上。美联储年内第三次降息，在这种低利率环境下，世界goldAssociation（WGC）称，投资者应将黄金视为债券的替代品，应考虑将其黄金敞口增加1%To1.5％。由于机会成本几乎完全消失，这有助于提高黄金的吸引力。而世界银行称，预计金价在2020年将上涨5.6％，这将使金价达到1600dollar/About ounces.
　　
　　油价持稳，但是因为全球供应增加，以及国际经贸不确定增加，本周走势困难，周线料大跌。虽然欧佩克可能进一步减产，但因需求前景疲软，油价难以出现大幅上涨。在国际经贸争端持续影响全球经济增长之际，充足的石油实物供应正给欧佩克及其盟友带来压力，要求它们进一步减产以支撑油价。然而，有迹象表明俄罗斯对进一步削减石油产量持谨慎态度，这可能意味着沙特阿拉伯和海湾国家将不得不单独行动。
　　
　　非农数据前瞻：
　　
Friday Beijing Time(11month1day)20:30To be announced in the United States10月季调后非农就业人口变动和失业率，周三(10month30day)包括摩根士丹利(MorganStanley)在内的24家大型投行发表了对此次数据的前瞻，24家大型投行预测显示，各投行对非农就业人口增幅的预期分歧较大，具体而言，美国10The growth rate of non-agricultural employment after the seasonal adjustment is expected to be between2.5ten thousand-14Ten thousand, the unemployment rate is expected to be between3.5%-3.6%The average annual rate of increase in hourly salary is expected to be between2.8%-3.1%。稍早公布的数据显示，美国10monthADPIncrease in employment12.5万，预期增加11Ten thousand, previous value increased9.3万。此数据素有小非农之称，数据向好显示10月非农就业报告好于预期的几率较大。
　　
Gold trend analysis:
　　
United StatesPCE等数据表现欠佳，市场对非农预期较差，令美元走弱；市场对国际经贸局势的乐观预期有所消退，市场风险偏好降温；众议院投票批准对特朗普的弹劾调查决议，也推升了一些避险情绪；不过，市场预计美国10monthISMmanufacturingPMI数据可能会小幅改善，此外，美联储多位官员还将发表讲话，金价正面临近期震荡区域顶部阻力，能否上破还有待观察。
　　
From a daily perspective, it fluctuates;MACD初步金叉，KDJ初步金叉，金价正试探布林线上轨1514.71附近阻力，万.杰认为若顶破该阻力，则有望打开新的上涨通道，10month3日触及的逾一个月高点阻力在1519.65Nearby,9month12Resistance to daily highs1524.24Nearby, then1530Integer level,9month24Resistance to daily highs1535.73Nearby. Due toMACDandKDJ金叉信号都还比较弱，下方继续关注布林线中轨1494.79附近支撑，万.老师认为若回落至该位置下方，则增加短线看空信号；本周低点支撑在1481.33附近；布林线下轨支撑在1474.86附近。当然，1500整数关口附近也存在一定的支撑，周四K线是光头阳线，在失守1500前，短线略微偏向多头。4小时来看，震荡上涨；MACD金叉且上穿零轴，布林线初步开口，万杰理财认为若顶破布林线上轨1516.04附近阻力，则金价有望沿布林线上轨向上运行。下方初步支撑在1508.24Nearby, further support at1500.71Nearby, due toKDJThere is a dead cross trend,K线在多重阻力附近录得十字星，暗示上方阻力较强，若金价回落至1500.70下方，则增加短线看空信号。综合来看，今日晚间操作思路上万杰理财个人建议低多为主，高空为辅；上方关注阻力：1514.71；1519.65；1524.24；下方关注支撑：；1507.40；1500.70；1494.79；
　　
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
　　
　　1Callback1507Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1512-1514；
　　
　　2Rebound1519Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1507-1505；
　　
　　（行情千变万化，点位仅供参考，如若出现破位亦可咨询万杰理财了解最新行情，具体做单策略进场点位以万杰理财ws94458Based on actual offer guidance)
　　
　　crude oilTrend analysis:
　　
　　国际经贸局势的乐观情绪有所消退，之前EIA原油库存增加，美国多个经济数据不佳，需求担忧再次升温，这对油价拖累明显，技术面短线看空信号有所增强；但还需留意中美经贸团队新一轮通话的相关情况。
　　
From a daily perspective, it fluctuates;MACD红色柱萎缩，KDJDead fork,5Daily moving average underpass10日均线死叉，短线偏向震荡下行，初步支撑在隔夜低点53.71Nearby,10month21日低点支撑52.85Nearby, the Bollinger Line's lower track supports51.58附近。万.杰认为由于目前油价还没有完全跌破50.99以来的短线上涨趋势线，也需要提防多头的反扑，上方5Daily moving average resistance54.92Nearby,100Daily moving average resistance55.92附近，若能回升至该位置上方，则增加后市看涨信号；4小时来看，布林线轨道向下开口，MACDDead fork,KDJ死叉，布林线下轨53.78目前为油价提供支持，万杰理财认为若失守该位置则下行通道将再次打开，上方初步阻力在布林线中轨55.22附近，若意外收复该位置则削弱短线看空信号，综合来看，顶破54.92前，短线偏向震荡下行；今日晚间操作思路上万杰理财个人建议高空为主，低多为辅；上方关注阻力：54.92；55.92；57.25；下方关注支撑：53.71；52.85；52.39；
　　
Suggestions for crude oil operation:
　　
　　1Rebound54.9Stop loss without breaking short0.5US dollars, look at the target53.9-53.7；
　　
　　2Callback53.7Do not break long, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target54.6-54.8；
　　
　　（行情千变万化，点位仅供参考，如若出现破位亦可咨询万杰理财了解最新行情，具体做单策略进场点位以万杰理财ws94458Based on actual offer guidance)
　　
　　在投资时我们有时会听到有人提及新手正确投资黄金的方法，那新手想要投资黄金都有哪些方法与技巧值得使用呢？现在让万杰理财介绍以下几点知识
　　
　　1Control emotions - Investors must be calm and control their emotions. They must calmly respond to sudden changes in the market, otherwise they will miss out on opportunities due to indecision. It is best to be prepared to deal with various possibilities before entering the market, so that when encountering sudden changes in the market, one may not feel too surprised and at a loss.
　　
　　2Starting from small transactions - For newcomers to the market, it is necessary to start with small scale transactions, gradually grasp the trading rules and accumulate experience, and then gradually increase positions.
　　
　　3Avoid being eager for quick success and instant benefit - there should be no desire for quick success and instant benefit in transactions. Investors should not enter the market based on their subjective desires in trading. Successful investors generally strictly separate their emotions from trading activities to avoid the market trend being opposite to personal wishes and bearing heavier risks.
　　
　　4Be prepared to accept failure at any time - Gold investment carries risks, and trading failure is inevitable throughout the entire transaction. It is also an important way for investors to gradually learn from and accumulate experience. When faced with investment failure, only by carefully summarizing can investors gradually improve their investment ability, avoid risks, and strive for profitability.
　　
　　5Better miss than make mistakes - opportunities are always present, and seizing them requires a pair of bright eyes rather than quietly waiting for an empty opportunity.
　　
　　6、制定适合自己的投资计划——生活需要规划，投资需要计划，投资不是一朝一夕的事，只有严格执行，才能从中获利。那么怎样成为黄金投资市场的获利者，关注正道财经及时了解市场资讯，这很关键。细想投资至今你盈利如何。
　　
　　万杰理财认为，投资本身就是一场博弈，不仅是一门科学，也是一门艺术，多数人可能不了解的投资，认为只是简单的赚钱而已，但是真正投资的意义在于投资人学会对金钱的使用和支配能力，也就是赚钱的能力，而作为金融投资来说，是一个很特殊的投资，从事金融行业多年，研究国际局势和热点事件。金融领域博大精深，每天行情波折不断，我所能做的就是用我多年的研究经验，给大家帮助。经常做错方向和进出场点位把控的不是很好，做单中亏损的朋友，可和笔者一起交流。
　　
　　免责声明：以上分析内容仅代表作者个人观点，不构成具体做单，文章具有滞后性，据此做单，盈亏自负，投资有风险，入市需谨慎。
　　
　　撰稿人：万杰理财（ws94458）