美联储主席鲍威尔的言论已经十分清晰,美联储已经完成此轮降息,除非在未来几个月内,经济数据或地缘政治发展以令人惊讶的方式恶化。不幸的是,只有在未来,市场回顾时我们才能知道,美联储到底决定在一轮降息周期中暂时停顿,还是已经完全结束了本轮降息。在今日降息后,美联储联邦基金利率自5For the first time since the month10年期国债收益率,这也就表明,美联储的政策立场已经不再紧缩。在经历了数个月的倒挂后,收益率曲线本月重新趋于上行。收益率曲线的变化与20century90年代的情况相似,彼时美联储在三次降息后结束了其暂时性的周期调整。
美联储主席鲍威尔在新闻发布会中的言论甚至更具鹰派倾向,仿佛他已经排除了此后降息的可能性,他在新闻发布会中的言论甚至比FOMC声明更偏鹰派。美联储主席鲍威尔的言论已经十分清晰,美联储已经完成此轮降息,除非在未来几个月内,经济数据或地缘政治发展以令人惊讶的方式恶化。不幸的是,只有在未来,市场回顾时我们才能知道,美联储到底决定在一轮降息周期中暂时停顿,还是已经完全结束了本轮降息。在今日降息后,美联储联邦基金利率自5For the first time since the month10年期国债收益率,这也就表明,美联储的政策立场已经不再紧缩。在经历了数个月的倒挂后,收益率曲线本月重新趋于上行。收益率曲线的变化与20century90年代的情况相似,彼时美联储在三次降息后结束了其暂时性的周期调整。
Technically speaking, the daily chartMACDRandom indicators flatten out,KDJ死叉,布林线开始收口,中线走势参考布林线轨道1475.88-1512.25区域突破情况。单晨金认为若下破1475.88附近支撑,则金价偏向再次试探前期的1459.14Nearby support,7month19The daily high is supported by1453.09Nearby,1266-1557Upward trend38.2%Retraction position support1446.24附近。若意外顶破布林线上轨1512.25附近阻力,则增加后市看涨信号;短线的话,布林线中轨1494.06and1500整数关口附近也分别存在一些阻力。
1Suggestions1500-1502Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1492-1494frontline;
2Suggestions1485-1487Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1495-1497frontline;
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本文由单晨金分析师独家策划,转载请注明出处。以上内容供参考。投资有风险,入市需谨慎。如果是在做投资的路上亏损,或者近期存在套单情况的朋友,在我力所能及的情况下,我将为你解套,和制定适合你的盈利计划。 Author of this article: Shan Chenjin 作者赠言:交易之真谛,乃于淡雅间 σ-σ:330-5379-776 V-Letter:scj366 WeChat official account: Shan Chenjin The above content is for reference only. Investment carries risks and caution is required when entering the market.